Group 1: Monthly Strategy Insights - The report indicates that in July, small-cap stocks are likely to outperform, supported by a monthly quantitative model signal of 0.83, suggesting an overweight position in small-cap stocks [1] - The long-term outlook favors small-cap stocks over the next one to two years, with the current market capitalization factor valuation spread at 1.15, which is lower than historical highs of 1.7 to 2.6 [1] - The report acknowledges a previous misjudgment in June regarding style allocation, where the expected excess return was 0%, and emphasizes a strategy of favoring small-cap stocks unless strong signals for large-cap stocks are present [1] Group 2: Value and Growth Style Rotation - The monthly quantitative model signal for value and growth style rotation is 0.33, indicating a preference for growth stocks in July, which historically tend to outperform during this month [2] - Year-to-date, the value-growth style rotation strategy has achieved an excess return of 6.2% compared to an equal-weight benchmark [2] Group 3: Factor Performance Tracking - Among eight major factors, volatility and value factors showed positive returns this month, while large-cap and liquidity factors exhibited negative returns [2] - Year-to-date, volatility and momentum factors have also shown positive returns, with large-cap and liquidity factors remaining negative [2] - In the analysis of 24 style factors, beta, industry momentum, and short-term reversal factors performed well this month, while large-cap, mid-cap, and liquidity factors did not [2]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 量化市场跟踪 大类因子表现： 本周全市场股票池中，Beta因子和流动性因子分别获取正收益1.06%、0.37%；市值因子和残差波动率因子 分别获取负收益-0.64%、-0.31%，市场表现为小市值风格；盈利因子获取负收益-0.30%；其余风格因子表 现一般。 单因子表现： 沪深300股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有单季度净利润同比增长率 (1.94%)、5日反转 (1.83%)、标准化预 期外收入(1.79%)。表现较差的因子有大单净流入(-0.87%)、ROIC增强因子 (-0.63%)、单季度ROA (-0.45%)。 中证500股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有总资产增长率(1.84%)、单季度营业收入同比增长率 (1.56% ...

广发证券资深金工分析师 周飞鹏 一季度各主要类型北向资金占 A 股市值比环比降速较 2024Q4 均显著改善； 截至 2025/03/31 ，北 向整体持股市值为 2.24 万亿元人民币（较 2024Q4 末增长约 257 亿元），占 A 股自由流通市值比 约 5.5% （较 2024Q4 末下降 0.09% ）。其中，长线配置型资金外资银行持股市值 1.71 万亿元（较 上期末增长约 108 亿元），占 A 股自由流通市值比为 4.2% （较上期下降 0.09% ）；短线交易型资 金外资券商持股市值 0.38 万亿元（较上期增长约 112 亿元），占 A 股自由流通市值比为 0.93% （较上期增长 0.003% ）。 风格偏好： SAC: S0260512020003 anningning@gf.com.cn 广发金工安宁宁陈原文团队 摘要 持股市值： SAC: S0260521120003 zhoufeipeng@gf.com.cn 广发证券首席金工分析师 安宁宁 从存量看，北向整体较全 A 超配的风格包括市值、动量、波动率、非线性市值、盈利、成长、杠 杆；低配的风格包括贝塔、 BP 、流动性，其中对高 ...