这些经历让她从单纯看技术指标，转变为研究供需基本面、分析市场参与者的心理。"现在我越来越觉 得，交易是一门解读人心的艺术。"她说。 本届实盘交易大赛中，孙夏丽凭借在工业品领域的优异表现，斩获工业品组第二名的佳绩。 交易的"灵魂"是风控 二十年前，孙夏丽通过朋友介绍，结识了自己的启蒙老师。这位老师在她心中埋下了至关重要的交易信 条——交易的"灵魂"是风控，利润是做好风控的产物。 然而，真正的风险认知，往往源于切肤之痛。孙夏丽坦言，由于入市初期顺风顺水，人性的弱点暴露无 遗，她连续犯了两个致命错误：在行情高点加仓，观察到市场转弱信号后未及时平仓。后来她只能眼睁 睁地看着利润快速缩水。"成长，往往是从认真面对自己的错误开始的。"她说。 在操作方法上，孙夏丽习惯在每笔交易进场前设定明确的止损条件。她分享了自己使用期权工具进行风 控的心得：第一道防线是技术止损位，第二道防线是期权本身的权利金上限。这样即使遇到极端行情， 也能锁定最大亏损。 她将交易环节按难度排序：开仓比止损简单，止损比止盈简单，止盈比加仓简单，最难的是空仓等待。 革新认知框架 最初，孙夏丽是纯粹的技术派，终日与图表、形态为伴。但她进入现货企业负责套期保 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Industrial silicon: The futures contract has upward momentum due to the reduction of warehouse receipts. Although the supply and demand are both weak, the continuous reduction of futures warehouse receipts provides support to the bottom of the market. It is advisable to take a long - position approach when the price drops. [5] - Polysilicon: The market has entered a policy vacuum period, and the futures contract is trading based on the weak supply - demand situation. It is expected that the price will decline next week, and investors can short at high prices and take profit at low prices. [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Price Trends - Industrial silicon: The futures price showed a strong - side fluctuation this week, closing at 9,220 yuan/ton on Friday. The spot price increased, with Xinjiang 99 - silicon quoted at 8,850 yuan/ton (up 50 yuan week - on - week) and Inner Mongolia 99 - silicon at 9,100 yuan/ton (unchanged). [1] - Polysilicon: The futures price center declined this week, closing at 53,215 yuan/ton on Friday. The spot price remained stable. [1] 3.2 Supply and Demand Fundamentals Industrial silicon - Supply: The weekly industry inventory decreased slightly. Southwest production decreased, and the cost during the dry season in the Southwest is expected to lead to further production cuts. Although Xinjiang factories are resuming production, the overall supply from November is expected to decline. The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 0.6 million tons week - on - week, and the overall industry inventory decreased by 0.2 million tons. [2] - Demand: Downstream polysilicon and organic silicon sectors support consumption. Polysilicon production will decline from November, organic silicon is gradually resuming production after maintenance, and the overall demand for industrial silicon is expected to decline marginally. Aluminum alloy procurement maintains a rigid - demand rhythm, and the export volume in the fourth quarter is expected to be lower than that in the third quarter. [3] Polysilicon - Supply: The short - term weekly production decreased. Southwest leading factories will cut production in November, and the planned output is expected to drop to 110,000 tons. The factory inventory remained unchanged this week, and the average full cost is 50,890 yuan/ton. [3] - Demand: The silicon wafer production schedule decreased week - on - week. Affected by the decline in terminal demand, the production schedule in November is expected to fall, and the transaction price remains flat. [4] 3.3 Market Data Charts - Industrial silicon: The report provides data on mainstream consumption area reference prices, major port/warehouse transaction prices, social inventory, factory inventory, monthly output,开工率, export and import volumes, trade - link inventory - to - sales ratio, and prices of raw materials such as silica, petroleum coke, and electrodes. [8][10][11] - Polysilicon: It includes data on spot prices, monthly output, industry 开工率, import and export volumes, industry profit calculation, and single - crystal silicon wafer export volume. [19][21][23] - Organic silicon (DMC): Data on average price trends, monthly output, 开工率, factory inventory, and industry profit calculation are presented. [24][27][38] - Aluminum alloy (Recycled aluminum): Information on price seasonality, monthly 开工率, average profit calculation, and domestic automobile monthly sales seasonality is provided. [31][35][39]