Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent improvement in supply-demand policies is expected to partially reverse the current unfavorable economic situation, driven by increased domestic demand from projects like the Yaxia Hydropower Station and ongoing "anti-involution" policies [4][10] - The cyclical stocks have shown strong performance recently, with the market's expectations for price improvements rapidly increasing, indicating a potential continuation of market valuation support in the short term [4][10] - The report emphasizes that the current market environment is characterized by ample liquidity, which, combined with the low valuation levels of cyclical sectors, has contributed to the rapid upward movement of these stocks [4][10] Stock Recommendations - The August stock selection includes: SF Express (transportation), Satellite Chemical (chemicals), Anji Technology (chemicals), Heng Rui Medicine (pharmaceuticals), Bairen Medical (pharmaceuticals), Beijing Renli (services), Feiliwa (electronics), Industrial Fulian (electronics), Pengding Holdings (electronics), and Hehe Information (computers) [10][11] - The report notes that the July stock selection achieved an absolute return of 9.64%, outperforming the market benchmark (CSI 300) by 6.10 percentage points, with individual stocks like Jitu Express-W and Shenghong Technology yielding returns of 57.23% and 42.94%, respectively [6][10] Industry Analysis Transportation Sector - SF Express reported a steady growth in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 2.234 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.87%, driven by an improved product matrix and service competitiveness [12][13] Chemical Sector - Satellite Chemical achieved a record high net profit in Q4 2024, benefiting from stable raw material prices and increased sales margins, with a sales gross margin of 27.11% [14][15] - Anji Technology experienced rapid revenue growth in 2024, with a gross margin of 58.45%, attributed to market expansion and product diversification [17][18] Pharmaceutical Sector - Heng Rui Medicine's overseas licensing agreements have contributed to significant revenue growth, with Q4 2024 net profit increasing by 107.20% year-on-year [20][21] - Bairen Medical's revenue growth was driven by the successful launch of its first interventional valve product, which significantly boosted its performance in 2024 [22][23] Service Sector - Beijing Renli has a strong market presence in the human resources industry, with a broad service offering and a robust client base, positioning it for continued growth [25][26] Electronics Sector - Feiliwa is expanding its production capacity in quartz fiber cloth, targeting the growing demand in the PCB market, with a projected CAGR of 12% from 2024 to 2029 [27][28] - Industrial Fulian's cloud computing business has shown significant growth, with revenue from AI servers increasing by over 150% [31][32] - Pengding Holdings is expected to achieve steady revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by cost control and product structure optimization [33][34]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in futures markets, particularly in coal and steel, has led to a strong performance in related stocks, indicating a potential recovery in the cyclical sectors driven by policy support and improving demand conditions [1][7]. Group 1: Futures Market Movements - On July 30, coal futures rose nearly 7%, with other commodities like coke and glass also seeing significant increases of around 6% [1]. - The strong performance in the futures market translated into the stock market, with cyclical sectors such as steel, coal, and chemicals experiencing a robust rally [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance - The steel sector saw an average increase of over 3% in early trading, with notable performers including Xining Special Steel hitting the daily limit, and Ba Yi Steel and Baosteel rising by over 5% and 4%, respectively [1][2]. - The coal sector also performed well, with Antai Group hitting the daily limit and Shaanxi Black Cat and Huaibei Mining both increasing by over 2% [4]. Group 3: Chemical Sector Developments - The basic chemical sector rose by 1.05%, with companies like Wankai New Materials and Luban Chemical hitting the daily limit, while others like Jiu Ri New Materials and Songjing Co. saw increases of over 5% [5][6]. Group 4: Policy and Economic Context - The current cyclical rally began in late June, driven by signals of policy support from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, which is set to introduce measures to stabilize growth in key industries such as steel and petrochemicals [5][7]. - Recent regulatory changes, including the draft amendment to the Price Law, aim to curb disorderly competition in industries like steel and chemicals, promoting profit recovery [5][7]. Group 5: Industry Profitability - The gross profit per ton of steel has rebounded from 86 yuan in Q2 to 213 yuan for rebar, reflecting the positive impact of policy measures [7]. - In the coal sector, the National Energy Administration has initiated production checks to control overproduction, while coal imports have dropped over 30% year-on-year, tightening supply expectations [7].