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燃料油早报-20251226
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 01:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking spread rebounded, the monthly spread rebounded from a low level, and the basis rebounded. European high - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated, and the monthly spread weakened, while the EW continued to strengthen. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore weakened, the monthly spread fluctuated at a low level, and the basis also fluctuated at a low level. The European V low - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated at a low level [3][5]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residue oil inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage inventory increased, ARA's residue oil inventory was basically flat, Fujairah's residue oil inventory decreased significantly, high - sulfur floating storage inventory decreased, and EIA's residue oil inventory increased slightly [3][5]. - This week, the cracking spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur and diesel continued to rebound. After the Al Zour refinery shut down due to a fire on October 21, the external low - sulfur market faced support, but the short - term upside space was limited [5]. - The global residue oil entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking spread was affected by crude oil fluctuations and feedstock price premiums. This week, the external market's inventory decreased and the monthly spread strengthened, remaining volatile in the short term. The low - sulfur valuation was low but lacked a driving force [5]. 3. Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | 2025/12/25 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 323.91 | 332.23 | 333.06 | 331.79 | 331.98 | 0.19 | | 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 370.46 | 379.22 | 381.38 | 379.41 | 379.54 | 0.13 | | HSFO - Brent M1 | - 8.86 | - 8.91 | - 9.15 | - 9.49 | - 9.56 | - 0.07 | | 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 588.07 | 597.32 | 607.46 | 608.64 | 607.21 | - 1.43 | | VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 217.61 | - 218.10 | - 226.08 | - 229.23 | - 227.67 | 1.56 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 20.77 | 20.41 | 21.48 | 22.69 | - | - | | VLSFO - HSF M1 | 46.55 | 46.99 | 48.32 | 47.62 | 47.56 | - 0.06 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | 2025/12/25 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 380cst M1 | 335.69 | 340.79 | 347.07 | 347.60 | 344.23 | - 3.37 | | 180cst M1 | 342.69 | 347.66 | 352.82 | 352.53 | 349.23 | - 3.30 | | VLSFO M1 | 404.73 | 411.59 | 417.13 | 420.80 | 417.54 | - 3.26 | | GO M1 | 78.63 | 79.11 | 79.71 | 81.24 | 80.63 | - 0.61 | | 380cst - Brent M1 | - 6.57 | - 6.90 | - 6.88 | - 7.39 | - 7.63 | - 0.24 | | VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 177.13 | - 173.82 | - 172.72 | - 180.38 | - 179.12 | 1.26 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | 2025/12/25 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 332.35 | 337.57 | 344.15 | 343.65 | - | - | | FOB VLSFO | 403.41 | 410.73 | 416.98 | 417.55 | - | - | | 380 Basis | - 2.95 | - 2.80 | - 1.85 | - 1.60 | - | - | | High - Sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 2.9 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 5.3 | - | - | | Low - Sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 6.5 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 9.8 | - | - | [2] Domestic FU Data | Product | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | 2025/12/25 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2356 | 2413 | 2433 | 2415 | 2431 | 16 | | FU 05 | 2415 | 2474 | 2496 | 2498 | 2499 | 1 | | FU 09 | 2382 | 2440 | 2463 | 2468 | 2466 | - 2 | | FU 01 - 05 | - 59 | - 61 | - 63 | - 83 | - 68 | 15 | | FU 05 - 09 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 3 | | FU 09 - 01 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 53 | 35 | - 18 | [2] Domestic LU Data | Product | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | 2025/12/25 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 2886 | 2969 | 2976 | 3000 | 3070 | 70 | | LU 05 | 2912 | 2974 | 2994 | 3013 | 3008 | - 5 | | LU 09 | 2952 | 3010 | 3026 | 3039 | 3044 | 5 | | LU 01 - 05 | - | - 5 | - 18 | - 13 | 62 | 75 | | LU 05 - 09 | - 40 | - 36 | - 32 | - 26 | - 36 | - 10 | | LU 09 - 01 | 66 | 41 | 50 | 39 | - 26 | - 65 | [3]
燃料油早报-20251225
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 01:15
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur crack spread rebounded, the monthly spread rebounded from a low level, and the basis rebounded. In Europe, the high - sulfur crack spread fluctuated, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW continued to strengthen. The 0.5% crack spread in Singapore weakened, the monthly spread fluctuated at a low level, and the basis also fluctuated at a low level. The low - sulfur crack spread in Europe fluctuated at a low level [5]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residual fuel oil inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage inventory increased, ARA's residual fuel oil inventory was basically flat, Fujairah's residual fuel oil inventory decreased significantly, high - sulfur floating storage inventory decreased, and EIA's residual fuel oil inventory increased slightly [5][8]. - This week, the crack spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound. After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21, the external low - sulfur fuel oil market is supported, but the short - term upside space is limited [8]. - The global residual fuel oil market has entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external crack spread depends on crude oil price fluctuations and feedstock premium levels. This week, the external market's inventory decreased and the monthly spread strengthened, and it is still expected to fluctuate in the short term. The valuation of low - sulfur fuel oil is low, but there is no driving force for now [8]. 3. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/12/18 | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 327.47 | 323.91 | 332.23 | 333.06 | 332.36 | - 0.70 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 369.76 | 370.46 | 379.22 | 381.38 | 379.92 | - 1.46 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 8.26 | - 8.86 | - 8.91 | - 9.15 | - 9.50 | - 0.35 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 593.29 | 588.07 | 597.32 | 607.46 | 607.21 | - 0.25 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - G O M1 | - 223.53 | - 217.61 | - 218.10 | - 226.08 | - 227.29 | - 1.21 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 22.13 | 20.77 | 20.41 | 21.48 | 22.69 | 1.21 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - H SFO M1 | 42.29 | 46.55 | 46.99 | 48.32 | 47.56 | - 0.76 |[3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/12/18 | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 341.67 | 335.69 | 340.79 | 347.07 | 344.78 | - 2.29 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 352.34 | 342.69 | 347.66 | 352.82 | 352.53 | - 0.29 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 407.95 | 404.73 | 411.59 | 417.13 | 418.09 | 0.96 | | Singapore GO M1 | 79.76 | 78.63 | 79.11 | 79.71 | 80.63 | 0.92 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 6.01 | - 6.57 | - 6.90 | - 6.88 | - 7.53 | - 0.65 | | Singapore VLSFO - G O M1 | - 182.27 | - 177.13 | - 173.82 | - 172.72 | - 178.57 | - 5.85 |[3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/12/18 | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 339.30 | 332.35 | 337.57 | 344.15 | 343.65 | - 0.50 | | FOB VLSFO | 407.57 | 403.41 | 410.73 | 416.98 | 417.55 | 0.57 | | 380 Basis | - 3.00 | - 2.95 | - 2.80 | - 1.85 | - 1.60 | 0.25 | | High - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 3.3 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | | Low - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 4.8 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 1.5 |[4] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/12/18 | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2403 | 2356 | 2413 | 2433 | 2415 | - 18 | | FU 05 | 2464 | 2415 | 2474 | 2496 | 2498 | 2 | | FU 09 | 2431 | 2382 | 2440 | 2463 | 2468 | 5 | | FU 01 - 05 | - 61 | - 59 | - 61 | - 63 | - 83 | - 20 | | FU 05 - 09 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 30 | - 3 | | FU 09 - 01 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 53 | 23 |[4] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/12/18 | 2025/12/19 | 2025/12/22 | 2025/12/23 | 2025/12/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 2901 | 2886 | 2969 | 2976 | 3000 | 24 | | LU 05 | 2936 | 2912 | 2974 | 2994 | 3013 | 19 | | LU 09 | 2977 | 2952 | 3010 | 3026 | 3039 | 13 | | LU 01 - 05 | - 35 | - | - 5 | - 18 | - 13 | 5 | | LU 05 - 09 | - 41 | - 40 | - 36 | - 32 | - 26 | 6 | | LU 09 - 01 | 76 | 66 | 41 | 50 | 39 | - 11 |[5]
燃料油早报-20251224
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-24 01:05
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking spread rebounded, the monthly spread rebounded from a low level, and the basis rebounded. European high - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW continued to strengthen. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore weakened, the monthly spread fluctuated at a low level, and the basis fluctuated at a low level. European V low - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated at a low level [3]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residual fuel oil inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage inventory increased, ARA's residual fuel oil inventory was basically flat, Fujairah's residual fuel oil inventory decreased significantly, high - sulfur floating storage inventory decreased, and EIA's residual fuel oil inventory increased slightly [3]. - This week, the cracking spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound. After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21, it stopped production, providing support for the external low - sulfur fuel oil market, but the short - term upward space is limited. Global residual fuel oil enters the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking spread should pay attention to crude oil fluctuations and feedstock premium/discount levels. This week, the external market's inventory decreased and the monthly spread strengthened, remaining volatile in the short term. The valuation of low - sulfur fuel oil is low, but there is no driving force [4]. 3. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From December 17 to December 23, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased from 325.12 to 335.28, a change of 3.05. The price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased from 368.94 to 383.22, a change of 4.00 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From December 17 to December 23, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased from 337.69 to 348.22, a change of 7.43. The price of Singapore VLSFO M1 increased from 404.54 to 419.72, a change of 8.13 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From December 17 to December 23, 2025, the FOB price of 380cst increased from 333.61 to 344.15, a change of 6.58. The FOB price of VLSFO increased from 404.59 to 416.98, a change of 6.25 [2]. Domestic FU Data - From December 17 to December 23, 2025, the price of FU 01 increased from 2384 to 2433, a change of 20. The price of FU 05 increased from 2444 to 2496, a change of 22. The price of FU 09 increased from 2412 to 2463, a change of 23 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From December 17 to December 23, 2025, the price of LU 01 increased from 2864 to 2976, a change of 7. The price of LU 05 increased from 2912 to 2994, a change of 20. The price of LU 09 increased from 2956 to 3026, a change of 16 [3].
燃料油早报-20251219
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:31
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated, the high - sulfur monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels. The European high - sulfur cracking spread weakened, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW strengthened. The Singapore 0.5% cracking spread fluctuated at a historical low, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels, and the Singapore VLSFO cracking spread further weakened [3]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore residual oil, high - sulfur floating storage, ARA residual oil, and Fujairah residual oil increased in inventory. High - sulfur floating storage and EIA residual oil decreased in inventory. This week, the cracking spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound [3][4]. - After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21st, the external low - sulfur fuel oil has support, but the short - term upside space is limited. Global residual oil has entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking spread is affected by crude oil fluctuations, and the spot market shows no improvement, so it is regarded as bearish. The low - sulfur fuel oil has a low valuation but no driving force for now [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 12th to December 18th, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO swap M1 decreased by 1.46, the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 increased by 1.27, the Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.35, the Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 2.60, the Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 3.87, the LGO - Brent M1 remained unchanged, and the Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 2.73 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 12th to December 18th, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 0.34, the price of Singapore 180cst M1 increased by 4.31, the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 0.88, the price of Singapore GO M1 decreased by 0.22, the Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.36, and the Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 0.75 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From December 12th to December 18th, the FOB price of 380cst increased by 5.69, the FOB price of VLSFO increased by 2.98, the 380 - basis increased by 0.25, the high - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by 0.4, and the low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by 1.0 [2]. Domestic FU Futures Data - From December 12th to December 18th, the price of FU 01 increased by 19, the price of FU 05 increased by 20, the price of FU 09 increased by 19, the FU 01 - 05 decreased by 1, the FU 05 - 09 increased by 1, and the FU 09 - 01 remained unchanged [2]. Domestic LU Futures Data - From December 12th to December 18th, the price of LU 01 increased by 37, the price of LU 05 increased by 24, the price of LU 09 increased by 21, the LU 01 - 05 increased by 13, the LU 05 - 09 increased by 3, and the LU 09 - 01 decreased by 16 [3].
燃料油早报-20251218
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-18 02:08
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking spread fluctuated, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels. The European high - sulfur cracking spread weakened, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW strengthened. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore fluctuated at a historical low, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels, and the VLSFO cracking spread in Singapore further weakened [3]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore residual fuel oil stocks increased, high - sulfur floating storage stocks increased, ARA residual fuel oil stocks increased significantly, Fujairah residual fuel oil stocks continued to increase significantly, high - sulfur floating storage stocks decreased, and EIA residual fuel oil stocks decreased [3][4]. - This week, the cracking spreads of foreign gasoline and diesel continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound. After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21, it shut down, providing support for foreign low - sulfur fuel oil, but the short - term upside space is limited [4]. - Global residual fuel oil has entered the off - season with inventory accumulation. The foreign cracking spread is affected by crude oil price fluctuations, and the spot market shows no improvement, so it is regarded as bearish. The valuation of low - sulfur fuel oil is low, but there is no driving force for now [4]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - The prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1, and other related swap products changed from December 11 to December 17, 2025. For example, the Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO swap M1 increased by 14.80, and the Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 increased by 9.01 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap and Spot Data - The prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, Singapore VLSFO M1, and other swap products changed from December 11 to December 17, 2025. For example, the Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 15.19 [1]. - The FOB prices of Singapore 380cst and FOB VLSFO in the spot market also changed during the same period. The FOB 380cst increased by 5.22, while the FOB VLSFO decreased by 2.42 [2]. Domestic Fuel Oil Futures Data - For domestic FU futures, from December 11 to December 17, 2025, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 changed. For example, FU 01 increased by 16 [2]. - For domestic LU futures, from December 11 to December 17, 2025, the prices of LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 decreased. For example, LU 01 decreased by 36 [3].
燃料油早报-20251217
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-17 02:22
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking fluctuated, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels. The high - sulfur cracking in Europe weakened, the monthly spread weakened, and the EW strengthened. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore fluctuated at a historical low, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at low levels, and the VLSFO cracking in Singapore further weakened. [3] - In terms of inventory, the residual fuel oil in Singapore, high - sulfur floating storage, ARA residual fuel oil, and Fujairah residual fuel oil all increased in stock, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased in stock, and the EIA residual fuel oil decreased in stock. [3][4] - This week, the cracking of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline, and the price difference between low - sulfur and diesel continued to rebound. After the Al Zour refinery shut down due to a fire on October 21, the external low - sulfur market has support, but the short - term upward space is limited. [4] - The global residual fuel oil has entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking is affected by crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market, so it is regarded as bearish. The low - sulfur valuation is low but there is currently no driving force. [4] 3. Summary of Related Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 4.89, the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 decreased by 11.93, and the price of Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.76. [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - **Swap Data**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 6.43, the price of Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by 2.93, and the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 9.91. [1][7] - **Spot Data**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by 4.96, the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 8.09, the 380 - basis data is incomplete, the high - sulfur internal - external price difference increased by 0.4, and the low - sulfur internal - external price difference decreased by 2.3. [2] Domestic Fuel Oil Futures Data - **FU Futures**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 decreased by 49, 43, and 45 respectively. The price difference between FU 01 - 05 decreased by 6, the price difference between FU 05 - 09 increased by 2, and the price difference between FU 09 - 01 increased by 4. [2] - **LU Futures**: From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the prices of LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 decreased by 88, 69, and 62 respectively. The price difference between LU 01 - 05 decreased by 19, the price difference between LU 05 - 09 decreased by 7, and the price difference between LU 09 - 01 increased by 26. [3]
燃料油早报-20251202
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-02 01:22
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking in Singapore weakened on Friday after fluctuating, with the monthly spread running at a historical low and the basis weakening and then oscillating at a historical low. The HSFO cracking in Europe oscillated at a low level, and the EW weakened on Friday. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore continued to weaken this week, with the monthly spread weakening and the basis oscillating at a low level [3]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residue oil had a slight inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage had a significant inventory build - up, ARA's residue oil had inventory draw - down, Fujairah's residue oil had inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage oscillated at a high level, and EIA's residue oil had a slight inventory draw - down [3]. - With the strengthening expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the cracking of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline this week, and the price difference between low - sulfur and diesel continued to rebound. After the fire at Al Zour refinery on October 21st and its subsequent shutdown, the RFCC unit of Dangote refinery is expected to enter maintenance in December, and VGO exports are expected to increase. The global heavy oil has entered the off - season with inventory build - up. The external cracking is subject to crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market. FU01 should be treated bearishly. The low - sulfur valuation is low but lacks a driving force [4]. 3. Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | 2025/11/27 | 2025/11/28 | 2025/12/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 339.09 | 345.00 | 351.22 | 353.76 | 351.92 | -1.84 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 385.63 | 390.40 | 390.78 | 391.86 | 395.42 | 3.56 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -8.01 | -7.55 | -7.41 | -7.40 | -7.51 | -0.11 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 648.85 | 639.56 | 651.68 | 658.00 | 643.93 | -14.07 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -263.22 | -249.16 | -260.90 | -266.14 | -248.51 | 17.63 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 25.67 | 24.29 | 25.79 | 26.28 | 25.52 | -0.76 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 46.54 | 45.40 | 39.56 | 38.10 | 43.50 | 5.40 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Product | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | 2025/11/27 | 2025/11/28 | 2025/12/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 345.55 | 341.18 | 342.10 | 348.03 | 347.90 | -0.13 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 352.99 | 353.51 | 350.60 | 356.03 | 355.44 | -0.59 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 423.05 | 416.41 | 422.25 | 421.50 | 425.66 | 4.16 | | Singapore GO M1 | 86.59 | 84.88 | 84.90 | 86.78 | 85.73 | -1.05 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -7.95 | -7.91 | -8.58 | -8.40 | -8.14 | 0.26 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -217.72 | -211.70 | -206.01 | -220.67 | -208.74 | 11.93 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | 2025/11/27 | 2025/11/28 | 2025/12/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 342.03 | 336.87 | 338.12 | 343.20 | 338.62 | -4.58 | | FOB VLSFO | 422.33 | 416.44 | 422.42 | 421.10 | 425.18 | 4.08 | | 380 Basis | -3.25 | -3.45 | -4.68 | -5.37 | -7.00 | -1.63 | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 5.2 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 2.2 | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 4.5 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | -2.5 | [2] Domestic FU Data | Product | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | 2025/11/27 | 2025/11/28 | 2025/12/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2491 | 2467 | 2471 | 2501 | 2495 | -6 | | FU 05 | 2538 | 2516 | 2516 | 2554 | 2552 | -2 | | FU 09 | 2516 | 2494 | 2488 | 2525 | 2527 | 2 | | FU 01 - 05 | -47 | -49 | -45 | -53 | -57 | -4 | | FU 05 - 09 | 22 | 22 | 28 | 29 | 25 | -4 | | FU 09 - 01 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 24 | 32 | 8 | [2] Domestic LU Data | Product | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | 2025/11/27 | 2025/11/28 | 2025/12/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3015 | 3023 | 3023 | 3027 | 3049 | 22 | | LU 05 | 3055 | 3023 | 3042 | 3047 | 3068 | 21 | | LU 09 | 3095 | 3073 | 3082 | 3085 | 3095 | 10 | | LU 01 - 05 | -40 | 0 | -19 | -20 | -19 | 1 | | LU 05 - 09 | -40 | -50 | -40 | -38 | -27 | 11 | | LU 09 - 01 | 80 | 50 | 59 | 58 | 46 | -12 | [3]
燃料油早报-20251201
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 02:00
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - Singapore high - sulfur cracking weakened on Friday after oscillation this week, with the monthly spread running at a historical low and the basis oscillating at a historical low after weakening. European HSFO cracking oscillated at a low level, and EW weakened on Friday [3]. - Singapore 0.5% cracking continued to weaken this week, with the monthly spread weakening and the basis oscillating at a low level [3]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore residue oil had a slight inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage had a significant inventory build - up, ARA residue oil had inventory draw - down, Fujairah residue oil had inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage oscillated at a high level, and EIA residue oil had a slight inventory draw - down [3][4]. - With the strengthening expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the cracking spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline this week, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound [4]. - After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21st and its subsequent shutdown, the RFCC unit of the Dangote refinery is expected to enter maintenance in December, and VGO exports are expected to increase [4]. - The global heavy - oil market has entered the off - season with inventory build - up. The external cracking spreads should pay attention to crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market. FU01 should be treated with a bearish view. Low - sulfur fuel oil has a low valuation but lacks a driving force [4]. Group 3: Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From November 24th to 28th, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed by 2.54, Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 changed by 1.08, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 changed by 0.01, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 changed by 5.65, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed by - 4.57, LGO - Brent M1 had no data for change, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 changed by - 1.46 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From November 24th to 28th, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed by 5.29, Singapore 180cst M1 changed by 5.48, Singapore VLSFO M1 changed by 0.38, Singapore Gasoil M1 changed by 1.54, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 changed by 0.18, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed by - 11.02 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From November 24th to 28th, 2025, the FOB price of 380cst changed by 5.08, FOB VLSFO changed by - 1.32, 380 basis changed by - 0.69, high - sulfur internal - external price difference changed by - 2.1, and low - sulfur internal - external price difference changed by 1.7 [2]. Domestic FU Data - From November 24th to 28th, 2025, FU 01 changed by 30, FU 05 changed by 38, FU 09 changed by 37, FU 01 - 05 changed by - 8, FU 05 - 09 changed by 1, and FU 09 - 01 changed by 7 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From November 24th to 28th, 2025, LU 01 changed by 4, LU 05 changed by 5, LU 09 changed by 3, LU 01 - 05 changed by - 1, LU 05 - 09 changed by 2, and LU 09 - 01 changed by - 1 [3].
燃料油早报-20250930
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 01:28
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated, the near - month spread fluctuated, the basis strengthened slightly, the EW spread rebounded again, and recently showed wide - range fluctuations. The FU internal - external near - month also fluctuated. The low - sulfur cracking rebounded slightly but was at a historically low level year - on - year, the spread was weakly sorted, the LU internal - external price rebounded slightly to $8 - 9 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis fluctuated [3][4]. - From a fundamental perspective, Singapore's residual oil decreased, floating storage fluctuated, ARA residual oil inventory decreased slightly, EIA residual oil decreased slightly, Fujairah inventory decreased, and Middle - East high - sulfur floating storage increased significantly. The high - sulfur Middle - East peak season has passed. Supported by logistics reshaping and Singapore's high - sulfur marine fuel demand, the EW spread has completed its repair. Recently, refinery feedstock procurement has supported the 380 cracking level, with limited short - term downside space. It is expected that the 380 cracking will maintain a fluctuating pattern, and a short - term internal - external bullish view is taken on domestic FU [4]. - This week, the LU market was still weak. The issuance of the third batch of export quotas met expectations, and the external MF0.5 basis fluctuated at a low level. In the fourth quarter, the LU internal - external spread can be enlarged on dips, and attention should be paid to quota usage [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 17.08, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 15.75, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.03, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 30.16, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 14.41, LGO - Brent M1 decreased by 1.84, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 1.33 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 7.92, Singapore Gasoil M1 decreased by 2.85, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.24, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 13.17 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by 2.30, the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 0.90, the 380 basis decreased by 0.40 [2]. Domestic FU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, FU 01 increased by 1, FU 05 decreased by 3, FU 09 decreased by 9, FU 01 - 05 increased by 4, FU 05 - 09 increased by 6, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 10 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, LU 01 increased by 5, LU 05 decreased by 17, LU 09 decreased by 10, LU 01 - 05 increased by 22, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 7, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 15 [3].
俄乌冲突扰乱不断 燃料油主力关注做多机会
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-22 08:09
Group 1 - Fuel oil futures main contract showed weak fluctuations, closing at 2784.00 yuan with a decline of 1.21% [1] - Demand remains sluggish in the Asian fuel oil market, with Northeast Asian refineries experiencing slower sales [1] - Taiwan's Formosa Petrochemical's 76,000 barrels per day residue fluid catalytic cracking unit is under maintenance until the end of October, impacting supply [1] Group 2 - High sulfur fuel oil prices are influenced by ongoing sanctions and recent attacks on Russian refineries, leading to a significant increase in high sulfur exports to India [2] - Singapore's fuel oil inventory has decreased by 4.2%, while ARA and Fujairah inventories have also seen reductions [2] - The EU is expected to introduce the 19th round of sanctions against Russia in the coming weeks, which will be a key focus for high sulfur fuel oil [2]