Group 1 - The U.S. and India are expected to reach a temporary trade agreement by the end of the month, while the U.S. and Mexico are nearing an agreement on steel import tariffs [12] - The European Union proposed to lower the price cap on Russian oil to $45, with Putin announcing an extension of countermeasures [12] - The U.K. is fully pricing in two interest rate cuts by the Bank of England within the year due to a significant drop in employment numbers [12] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices close higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.25%, S&P 500 up 0.55%, and Nasdaq up 0.6% [4] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index opened high but closed down 0.08%, with significant movements in sectors like aviation and rare earths [5] - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.40% and the Shenzhen Component down 0.86%, amid a chaotic market environment [6] Group 3 - The price of spot gold closed at $3322.6 per ounce, down 0.09%, while spot silver closed at $36.53 per ounce, down 0.63% [7] - WTI crude oil closed at $64.47 per barrel, down 0.14%, and Brent crude oil closed at $66.72 per barrel, down 0.09% [7]

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2025 年 5 月 20 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周一油价先跌后反弹，其中 WTI 6 月合约收盘上涨 0.2 美元至 | | | | 62.69 美元/桶，涨幅 0.32%。布伦特 7 月合约收盘上涨 0.13 美元 | | | | 至 65.54 美元/桶，涨幅 0.2%。SC2507 以 465.4 元/桶收盘，上涨 | | | | 4 元/桶，涨幅 0.87%。特朗普周一与俄罗斯总统普京通话后表示， | | | | 俄乌将"立即"开始就结束冲突进行谈判。克里姆林宫表示，两 | | | | 人并没有讨论俄方与乌克兰停火的潜在时间表。伊朗计划在 | | | | Kharg Island 出口码头增加了 200 万桶的原油储存能力，自 5 月 17 | | | 原油 | 日起生效。美伊核谈判的不确定性加剧市场波动。G7 于 2022 年 | 震荡 | | | 12 月达成价上限机制，禁止油轮运输交易价格高于每桶 60 美元 | | | | 的俄罗斯原油，并禁止相关实体为俄石油运输提供保 ...

Group 1 - The European Union (EU) plans to propose a reduction of the current price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil from $60 per barrel to $50 per barrel during the upcoming G7 finance ministers meeting [1][3] - The price cap mechanism was established by the G7 in December 2022 to limit Russian oil revenues and prevent significant declines in global oil supply [4] - Despite the price cap, Russia has managed to circumvent these restrictions through a "shadow fleet," and the price of its flagship Ural crude has often remained above the cap [4] Group 2 - The announcement of the potential price cap reduction has led to a recovery in oil prices, although concerns about demand due to Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating have limited the rebound [1][2] - The G7 includes the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan, with the EU Commission and Eurozone finance ministers also participating in the discussions [4]