（原标题：欧洲央行或将暂维持利率不变） 欧央行最新经济预测显示，明年通胀率将先跌破2.00%目标值再逐步回升，该预测 已涵盖未来潜在降息可能性。近期采购经理人指数显示夏季商业活动加速，8月新订单 量更是自2024年5月以来首次回升，投资者对欧元区经济前景渐趋乐观。但有官员警 告，这一现象可能源于美国进口商为规避关税而集中下单，意味着未来数月可能出现 需求回落。（驻波黑使馆经商处） 欧央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德于7月表示，在将基准利率维持在2.00%后，欧央行 正处于"理想状态"。此举标志着欧央行持续一年的降息周期告终。 欧央行指出，最新数据显示欧元区经济韧性超预期，通胀率已降至央行2.00%的目 标值。此外，美国总统特朗普政府对欧洲商品加征的15%关税幅度符合欧央行预测。分 析认为，除非8月通胀初值或周期性经济活动调查等统计数据突然恶化，否则欧央行在 9月11日举行会议上不会宣布实施新一轮降息。 波黑《新闻报》8月25日报道。路透社援引欧央行内部消息称，欧央行可能维持现 有利率水平不变。若欧洲经济出现放缓迹象，有关降息的讨论可能在今秋重启。 ...

日本经济再生大臣赤泽亮正：我们留意到日本央行昨日决定维持利率不变，这是考虑到需要仔细审视国 内外经济发展的形势。 ...

分析师：加拿大央行预计在可预见的未来仍按兵不动 金十数据7月30日讯，牛津经济研究院的托尼·斯蒂洛和迈克尔·达文波特表示，贸易战和关税的不确定性 仍然是加拿大央行保持观望的关键因素，尤其是在8月1日即将到来之际，特朗普总统威胁说，如果没有 达成贸易协议，他将提高对加拿大商品的关税。央行已连续第三次将利率维持在2.75%，符合预期。经 济学家预计，在可预见的未来，加拿大央行将维持利率不变，但不排除再降息25个基点的可能性。他们 预计政策利率不会跌至2%以下的刺激性区间，除非加拿大央行确信通胀已得到控制，且经济疲软需要 提振。 ...

智通财经7月28日电，欧洲央行官员Kazimir表示，在不出现严重冲击的情况下，9月预计维持利率不 变。 ...

欧洲央行管委内格尔：在八次降息后，维持利率不变是合理的。 ...

消息人士称，在特朗普最新的贸易税威胁之后，欧洲央行将在下周讨论比6月份预想的更负面的情况。 欧洲央行仍料在7月24日的会议上维持利率不变。关于降息的讨论仍被推迟到九月。 ...

Core Viewpoint - European Central Bank official Demarco suggests that interest rates should remain unchanged this month [1] Group 1 - The recommendation to maintain interest rates indicates a cautious approach towards monetary policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) can maintain interest rates unchanged in July without the need to lower rates to stimulate the economy [1] Group 1 - ECB Governing Council member Muller stated that there is currently no necessity to cut interest rates to boost economic activity [1] - The euro has recently appreciated significantly, yet it remains within historical volatility ranges [1]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) can maintain interest rates unchanged in July, indicating that there is currently no need for rate cuts to stimulate the economy [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Monetary Policy - ECB Governing Council member Müller stated that the current economic conditions do not necessitate a reduction in interest rates to boost economic activity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Israel has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5% for the 11th consecutive time, reflecting a cautious stance amid escalating military actions in Gaza and rising inflation [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Interest Rate Decision - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged aligns with the expectations of all 12 analysts surveyed [1] - This marks the 11th consecutive meeting where the rate has been held steady [1] Inflation Context - The annual inflation rate has deviated further from the central bank's target range of 1%-3% [1] - April's inflation rate reached its highest level in eight months, increasing from 3.3% in March to 3.6% [1] - The rise in inflation has been attributed to a sales tax increase earlier in the year [1] Future Outlook - Bank of Israel Governor Amir Yaron indicated that if inflation slows and market risk premiums remain manageable, the central bank may consider lowering interest rates in the second half of the year [1]