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突然发现2026年的假期有两个历史第一次
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 00:39
不管是横向(和其他国家地区比较)看,还是纵向(和我国之前比较)看,我国国民休息时间的增加都是大势所趋。 今年(2026年)的假期有两个历史第一次 第一个是春节假期居然来到了九天,这是史无前例的。 在此之前不管是什么节,我国最长的假期就是连续八天(2020年曾经因为疫情所以春节7天假延长了3天达到总共10天,但那个不是正式假期)。 本来以为这次九天假,调休会不会很累,看了下节前是工作六天(再往前是双休两天),节后是工作五天后休息一天,感觉总体比想象的好一些。 实际上,对于中国的打工人来说,不要说九天假期了, 我查了下这是新中国建国以来第一次有连续九天的假期, 八天假期都是非常稀缺的。 中国第一次有八天的假期还是在2009年,那一年中秋节是10月3号,所以和国庆一起放了八天假。 从2009年-2025年,这种中秋+国庆放八天假的情况出现了六次; 我国还有可能出现八天假的是春节了,第一次出现八天假是2024年,在2024年和2025年出现了两次。 至于五一假期,即使是以前七天黄金周期间也从来没有出现过八天假期。 去年春节我就觉得体验很好,体验了边玩边回深圳的感觉,今年的春节我也多了些期待。 第二个是今年(2026年 ...
粤开证券罗志恒:“十五五”时期可从五大方面提高居民消费率
Core Viewpoint - It is expected that by 2026, there will be a marginal recovery in household consumption, driven by the implementation of subsidy policies in areas such as childcare and elderly care, along with the wealth effect from rising stock markets [2] Group 1: Economic Context - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to significantly increase the household consumption rate, which is defined as the proportion of final household consumption expenditure to GDP [2] - In 2024, China's household consumption rate is projected to be 39.9%, an increase of 4.3 percentage points since 2012, but still about 20 percentage points lower than major developed economies [2] Group 2: Consumption Rate Improvement Strategy - To raise the household consumption rate from 40% to 43% during the "14th Five-Year Plan," an average annual growth rate of 6.5% in household consumption is required, assuming a nominal GDP growth rate of about 5% [4] - The increase in consumption is not merely a temporary measure but a strategic move related to the transformation of the economic development model, emphasizing that consumption should enhance the well-being of citizens rather than being treated as a mere policy tool [4] Group 3: Systematic Approaches to Boost Consumption - Five systematic approaches are proposed to enhance household consumption: 1. Optimize the consumption environment to create a collaborative effort among government, enterprises, and residents [5] 2. Improve the income distribution system to solidify the consumption foundation, focusing on increasing disposable income and enhancing property income [5] 3. Strengthen the social security system to alleviate residents' concerns about future expenditures [5] 4. Relax market access to improve supply quality, which can stimulate entrepreneurial spirit and accelerate the development of service industries [6] 5. Optimize holiday systems to release service consumption potential, thereby balancing supply and demand [6][7] Group 4: Policy Recommendations - Short-term measures require more proactive macroeconomic policies to unleash consumption potential, while long-term strategies depend on reforms in income distribution, social security, and public services to continuously enhance residents' consumption capacity and willingness [7]