Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 2.427 billion in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.53%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 187 million, a decrease of 24.77% due to the impact of investment income from the acquisition of Jiale in H1 2024 [1] - The operational net profit growth rate, excluding the aforementioned impact, was 23.28%, with a non-recurring net profit of 181 million, an increase of 13.98% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.194 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 101 million, a decrease of 42.78% [1] Group 2 - The bag manufacturing business generated a revenue of 1.419 billion in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.03%, supported by a core strategy targeting major clients [1] - The company’s production capacity for bags reached 22.0733 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.55%, with a capacity utilization rate of 93.39%, up 2.15 percentage points [1] - The company has established a global supply chain advantage with clients including Nike, ADIDAS, Uniqlo, and others, with approximately 71% of production capacity located overseas, mainly in Indonesia and India [1] Group 3 - The apparel manufacturing segment reported a revenue of 678 million, a significant year-on-year increase of 148.25%, indicating effective implementation of the vertical integration strategy [2] - The subsidiary Shanghai Jiale achieved a revenue of 685 million in H1 2025, with a net profit margin of 5.08%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s clothing production capacity was 30.0143 million units, with a utilization rate of 50.73%, and approximately 80% of production capacity located overseas, primarily in Indonesia [2] Group 4 - The brand management business generated a revenue of 311 million in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.87%, with distribution channel revenue from Xiaomi reaching 250 million, up 28.28% [2] - The self-owned brand "90 Points" has optimized its online channel operations, with online sales revenue of approximately 55.486 million, while also expanding into offline channels [2] Group 5 - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.66%, an increase of 0.72 percentage points, primarily due to improvements in the gross margin of the OEM business [3] - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, reaching 239 million, a year-on-year growth of 3843%, indicating improved operational quality [3] - Inventory amounted to 861 million, a year-on-year increase of 19.33%, with an inventory turnover period of 85 days, an increase of 6 days year-on-year [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in its 2025 mid-year financial results, with significant revenue growth but a decline in net profit, raising concerns about cash flow and debt levels. Financial Performance - The company achieved total revenue of 2.427 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.53% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 187 million yuan, a decrease of 24.77% compared to the previous year [1] - The gross profit margin was 24.66%, up 3.02% year-on-year, while the net profit margin fell to 8.66%, down 36.19% [1] - Operating cash flow per share increased significantly to 1.0 yuan, a rise of 3843.33% year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The company's OEM manufacturing business generated revenue of 2.098 billion yuan, a growth of 37.22% year-on-year, with the apparel segment seeing a remarkable increase of 148.25% [5] - The total production capacity for bags was 22.073 million units, with a utilization rate of 93.39%, while the apparel segment had a capacity of 30.014 million units and a utilization rate of 50.73% [6] Debt and Cash Flow - The company has a significant amount of receivables, with accounts receivable accounting for 258.37% of net profit [1][2] - The interest-bearing debt reached 1.825 billion yuan, an increase of 37.02% year-on-year, leading to a debt-to-asset ratio of 31.94% [2] Governance Changes - The company is restructuring its governance by abolishing the supervisory board, transferring its powers to the audit committee of the board of directors, in line with new regulations [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong growth in operating net profit, with a 23% increase in H1 2025, despite a decline in net profit due to one-time investment income from the fair value reassessment of Shanghai Jiale [1][4] - The company's revenue reached 2.427 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 187 million yuan, down 24.8% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to achieve double-digit growth in OEM revenue, driven by its production capacity advantages in Indonesia and an expanding client base [4] Summary by Sections OEM Manufacturing - In H1 2025, OEM manufacturing revenue was 2.098 billion yuan, up 37.2% year-on-year, with bag manufacturing revenue at 1.419 billion yuan (up 13.0%) and apparel manufacturing revenue at 679 million yuan (up 148.3%) [2] - The gross margin for OEM manufacturing was 24.67%, an increase of 0.96 percentage points year-on-year, with apparel gross margin significantly improving due to enhanced management and integration [2] Brand Operations - Brand operations revenue was 306 million yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year, with distribution revenue at 251 million yuan (up 28.3%) and online revenue at 55 million yuan (down 35.4%) [3] - The gross margin for brand operations was 24.14%, a decrease of 1.10 percentage points year-on-year, but is expected to recover as new products are launched and channels are optimized [3] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.164 billion yuan, 5.916 billion yuan, and 6.776 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.8%, 14.6%, and 14.5% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 372.4 million yuan, 459.2 million yuan, and 558.8 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of -2.3%, 23.3%, and 21.7% respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating of Anhui Kairun Co., Ltd. remains at A+/Stable, supported by the expansion of its OEM manufacturing business and improved profitability, despite facing challenges from intense market competition in the luggage and apparel industry [1][5]. Company Overview - Anhui Kairun has diversified its OEM manufacturing business by incorporating Shanghai Jiale Co., Ltd., enhancing its product offerings and client base [1][7]. - The company has established relationships with well-known clients, contributing to a significant increase in profitability during the tracking period [1][9]. Financial Performance - Total assets increased from 35.16 billion in 2022 to 53.69 billion in 2025, while total liabilities rose from 17.49 billion to 27.01 billion during the same period [4][12]. - Operating revenue grew from 27.41 billion in 2022 to 42.40 billion in 2024, with a notable increase in net profit from 0.55 billion to 4.01 billion [4][12]. - The company's EBITDA increased significantly, reflecting improved operational efficiency and profitability [10][12]. Market Environment - The luggage and apparel industry is characterized by fierce competition, with a need for the company to optimize its debt structure and manage production capacity effectively [3][5]. - The global luggage market is projected to reach 170.2 billion by 2025, with China's market expected to grow at a rate of 5.9% [5][6]. Operational Insights - The company has expanded its production capacity, particularly in the apparel sector, but faces challenges in achieving optimal utilization rates [7][9]. - The acquisition of Shanghai Jiale has allowed the company to enter the textile and apparel manufacturing sector, diversifying its business model [7][10]. Risk Factors - The company must monitor the absorption of its new apparel production capacity and the impact of market competition on its operations [3][5]. - High short-term debt levels and the upcoming maturity of "Kairun Convertible Bonds" in 2025 necessitate a review of the company's debt management strategies [3][10].

Group 1: Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a main business revenue of 419,163.57 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 36.54% [9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 38,099.86 million RMB, up 229.52% year-on-year [9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 29,105.10 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 109.67% [9] Group 2: Market and Industry Outlook - The global luggage market is expected to reach 170.2 billion USD in 2025, growing by 6.1% [6] - The Chinese luggage market is projected to reach 232.7 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [6] - The global apparel market is anticipated to reach 1,509.9 billion USD in 2025, with a growth rate of 4.1% [6] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on high-quality customer strategies in its manufacturing segment, aiming to expand capacity and explore new production areas [7] - Plans to enhance digitalization, automation, and intelligent manufacturing capabilities are underway to improve operational efficiency [7] - The company aims to strengthen its brand through innovative product design and expanding sales channels [7] Group 4: Shareholder Engagement - The company is considering various methods to enhance investor relations and market recognition, including potential stock buybacks and roadshows for institutional investors [6][7] - There is an ongoing evaluation of shareholder welfare programs, such as customized gifts to enhance engagement and brand recognition [10][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to be strong, with significant contributions from the consolidation of Jia Le. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.24 billion yuan (up 36.6% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.381 billion yuan (up 229.5% year-on-year) [1][5] - The company's manufacturing segment saw revenue growth driven by acquisitions and improved production efficiency. In 2024, the manufacturing revenue reached 3.534 billion yuan (up 44.6% year-on-year), with notable growth in apparel manufacturing [2] - The brand management segment is actively expanding new channels, with a revenue of 0.658 billion yuan in 2024 (up 5.1% year-on-year). The collaboration with Xiaomi has deepened, launching multiple new products [3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.234 billion yuan (up 35.6% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.085 billion yuan (up 20.1% year-on-year) [1] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 9.0% (up 5.3 percentage points year-on-year) [4] Manufacturing Segment - The manufacturing revenue for 2024 was 3.534 billion yuan, with apparel manufacturing revenue growing by 146.4% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for manufacturing in 2024 was 22.55%, with a decline attributed to the consolidation of Jia Le [2] Brand Management - The brand management revenue for 2024 was 0.658 billion yuan, with distribution revenue increasing by 20.8% year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for brand management was 25.52%, reflecting adjustments in product and channel structure [3] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.344 billion yuan, 6.222 billion yuan, and 7.190 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 16%, and 16% [5][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 0.384 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 0.7% [5][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to be strong, with significant contributions from the consolidation of Jia Le [5] - The garment manufacturing segment is experiencing revenue growth due to acquisitions and improved production efficiency [2] - The brand management segment is actively expanding new channels, with Xiaomi continuing to launch new products [3] - The company is effectively controlling expenses, with one-time investment gains from Jia Le enhancing profits [4] - Profitability is projected to improve as overseas production efficiency increases, with sustained revenue growth anticipated from 2025 to 2027 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.24 billion yuan (up 36.6% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.381 billion yuan (up 229.5% year-on-year) [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.234 billion yuan (up 35.6% year-on-year) and net profit was 0.085 billion yuan (up 20.1% year-on-year) [1] Manufacturing Segment - In 2024, the garment manufacturing revenue reached 3.534 billion yuan (up 44.6% year-on-year), with bag manufacturing revenue at 2.372 billion yuan (up 20.3% year-on-year) and garment manufacturing revenue at 1.162 billion yuan (up 146.4% year-on-year) [2] - The gross margin for garment manufacturing was 22.55% (down 1.33 percentage points year-on-year), primarily due to the impact of Jia Le's consolidation [2] Brand Management - Brand management revenue in 2024 was 0.658 billion yuan (up 5.1% year-on-year), with distribution revenue at 0.498 billion yuan (up 20.8% year-on-year) and online revenue at 0.160 billion yuan (down 25.2% year-on-year) [3] - The gross margin for brand management was 25.52% (down 1.03 percentage points year-on-year) [3] Profitability and Forecast - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.0% (up 5.3 percentage points year-on-year) [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 5.344 billion yuan, 6.222 billion yuan, and 7.190 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 16%, and 16% [5] - Expected net profit for 2025 to 2027 is 0.384 billion yuan, 0.480 billion yuan, and 0.590 billion yuan, with growth rates of 1%, 25%, and 23% respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer in the bag industry, leveraging both B2B and B2C business models to drive growth. The B2B segment includes partnerships with renowned brands like Nike and Uniqlo, while the B2C segment focuses on its own brands, "90 Points" and "Xiaomi" [2][8]. - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, with projections of 32.04% in 2024 and 29.82% in 2025, alongside a substantial increase in net profit [8][12]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2023A: 3104.90 - 2024E: 4099.86 - 2025E: 5322.46 - 2026E: 6099.15 - Revenue Growth Rate (%): - 2023A: 13.28 - 2024E: 32.04 - 2025E: 29.82 - 2026E: 14.59 - Net Profit (in million yuan): - 2023A: 115.62 - 2024E: 390.46 - 2025E: 372.71 - 2026E: 452.66 - EPS (in yuan): - 2024E: 1.63 - 2025E: 1.55 - 2026E: 1.89 - PE Ratio: - 2024E: 13.96 - 2025E: 14.62 - 2026E: 12.04 [3][4][8]. Business Model and Strategy - The company operates under a dual business model, focusing on both B2B and B2C segments. The B2B segment includes OEM and ODM operations, while the B2C segment emphasizes direct sales through its own brands [12][48]. - The company has successfully diversified its operations, expanding from traditional IT bag manufacturing to include sports and leisure bags, as well as garment manufacturing [22][51]. Market Overview - The domestic bag market is experiencing a recovery, with a retail scale of 2349.2 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a growth of 12.60% compared to 2022. The international market also shows signs of recovery, with a retail scale of 1551.5 billion USD [35][40]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic brands to capture market share, as the current market is dominated by foreign luxury brands [40][41]. Management and Governance - The company's ownership structure is stable, with the founder holding 51.23% of the shares, ensuring strong control and strategic direction [24]. - The management team is experienced, with backgrounds in leading IT companies, which enhances operational efficiency and competitive advantage [24]. Conclusion - The report indicates a positive outlook for the company, driven by robust growth in both B2B and B2C segments, strategic partnerships, and a favorable market environment [2][8][12].