Core Viewpoint - The military industry is experiencing a positive shift driven by advancements in AI technology, which is expected to enhance the role of military software within the equipment system and lead to significant changes across the entire military supply chain [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 26, major stock indices continued to decline, while the military industry sector showed resilience, with the largest aerospace ETF (159227) rising by 0.97% and surpassing a trading volume of 100 million [1]. - Key stocks within the ETF saw significant gains, including Aerospace Technology rising over 10%, Huayin Technology increasing over 6%, and Aero Engine Corporation rising over 5% [1]. Group 2: AI Impact on Military Industry - The advancement of AI technology is expected to drive a dual-force impact on the military supply chain, with improvements in core software performance leading to profound changes in warfare dynamics and an increase in software demand across various downstream sectors [1]. - AI empowerment is anticipated to accelerate the deployment of unmanned equipment, which may lead to transformative changes in both upstream and downstream industries [1]. Group 3: ETF and Industry Composition - The aerospace ETF (159227) closely tracks the Guozheng Aerospace Index, with a high concentration of 97.96% in the primary military industry, making it the highest "military purity" index in the market [1]. - The ETF covers critical industry chain segments, including aerospace equipment, satellite navigation, and new materials, featuring leading companies in the military sector involved in large aircraft development, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace [1].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The aviation engine industry is on an upward trend, with revenue increasing from over 30 billion RMB in 2019 to over 80 billion RMB by 2024. However, profits are expected to decline in 2024 due to changes in the competitive landscape and one-time pricing adjustments leading to lower gross margins [1][3] - 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the aviation engine industry, with new models gradually ramping up production to offset declines in main models, alongside growth in the maintenance and commercial engine markets [1][6] Company Insights Huqin Technology - Huqin Technology, a leader in special stealth materials, has not performed as expected in stock price but remains technically advanced. It is projected to see significant changes by 2026, with revenue in the first half of this year already matching last year's total [1][7][13] - The company has actively diversified its business through the establishment and acquisition of subsidiaries, aiming to reduce reliance on a single revenue source [1][9] AVIC Heavy Machinery - AVIC Heavy Machinery has seen stable revenue but increased operating costs, leading to a significant one-time provision and a decline in net profit. The company is currently undergoing an adjustment period, but long-term prospects remain optimistic [1][8] - The company’s operating profit dropped from 1.6 billion RMB to 860 million RMB, indicating challenges in the current market environment [5][8] Aero Engine Corporation of China (AECC) - AECC reported total revenue of 47.88 billion RMB in 2024, with core factory revenues totaling approximately 56 billion RMB, indicating internal offsets. Financial expenses have significantly increased, reflecting a weaker position in the industry, but improvements are expected [4][18] - The company faces high contract liabilities and is gradually digesting prepayments, with inventory issues expected to be resolved this year. Future profitability is anticipated to come from aftermarket maintenance and refurbishment services [4][19] Financial Performance - The aviation engine industry has experienced a divergence between revenue and profit due to changes in the competitive landscape and one-time pricing adjustments. For instance, AVIC Heavy Machinery's operating costs increased by about 1 billion RMB in 2024, leading to a drop in net profit margin [5][8] - Huqin Technology's revenue has grown from less than 50 million RMB in 2018 to over 1.1 billion RMB in 2024, despite experiencing fluctuations in profit [12][13] Future Outlook - The aviation engine industry is expected to rejuvenate by 2030, driven by new model demand and growth in the commercial engine market [6] - Huqin Technology is projected to break through its current bottleneck and achieve rapid growth starting in 2026, with expectations of maintaining a growth rate of over 30% [13][14] - AECC's stock performance has lagged behind indices, but it is still considered to have significant research value and investment potential, with a market cap expected to rise from 18 billion RMB to 30-50 billion RMB [14][20] Conclusion - Despite facing challenges in recent years, both Huqin Technology and AECC are viewed as having strong long-term investment potential due to their strategic positioning and market demand growth [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected return of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved rapid growth in performance, with a 64% year-on-year increase in revenue to 9.15 billion yuan and a 22% increase in net profit to 504 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [5][6]. - The growth was primarily driven by the expansion of the mining service segment and the consolidation of Xuefeng Technology [6]. - The company is actively enhancing its defense equipment business through acquisitions and strategic partnerships, aiming to strengthen its position in the military industry [8][10]. - The mining service business is expanding in key markets such as Xinjiang and Tibet, with a backlog of orders exceeding 35 billion yuan [9]. - The company has increased its industrial explosive production capacity to 725,500 tons, positioning itself as a leader in the domestic market [10]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's mining revenue reached 6.438 billion yuan, a 49% increase year-on-year, while sales of civil explosives rose by 40% to 1.383 billion yuan [6]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 1.85 percentage points to 19.86%, with the mining segment's margin at 16.47% [7]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.173 billion, 1.383 billion, and 1.609 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 23, 20, and 17 times [10][12].

Core Viewpoint - The military industry ETF (512660) has seen a net inflow of nearly 140 million in the past two days, with a strong price increase of nearly 1% despite market fluctuations. This is driven by rising global defense budgets and China's accelerated military modernization plans under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The ETF closely follows the CSI Military Industry Index, heavily investing in high-growth sub-sectors such as aviation equipment, military electronics, and maritime and aerospace industries [1] - By May 15, 2025, the ETF's share is expected to increase by 30% compared to the end of 2024, indicating a significant rise in capital attention [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - With steady demand for equipment construction and logistical support, leading companies in the military sector are expected to see marginal improvements in performance [1] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities anticipates that some sectors will bottom out and recover in Q1 2025, with ground armaments and aerospace (missile) performance stabilizing year-on-year [1] - Positive signals have emerged in the military sector since the end of 2024, with core companies announcing contracts and expected performance stabilization, indicating a potential recovery in industry fundamentals [1]