【智库预计英国今年将迈过人口拐点 人口结构发生永久性转变】智通财经1月5日电，独立智库 Resolution Foundation预计今年英国的死亡人数将超过出生人数，并将此描述为永久性的人口变化，将 加大英国对移民的依赖。该智库周一发布年度经济展望时预计，英国此番出生人数的缺口将"持续扩 大"，进而"永久性地翻过人口结构"至少自20世纪初以来的"一个篇章"。虽然英国也曾在新冠疫情高峰 时期的2020年和随后的2023年出现死亡人数超过出生人数的现象，但Resolution Foundation估计过去两 年人口均实现了小幅增长；但从2026年开始，任何的人口增长都"将来自于国际净移民"。 转自：智通财经 ...

齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点鲁畅岳致呈 2025年，中国正通过一系列制度创新，主动应对人口结构变化带来的挑战与机遇。 当少子化引发的排浪式冲击从幼儿园漫向小学课堂，当长寿化趋势持续消解职场中的35岁门槛，一场关乎"人"的资源配置方式，正在教育、就业等关键领 域悄然展开系统性重构。 过去一年，从东南沿海到中部县城，教师跨学段转岗、公务员招录年龄上限松动……共同指向一个时代命题：在人口结构转变带来的长期压力下，如何通 过制度创新，在社会公平与发展质量之间，寻得那个可持续的动态平衡点。 教育新局：从"排浪式冲击"到主动调适 2025年秋季开学前夕，一则关于学校因生源不足而启动整合的消息，让成为人口转型最直观的注脚：上海某小学全校仅余22名学生，却配有23名教职工。 尽管校方曾承诺"就算只剩一名学生也会坚守"，但最终在教育资源优化配置的大趋势下，这22名学生被整体并入4公里外的另一所学校 这并非孤例，而是庞大人口的周期变迁投射于教育领域的一个缩影。 数据显示，2023年全国小学生数量较2019年减少约1300万人，幼儿园数量与在园人数亦连续两年显著下降。少子化效应如浪潮般从学前教育逐渐推至义务 教育阶段蔓延，形成所谓的"排浪式 ...

Core Insights - Morocco is undergoing significant demographic changes that are impacting its social and economic landscape, necessitating a reevaluation of public policies to address new opportunities and challenges [1] Population Dynamics - The fertility rate in Morocco has decreased from 7.2 children per woman in 1960 to 1.97 in 2024, driven by factors such as delayed marriage, increased access to education, improved transportation, and accelerated urbanization [1] - The total population has grown from 11.6 million in 1960 to 36.8 million in 2024, with projections suggesting it will reach nearly 40.5 million by 2040. The population growth rate peaked at 2.6% in the 1970s and is currently at 0.85%, expected to decline to 0.6% by 2040 [1] Age Structure - The population of children under 15 is projected to decrease from 9.76 million in 2024 to approximately 7.8 million by 2040, presenting an opportunity to improve education quality and reduce dropout rates [2] - The working-age population (ages 15-59) is increasing relative to the dependent population, providing potential for economic growth, referred to as the "demographic window of opportunity" [2] - Life expectancy has significantly increased from 47 years in 1960 to 76.4 years in 2024, leading to a more pronounced aging population, with the proportion of individuals aged 60 and above expected to rise from 13.8% in 2024 to 19.5% by 2040, a 58% increase [2] Urbanization - Urbanization is accelerating due to rural-to-urban migration and urban expansion, with urbanization rates projected to rise from 62.8% in 2024 to 69.2% by 2040, resulting in an urban population of 28 million [2] Family Structure - The average household size is expected to decrease from 3.9 individuals in 2024 to 3.3 by 2040, while the number of households is projected to increase by 32.5% [3] Migration Trends - Morocco, traditionally a country of emigration, is now experiencing a growing influx of immigrants, with over 148,000 foreign residents expected in 2024, primarily from sub-Saharan African countries, marking a 76.2% increase since 2014 [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant transformation in China's real estate market, marking the end of the "housing slave era" and the beginning of a new chapter in 2025 [1][10] - Young people's awakening and the release of policy dividends indicate a shift in housing beliefs, with many opting for renting over buying, and the government responding with unprecedented policy measures to support homebuyers [3][5] - The imbalance of supply and demand is identified as the fundamental driving force behind this transformation, with a notable population decline and an aging demographic leading to a significant reduction in the potential homebuying population [5][8] Group 2 - The severe oversupply of housing and the transition to a dual-track policy system are leading to a revaluation of property values and market clearing, with many ordinary properties facing harsh value reassessment [6][8] - The government is implementing measures to address the surplus, including the purchase of unsold properties to convert them into affordable housing, which is expected to reshape the market dynamics [5][6] - The article emphasizes that the real estate market is not disappearing but rather undergoing a painful transformation, where the focus shifts from financial leverage to the intrinsic value of housing as a place of residence [10]