2025年的目标为"5%左右"。这是中国继2023年以来首次调整经济增长率目标。设定的目标区间为迄今 为止的最低水平。由于房地产不景气导致内需不足的状况持续，中国选择允许经济增速小幅放缓…… 中国将2026年的实际经济增长率目标设定为"4.5%～5%"。2025年的目标为"5%左右"。由于房地产不景 气导致内需不足的状况持续，中国选择允许经济增速小幅放缓。 3月5日上午，中国十四届全国人民代表大会第四次会议在北京人民大会堂开幕。李强总理在开幕时宣读 政府工作报告，发表施政方针。 这是中国继2023年以来首次调整经济增长率目标。2023年时的调整是基于新冠疫情的防控政策对经济造 成的影响。此次设定的目标区间为迄今为止的最低水平。 正在召开"两会"的中国北京（3日、北京、目良友树 摄） 另外，随着全球保护主义抬头，出口放缓的担忧也在增加。再加上美国和以色列对伊朗发动攻击导致原 油价格上涨，以及国际局势更加动荡，经济环境预计将更加严峻。为此，中国将增长目标设定为区间形 式，以实现更具弹性的经济增长。 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）藤野逸郎、北京 版权声明：日本经济新闻社版权所有，未经授权不得转载或部分复制，违者 ...

Core Insights - The majority of German industry associations expect layoffs in 2026 due to the ongoing economic crisis, with the industrial sector being the most affected by rising global protectionism and weak exports [1][2] Employment Outlook - Out of 46 surveyed industry associations, 22 anticipate a reduction in workforce next year, while only 9 plan to increase hiring and 15 expect stable employment levels [1][2] - Specific sectors such as automotive, paper, and textiles are projected to see a decline in production due to factors like increased protectionism, weak exports, and high domestic costs undermining Germany's price competitiveness [1][2] Economic Stability - IW Director Michael Hüther stated that those hoping for a quick resolution to the economic crisis may be disappointed in 2026, as the economy is stabilizing at a lower level [1][2] Investment Plans - Corporate investment plans remain weak, with only 11 associations expecting to increase investments, 14 planning to cut expenditures, and 21 believing that investment levels will stagnate at low levels [1][2]

Core Insights - The trade relationship between the EU and Morocco shows a persistent imbalance, with the EU exporting €2.8 billion to Morocco and importing €2.3 billion in June 2025, resulting in a trade surplus of €0.5 billion for the EU [1] Trade Dynamics - Despite the trade imbalance, the bilateral trade volume continues to grow, with the EU remaining Morocco's largest trading partner [1] - The EU imports significant quantities of fish, fruits, vegetables, and phosphates from Morocco, while exporting machinery, vehicles, and industrial products to Morocco [1] Global Trade Context - In the second quarter of 2025, EU exports to non-EU countries decreased by 6%, and imports fell by 2.4%, indicating a broader economic slowdown [1] - The decline in trade is attributed to rising global protectionism, particularly due to the recent tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on European goods, which have adversely affected EU exports [1] - The Wall Street Journal has described the global trade outlook as "bleak," reflecting the challenging environment for international trade [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to implement its first consecutive interest rate cut since 2019, reducing the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.6%, amid economic pressures and low consumer confidence [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Indicators - The anticipated rate cut will bring the total reduction in the current easing cycle to 75 basis points [1]. - Domestic economic data shows inflation near the lower limit of the 2%-3% target range, with weak household spending and low consumer confidence supporting the need for a loose monetary policy [1]. - The market expects two more rate cuts this year, potentially lowering the cash rate to 3.1%, while many economists believe 3.35% may be a critical point for pausing policy to assess the impact of previous easing measures [1]. Group 2: Global Context and Trade Relations - The RBA's dovish stance aligns with recent rate cuts in Europe, Canada, and the UK, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's plan to maintain current rates until mid-2025 [2]. - The meeting marks a historic moment with both of Australia's core economic institutions led by women, as new Treasury Secretary Jenny Wilkinson participates in rate decisions for the first time [2]. - Australia faces export pressures from rising global protectionism, geopolitical tensions, and slowing demand from China, particularly affecting resource income due to falling iron ore prices [2].

Leadership Changes - The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) announced significant leadership changes, including the recommendation of John Denholm CBE as the new chairman candidate, succeeding Emanuele Grimaldi, with Denholm set to officially take office after the ICS annual meeting in June 2026 [4] - Three new vice-chairmen were appointed: Dr. Gaby Bornheim from Germany, Mr. Carl-Johan Hagman from Japan, and Mr. Claes Berglund from Sweden [4] New Secretary-General - Thomas Kazakos has officially succeeded Guy Platten as the new Secretary-General of ICS, having previously served as the Secretary-General of the Cyprus Shipping Chamber [5] Membership Update - The Malta International Shipowners Association has been upgraded from an associate member to a full member of ICS, reflecting Malta's growing importance in international shipping [6] Industry Challenges - The board meeting addressed increasing geopolitical uncertainties and emphasized the need for clear and unified leadership in the global shipping industry to tackle evolving challenges [6] - Key topics discussed included new greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction measures expected to be formally adopted at the upcoming International Maritime Organization (IMO) special meeting, the impact of global protectionism, supply chain security, and seafarer welfare [6][7] Commitment to Resilience - The ICS board reiterated its commitment to fostering a resilient, inclusive, and forward-looking shipping industry, emphasizing the importance of global collaboration and representation [7]

Core Viewpoint - Thailand's exports are significantly impacted by changes in U.S. tariffs and face challenges from rising global protectionism [1] Group 1: Export Impact - Thai exports are still highly influenced by U.S. tariff changes, with a potential temporary relief for about 10% of goods due to a 90-day suspension of tariffs [1] - External demand saw accelerated growth in the first quarter as exporters shipped goods before the U.S. tariffs were implemented [1] Group 2: Business Confidence - Export-oriented manufacturers maintain optimistic business confidence, although this sentiment may not last long [1] - The sustainability of this optimism is contingent upon the outcomes of U.S. tariff negotiations [1]