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崔东树:国内车市强势增长 新能源车在北方加速普及
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 09:04
Core Insights - The report indicates that the domestic passenger car market in China is expected to see a cumulative retail growth of 9% year-on-year by September 2025, driven by economic development and diversified demand [1][2] - A notable trend is the "strong North, weak South" characteristic in the regional car markets, with the northern regions, particularly Northeast and Northwest, showing significant growth [3][4] - The policy support for low-end and economical vehicles has led to a recovery in the A00 and A0 class electric vehicles, highlighting the fairness of the subsidy policies [1][2] Regional Market Trends - The northern regions, especially Northeast and Northwest, are experiencing robust growth, while the southern regions, particularly East China, are facing declines [3][4] - By September 2025, the market share of the northern regions is projected to increase by 5.7% compared to 2022, despite a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [2][3] - The overall market structure is shifting, with the central regions showing better performance than the eastern regions, as evidenced by a 1.1% increase in market share for the central region compared to the previous year [3][4] Policy Impact Analysis - The "Two New" subsidy policies are significantly influencing the regional market structure, encouraging the growth of small and economical electric vehicles [1][2] - The policies have led to a notable performance of A00 class vehicles in North and Northeast China, demonstrating the effectiveness of subsidies in promoting electric vehicle adoption [1][2] Market Structure Changes - The SUV segment is showing strong demand in the central and western regions, while the eastern regions are leaning towards lower-end electric vehicles due to their geographical characteristics [6][7] - The overall structure of the passenger car market is shifting towards SUVs, particularly in mountainous and hilly areas, where demand is higher [6][7] New Energy Vehicle Trends - By September 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach significant levels, with traditional fuel vehicles still holding a substantial market share in the northern and central regions [9][10] - Regions like Hainan and Guangxi are witnessing a rapid increase in the share of new energy vehicles, reaching around 60% [10]