Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a revitalization with strong performance in antibiotic production and innovative drug development, particularly in the insulin and animal health sectors [1][2][3][4]. Antibiotic and Insulin Business - The company has a leading position in the antibiotic market, focusing on a full industrial chain including key products like 6-APA and amoxicillin, with a stable long-term outlook despite short-term price fluctuations [1]. - The company successfully participated in the national procurement of insulin, achieving A-class bids for all six products, which is expected to enhance market share as the demand for third-generation insulin products increases [1][2]. - The antibiotic procurement risks have been largely mitigated, with most major products already completed in the procurement process [1]. Innovative Drug Development - UBT251, a GLP-1/GIP/GCG tri-receptor agonist, has shown promising results in Phase I clinical trials, leading to a significant partnership with Novo Nordisk, including an upfront payment of $200 million and potential milestone payments of up to $1.8 billion [1][2]. - The company is also advancing other innovative treatments, including a small molecule RASP inhibitor for dry eye syndrome and a JAK1 inhibitor for atopic dermatitis, both in clinical trials [1]. Financial Performance and Projections - In 2024, the company reported revenues of 137.6 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year growth of 0.1%, driven by a 14.8% increase in intermediate revenue [2][3]. - The company anticipates revenue fluctuations in the coming years, projecting revenues of 144.0 billion, 130.0 billion, and 133.9 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding profit changes [4]. - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to 38.3%, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [3]. Valuation and Market Outlook - The target price for the company's stock is set at 21.9 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 62.2% from the current price, based on a DCF model with a WACC of 12% [2][4]. - The company’s valuation includes 142 billion HKD for its intermediate and raw material business, and 223 billion HKD for its formulation business, alongside 34 billion HKD in net cash [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 28.39 based on a 17x PE for 2025 [4][12]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue growth, with 2024 revenue projected at RMB 5.89 billion (+10.12%) and net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 0.78 billion (+27.61%) [4][12]. - The veterinary medicine segment is anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth, with a projected revenue of RMB 2.02 billion in 2024 (+10.0%) [4][13]. - The company is enhancing its global operations, with products sold in 115 countries and regions, establishing a strong position in the global pharmaceutical manufacturing industry [4][14]. Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 are as follows: - 2024 Revenue: RMB 5.89 billion (+10.12%) - 2024 Net Profit: RMB 0.78 billion (+27.61%) - 2025 Revenue: RMB 6.60 billion (+12.1%) - 2025 Net Profit: RMB 0.93 billion (+19.5%) [3][4][12]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 1.67 in 2025, RMB 2.01 in 2026, and RMB 2.36 in 2027 [4][12]. Business Segments - The pharmaceutical raw materials segment is benefiting from high demand for macrolide antibiotics, with a projected revenue of RMB 2.48 billion in 2024 (+11.7%) and a gross profit margin of 28.4% [4][13]. - The veterinary medicine business is expanding, with significant sales growth expected due to improved market conditions and product certifications [4][13][14]. Global Operations - The company is focusing on globalization and integration, with over 70 active pharmaceutical ingredients and intermediates expected to be produced and sold in 2024 [4][14]. - The company has established sales channels in multiple countries, enhancing its global reach and operational capabilities [4][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of 28.39 RMB, based on a 17x PE for 2025 [4][12]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue growth, with 2024 revenue projected at 5.89 billion RMB (+10.12%) and net profit attributable to shareholders at 0.78 billion RMB (+27.61%) [4][12]. - The veterinary medicine segment is anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue, with a projected 2024 revenue of 2.02 billion RMB (+10.0%) [13][14]. - The company is enhancing its global operations, with products sold in 115 countries and regions, establishing a strong position in the global pharmaceutical manufacturing industry [14] Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024-2027 are as follows: - 2024 Revenue: 5.89 billion RMB (+10.1%) - 2024 Net Profit: 0.78 billion RMB (+27.6%) - 2025 Revenue: 6.60 billion RMB (+12.1%) - 2025 Net Profit: 0.93 billion RMB (+19.5%) - 2026 Revenue: 7.52 billion RMB (+14.0%) - 2026 Net Profit: 1.12 billion RMB (+20.0%) - 2027 Revenue: 8.61 billion RMB (+14.4%) - 2027 Net Profit: 1.32 billion RMB (+17.8%) [3][4][12]. Business Segments - The pharmaceutical raw materials segment is projected to generate 2.48 billion RMB in 2024, benefiting from high demand for macrolide antibiotics [13]. - The veterinary medicine business is expanding, with significant sales growth and increased capacity utilization for key products [13][14]. Global Operations - The company is focusing on globalization, with over 70 active pharmaceutical ingredients and intermediates expected to be produced and sold in 2024 [14]. - Established sales channels in various countries, including India, Netherlands, and Spain, enhancing its international market presence [14].