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联邦制药(03933.HK):减重布局持续完善 口服减重领域潜力十足;抗生素周期向下 主业略呈压 胰岛素制剂出海超预期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-07 11:25
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in its mid-year results for 2025, with a decline in antibiotic-related revenues but an unexpected strong performance in insulin exports [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.52 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1]. - Gross profit for H1 2025 was 3.92 billion yuan, up 17.3% year-on-year [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.89 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.0% [1]. - Revenue from intermediates was 1.01 billion yuan, down 23.1% year-on-year, while raw material drug revenue was 2.53 billion yuan, down 27.0% [1]. - The combined revenue from formulation products and external licensing was 3.98 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 65.9% [1]. Group 2: Product Performance - Revenue from antibiotic formulations, including semi-synthetic penicillins and cephalosporins, totaled 799 million yuan, down 10.0% year-on-year [1]. - Insulin products generated 961 million yuan in revenue, marking a substantial increase of 74.5% year-on-year [1]. - The animal health business reported revenue of 565 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year [1]. - Other formulations generated 221 million yuan, down 28.9% year-on-year [1]. - External licensing revenue was 1.43 billion yuan [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company has a comprehensive layout in the weight loss sector, with successful launches and applications for GLP-1 products [2]. - The company expects to submit clinical applications for its oral GLP-1 drug UBT48128 in 2026, which shows promising preclinical results [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 13.50 billion, 13.90 billion, and 14.75 billion yuan, with expected year-on-year growth rates of -1.86%, 2.97%, and 6.08% respectively [2]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are set at 2.40 billion, 2.47 billion, and 2.74 billion yuan [2].