Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil prices have been on a downward trend, leading to a significant reduction in domestic refined oil retail prices, with an expected decrease of 80 yuan/ton by October 13, 2025 [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The reference crude oil price change rate briefly rose before entering a downward channel, with a calculated adjustment of -80 yuan/ton after the ninth working day [1] - As of October 10, the reference crude oil change rate was -1.87%, indicating a strong likelihood of a price reduction in domestic refined oil [1] Group 2: Market Influences - The pricing period has been extended due to the overlap of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, affecting market dynamics [1] - Geopolitical tensions and underwhelming OPEC+ production increases initially caused oil prices to rise, but subsequent geopolitical de-escalation and trade tensions led to price declines [1] Group 3: Consumer Impact - If the price reduction is implemented, it will mark the eighth decrease in domestic refined oil retail prices this year, potentially lowering consumer fuel costs further [1]

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil prices have been fluctuating downwards, leading to a significant probability of a reduction in domestic refined oil retail prices in China, with an expected decrease of 80 yuan per ton by October 13, 2025 [1] Group 1: Oil Price Trends - During the current pricing cycle, which spans from September 23 to October 13, international crude oil prices have shown a downward trend [1] - The domestic reference crude oil change rate briefly rose before entering a downward channel, with a calculated adjustment of -1.87% as of October 10 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The pricing cycle has been extended due to the overlap with the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, affecting market dynamics [1] - Initial increases in oil prices were driven by geopolitical tensions and underwhelming production increases from OPEC+, but these factors have since reversed, contributing to the recent price declines [1] Group 3: Consumer Impact - If the price adjustment occurs as expected, it will mark the eighth reduction in domestic refined oil retail prices this year, potentially lowering consumer fuel costs further [1]

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil prices have been primarily fluctuating downwards during the current pricing cycle, leading to a temporary rise in domestic crude oil price change rates before entering a downward trend again [1] Group 1: Pricing Cycle Analysis - The current pricing cycle spans from September 23, 2025, to October 13, 2025, and is notably extended due to the overlap with the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [1] - Geopolitical conflicts and OPEC+ production increase plans falling short of expectations have contributed to the recent rise in crude oil prices [1] Group 2: Consumer Impact - If the upcoming price adjustment results in a decrease, it will mark the eighth reduction in domestic refined oil retail prices this year, potentially lowering consumer fuel costs further [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the current market conditions for gold, highlighting its oscillating pattern and potential support levels that may present investment opportunities [1] - It also addresses the recent pullback in crude oil prices and questions the feasibility of taking long positions in this context [1] Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently experiencing a volatile trading pattern, with strong resistance levels impacting its price movements [1] - The support levels in the gold market may provide potential buying opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on price fluctuations [1] Group 2: Crude Oil Market Insights - The article notes a recent decline in crude oil prices, prompting a discussion on the viability of entering long positions in the oil market [1]

Core Viewpoint - WTI crude oil has retraced to $74 per barrel, with the intraday increase narrowing to 3.18% [1] Group 1 - WTI crude oil price has experienced a decline to $74 per barrel [1] - The intraday increase in WTI crude oil price has been recorded at 3.18% [1]