新 加 坡 燃 料 油 现 货 | 日期 | FOB 380cst | FOB VLSFO | 380基差 | 高硫内外价差 | 低硫内外价差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/12/19 | 332.35 | 403.41 | -2.95 | 2.9 | 6.5 | | 2025/12/22 | 337.57 | 410.73 | -2.80 | 5.0 | 8.6 | | 2025/12/23 | 344.15 | 416.98 | -1.85 | 3.8 | 8.3 | | 2025/12/24 | 343.65 | 417.55 | -1.60 | 5.3 | 9.8 | | 2025/12/25 | - | - | - | - | - | | 变化 | - | - | - | - | - | | 燃料油早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/26 | | --- | --- | | 燃 料 油 | | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSF ...

| 2025/12/19 | 335.69 | 342.69 | 404.73 | 78.63 | -6.57 | -177.13 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/12/22 | 340.79 | 347.66 | 411.59 | 79.11 | -6.90 | -173.82 | | 2025/12/23 | 347.07 | 352.82 | 417.13 | 79.71 | -6.88 | -172.72 | | 2025/12/24 | 344.78 | 352.53 | 418.09 | 80.63 | -7.53 | -178.57 | | 变化 | -2.29 | -0.29 | 0.96 | 0.92 | -0.65 | -5.85 | | 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO ...

| | | | | 燃料油早报 | | 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/24 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO-G | LGO-Brent M1 | 鹿特丹VLSFO-H | | | O掉期 M1 | FO掉期 M1 | ent M1 | asoil掉期 M1 | O M1 | | SFO M1 | | 2025/12/17 | 325.12 | 368.94 | -8.40 | 594.14 | -225.20 | 22.33 | 43.82 | | 2025/12/18 | 327.47 | 369.76 | -8.26 | 593.29 | -223.53 | 22.13 | 42.29 | | 2025/12/23 | 335.28 | 383.22 | -9.15 | 611.43 | -228.21 | 20.41 | 47.94 | | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking fluctuated, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels. The high - sulfur cracking in Europe weakened, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW strengthened. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore fluctuated at a historical low, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels, and the VLSFO cracking in Singapore further weakened. [3] - In terms of inventory, the residual fuel oil in Singapore, high - sulfur floating storage, ARA residual fuel oil, and Fujairah residual fuel oil all increased in stock, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased in stock, and the EIA residual fuel oil decreased in stock. [3][4] - This week, the cracking of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur and diesel continued to rebound. After the Al Zour refinery shut down due to a fire on October 21, the external low - sulfur market has support, but the short - term upward space is limited. [4] - The global residual fuel oil has entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking is affected by crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market, so it is regarded as bearish. The low - sulfur valuation is low but there is currently no driving force. [4] 3. Summary of Related Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 4.89, the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 decreased by 11.93, and the price of Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.76. [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - **Swap Data**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 6.43, the price of Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by 2.93, and the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 9.91. [1][7] - **Spot Data**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by 4.96, the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 8.09, the 380 - basis data is incomplete, the high - sulfur internal - external price difference increased by 0.4, and the low - sulfur internal - external price difference decreased by 2.3. [2] Domestic Fuel Oil Futures Data - **FU Futures**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 decreased by 49, 43, and 45 respectively. The price difference between FU 01 - 05 decreased by 6, the price difference between FU 05 - 09 increased by 2, and the price difference between FU 09 - 01 increased by 4. [2] - **LU Futures**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the prices of LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 decreased by 88, 69, and 62 respectively. The price difference between LU 01 - 05 decreased by 19, the price difference between LU 05 - 09 decreased by 7, and the price difference between LU 09 - 01 increased by 26. [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated, the near - month spread fluctuated, the basis strengthened slightly, the EW spread rebounded again, and recently showed wide - range fluctuations. The FU internal - external near - month also fluctuated. The low - sulfur cracking rebounded slightly but was at a historically low level year - on - year, the spread was weakly sorted, the LU internal - external price rebounded slightly to $8 - 9 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis fluctuated [3][4]. - From a fundamental perspective, Singapore's residual oil decreased, floating storage fluctuated, ARA residual oil inventory decreased slightly, EIA residual oil decreased slightly, Fujairah inventory decreased, and Middle - East high - sulfur floating storage increased significantly. The high - sulfur Middle - East peak season has passed. Supported by logistics reshaping and Singapore's high - sulfur marine fuel demand, the EW spread has completed its repair. Recently, refinery feedstock procurement has supported the 380 cracking level, with limited short - term downside space. It is expected that the 380 cracking will maintain a fluctuating pattern, and a short - term internal - external bullish view is taken on domestic FU [4]. - This week, the LU market was still weak. The issuance of the third batch of export quotas met expectations, and the external MF0.5 basis fluctuated at a low level. In the fourth quarter, the LU internal - external spread can be enlarged on dips, and attention should be paid to quota usage [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 17.08, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 15.75, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.03, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 30.16, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 14.41, LGO - Brent M1 decreased by 1.84, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 1.33 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 7.92, Singapore Gasoil M1 decreased by 2.85, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.24, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 13.17 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by 2.30, the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 0.90, the 380 basis decreased by 0.40 [2]. Domestic FU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, FU 01 increased by 1, FU 05 decreased by 3, FU 09 decreased by 9, FU 01 - 05 increased by 4, FU 05 - 09 increased by 6, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 10 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, LU 01 increased by 5, LU 05 decreased by 17, LU 09 decreased by 10, LU 01 - 05 increased by 22, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 7, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 15 [3].

Report Overview - The report is a fuel oil morning report released by the energy and chemical team of the research center on September 5, 2025, covering fuel oil data from August 29 to September 4, 2025 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst strengthened oscillatingly, the near - month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on delivery warehouses, FU10 rose sharply and then fell. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread oscillated, and the LU internal - external spread fluctuated around 10 US dollars. The MF0.5 basis began to rebound. Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory increased, floating storage decreased, ARA's residue inventory remained flat, floating storage inventory increased significantly, and EIA's residue began to accumulate. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to logistics reshaping, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, and the EW spread was still being repaired. The domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess. A new round of sanctions had a large potential impact on the supply of heavy crude oil in China, providing some support for the valuation of Asian fuel oil. This week, LU maintained an oscillation. The external MF0.5 basis started to rebound, and the opportunity for the low - sulfur to high - sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter could be noted [4][10] Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/08/29 | 2025/09/04 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 389.06 | 377.63 | -0.64 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 456.37 | 441.32 | -4.96 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -6.14 | -7.05 | 0.41 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 654.16 | 665.68 | -7.81 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -197.79 | -224.36 | 2.85 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 22.15 | 24.02 | -0.39 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 67.31 | 63.69 | -4.32 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/08/29 | 2025/09/04 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 401.16 | 388.65 | -8.63 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 416.16 | 398.86 | -10.92 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 485.77 | 468.34 | -16.91 | | Singapore GO M1 | 85.94 | 87.04 | -1.49 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -4.48 | -5.32 | 0.53 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -150.19 | -175.76 | -5.89 | [2][9] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/08/29 | 2025/09/04 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 399.85 | 387.09 | -9.17 | | FOB VLSFO | 488.05 | 474.28 | -11.56 | | 380 Basis | -1.10 | -1.00 | 0.45 | | High - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 2.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | | Low - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 8.0 | 9.4 | -0.8 | [3] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/08/29 | 2025/09/04 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2812 | 2760 | -80 | | FU 05 | 2773 | 2721 | -76 | | FU 09 | 2735 | 2694 | -48 | | FU 01 - 05 | 39 | 39 | -4 | | FU 05 - 09 | 38 | 27 | -28 | | FU 09 - 01 | -77 | -66 | 32 | [3] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/08/29 | 2025/09/04 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3479 | 3395 | -97 | | LU 05 | 3435 | 3359 | -89 | | LU 09 | 3312 | 3341 | -100 | | LU 01 - 05 | 44 | 36 | -8 | | LU 05 - 09 | 123 | 18 | 11 | | LU 09 - 01 | -167 | -54 | -3 | [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst oscillated strongly, the near-month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on delivery warehouses, FU10 rose sharply and then fell. The low-sulfur cracking weakened, the spread oscillated, the LU internal and external spread fluctuated around 10 US dollars, and the MF0.5 basis began to rebound [3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory increased, floating storage decreased, ARA's residue inventory remained flat, floating storage inventory increased significantly, and EIA's residue began to accumulate. The global supply and demand of high-sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, and the EW spread was still recovering. The domestic high-sulfur spot was still in excess supply, so beware of overheating sentiment. The new round of sanctions has a large potential impact on the supply of heavy crude oil in China, which provides some support for the valuation of Asian fuel oil. This week, LU remained oscillating, and the basis of the external MF0.5 began to rebound. One can pay attention to the opportunity of the low-sulfur - high-sulfur spread widening in the fourth quarter [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From August 27 to September 2, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed from 381.95 to 388.30, with a change of 0.19; the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 changed from 454.66 to 457.64, with a change of 1.27; the Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 changed from -6.75 to -7.42, with a change of -1.02; etc. [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed from 394.03 to 400.25, with a change of 2.23; the price of Singapore 180cst M1 changed from 406.97 to 412.56, with a change of 0.48; the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 changed from 482.43 to 488.34, with a change of 5.97 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From August 27 to September 2, 2025, the FOB 380cst price changed from 395.34 to 402.43, with a change of 4.54; the FOB VLSFO price changed from 485.57 to 492.24, with a change of 6.79; the 380 basis changed from 1.50 to -0.05, with a change of 0.35 [2]. Domestic FU Data - During the same period, the price of FU 01 changed from 2790 to 2847, with a change of 23; the price of FU 05 changed from 2748 to 2807, with a change of 25; the price of FU 09 changed from 2763 to 2750, with a change of 13 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From August 27 to September 2, 2025, the price of LU 01 changed from 3444 to 3509, with a change of 58; the price of LU 05 changed from 3408 to 3458, with a change of 60; the price of LU 09 changed from 3418 to 3428, with a change of 54 [3].

Report Information - Report Date: June 23, 2025 [2] - Report Team: Research Center Energy and Chemicals Team [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - This week, high-sulfur cracking fluctuated, crude oil prices rose significantly, Iran accounted for a large proportion of high-sulfur supply, and it performed well in oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, the 8-9 spread was $7.5, the basis fluctuated, and there was a differentiation between near and far months of FU at home and abroad. The 07 contract dropped to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the 09 contract fluctuated at $8. The 0.5 cracking in Singapore declined, and the month spread fluctuated [4]. - This week, land-based inventories in Singapore decreased, high-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, low-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, ARA inventories decreased, floating storage inventories fluctuated, and US inventories decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month-on-month, and were moderately high compared to the same period. Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq accounted for about 15%-20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region and cannot participate in physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, the overseas market is operating strongly, the near months of FU at home and abroad are under pressure, the valuation is low, and the game continues. Pay attention to the impact of supply disruptions in the far months. The domestic and overseas valuations of LU are high [4][5]. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from June 16 - 20 | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | -$16.13 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | -$9.53 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -$0.66 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | -$36.15 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | +$26.62 | | LGO - Brent M1 | -$2.65 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | +$6.60 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from June 16 - 20 | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | -$2.38 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | -$0.32 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | +$1.14 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | -$0.19 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -$0.53 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | +$2.55 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | Change from June 16 - 20 | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | -$6.20 | | FOB VLSFO | -$0.44 | | 380 Basis | -$1.95 | | High-Sulfur Domestic-International Spread | +$0.8 | | Low-Sulfur Domestic-International Spread | -$4.2 | [3] Domestic FU Data | Product | Change from June 16 - 20 | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | -2 | | FU 05 | +11 | | FU 09 | -6 | | FU 01 - 05 | -13 | | FU 05 - 09 | +17 | | FU 09 - 01 | -4 | [3] Domestic LU Data | Product | Change from June 16 - 20 | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | -21 | | LU 05 | +13 | | LU 09 | -31 | | LU 01 - 05 | -34 | | LU 05 - 09 | +44 | | LU 09 - 01 | -10 | [4]

新 加 坡 燃 料 油 现 货 | 日期 | FOB 380cst | FOB VLSFO | 380基差 | 高硫内外价差 | 低硫内外价差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/06/06 | 430.80 | 489.76 | 10.65 | 8.8 | 16.5 | | 2025/06/09 | 433.59 | 490.06 | 10.65 | 6.5 | 16.2 | | 2025/06/10 | 441.10 | 496.78 | 12.25 | 7.0 | 16.5 | | 2025/06/11 | 435.55 | 499.42 | 12.95 | 6.8 | 17.6 | | 2025/06/12 | 448.16 | 511.48 | 10.25 | 6.2 | 17.1 | | 变化 | 12.61 | 12.06 | -2.70 | -0.6 | -0.5 | | 国 内 F U | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | FU 01 | FU ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high-sulfur crack spread declined, the 380-month spread decreased, and the basis strengthened. The low-sulfur crack spread weakened in a volatile manner, the near-term month spread slightly weakened, and the basis weakened. This week, inventories in Singapore continued to accumulate, inventories in ARA ports continued to accumulate, and US residual oil inventories decreased slightly. Recently, the low-sulfur valuation has shown that there is room for downward correction in the crack spread and the inter-month spread after the supply recovers. The high-sulfur crack spread has started to loosen, and the game in the overseas market remains strong. This year, affected by the consumption tax deduction and tariff adjustment in China, the feedstock demand of fuel oil refineries has declined significantly. In terms of marine fuel, the global high-sulfur marine fuel from January to March increased by 2% year-on-year, and Singapore remained basically flat. The total marine fuel was weaker year-on-year. Pay attention to the impact of tariffs on global trade activities in the future. Recently, Saudi Arabia's net imports have rebounded, and Egypt's purchases have continued. High-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak season. Pay attention to the opportunity for the high-sulfur crack spread to decline in the medium term. The domestic production schedule is relatively high, and the idea of shorting LU at high levels both domestically and overseas remains unchanged. [3][8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From June 5th to June 11th, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO swap M1 increased from 397.00 to 416.62, with a change of 9.39; the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 increased from 450.35 to 469.90, with a change of 11.94; the Rotterdam HSFO-Brent M1 decreased from -2.45 to -3.10, with a change of -0.14; the price of Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 increased from 599.39 to 628.77, with a change of 12.17; the Rotterdam VLSFO-GO M1 decreased from -149.04 to -158.87, with a change of -0.23; the LGO-Brent M1 remained unchanged at 17.90; the Rotterdam VLSFO-HSFO M1 increased from 53.35 to 53.28, with a change of 2.55 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From June 5th to June 11th, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased from 412.03 to 430.99, with a change of 10.92; the price of Singapore 180cst M1 increased from 418.53 to 431.27, with a change of 4.30; the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 increased from 478.40 to 501.76, with a change of 15.62; the price of Singapore GO M1 increased from 79.75 to 84.48, with a change of 2.50; the Singapore 380cst-Brent M1 decreased from 0.57 to -0.91, with a change of -0.63; the Singapore VLSFO-GO M1 decreased from -111.75 to -123.39, with a change of -2.88 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From June 5th to June 11th, the FOB 380cst decreased from 435.70 to 435.55, with a change of -5.55; the FOB VLSFO increased from 489.42 to 499.42, with a change of 2.64; the 380 basis increased from 10.50 to 12.95, with a change of 0.70; the high-sulfur domestic and overseas price difference decreased from 6.7 to 6.8, with a change of -0.2; the low-sulfur domestic and overseas price difference increased from 18.4 to 17.6, with a change of 1.1 [2] Domestic FU Data - From June 5th to June 11th, the FU 01 remained unchanged at 2780; the FU 05 increased from 2657 to 2727, with a change of 10; the FU 09 decreased from 2853 to 2912, with a change of -12; the FU 01-05 decreased from 55 to 53, with a change of -10; the FU 05-09 increased from -196 to -185, with a change of 22; the FU 09-01 decreased from 141 to 132, with a change of -12 [2] Domestic LU Data - From June 5th to June 11th, the LU 01 decreased from 3356 to 3414, with a change of -17; the LU 05 decreased from 3280 to 3348, with a change of -10; the LU 09 increased from 3450 to 3524, with a change of 6; the LU 01-05 decreased from 76 to 66, with a change of -7; the LU 05-09 decreased from -170 to -176, with a change of -16; the LU 09-01 increased from 94 to 110, with a change of 23 [3]