国债需求

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花旗:美元稳定币“反映而非巩固”美元地位,非美稳定币是“去美元化”重要指标
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-03 07:22
美国国债需求短期内不会因稳定币增长而大幅提升? 据追风交易台信息,花旗在6月20日的报告中表示,美元稳定币的崛起更多是美元储备地位的反映,而非推动因素。美国国债需 求短期内不会因稳定币增长而大幅提升,非美稳定币的相对增长将成为去美元化趋势的重要观察指标。 稳定币增长难以实质性推动美债需求 GENIUS稳定币法案已在参议院通过,众议院的STABLE法案也已出委员会。花旗认为这是为美国数字资产提供监管明确性的重 要步骤,对整个行业构成利好。立法通过是数字资产监管框架完善的关键里程碑,有助于加速稳定币的广泛应用。 市场普遍关注稳定币是否将成为美国国债需求的新增长点(提升美元地位)。 花旗分析认为,该问题的答案是有条件的 "既是又不是"。背后的关键在于资金来源:如果新发稳定币来自现有银行存款或货币 市场基金的转移,实际上不会产生净新增美债需求。 目前泰达币(Tether)和 Circle 主要持有美国国债,并通过回购交易来支撑资产。 花旗认为,短期内在稳定币普及度提升之前,其增长不会显著增加美国国债需求。当前稳定币的增长可能会分流银行存款(降 低银行对美国国债的需求)和 / 或货币市场基金(直接减少美国国债需求)。如 ...
美国财长贝森特:稳定币立法可能在7月中旬完成,这将是对美国国债需求的一个来源。
news flash· 2025-06-30 14:00
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, indicated that legislation on stablecoins may be completed by mid-July, which could create a new source of demand for U.S. Treasury securities [1] Group 1 - The potential completion of stablecoin legislation is expected to influence the demand dynamics for U.S. Treasury bonds [1] - The introduction of stablecoins could provide an alternative investment vehicle, thereby impacting the overall market for government securities [1]
美银警告:外国对美国国债的需求正在下降
news flash· 2025-06-16 13:55
金十数据6月16日讯,美国银行警告说,外国对美国国债的兴趣可能正在减弱。上周,代表国外需求的 托管资产急剧下降,美元资产持有量自4月份以来减少了600多亿美元。尽管近期美国国债标售缓解了眼 下的担忧,但美国银行表示,随着越来越多的全球投资者减少对美国资产的敞口,长期趋势令人不安。 美银警告:外国对美国国债的需求正在下降 ...
长期美债需求担忧压顶之际 30年期美债拍卖成关键考验
智通财经网· 2025-06-12 08:58
Group 1 - The focus is on the upcoming auction of $22 billion in 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds amid concerns over demand for long-term bonds due to the expanding U.S. government fiscal deficit [1] - The nonpartisan "Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget" estimates that the tax reform pushed by the Trump administration will increase U.S. government debt by $3.3 trillion over the next decade, potentially leading to more bond issuance [1] - The U.S. Treasury reported that the federal budget deficit expanded to $316 billion in May, bringing the cumulative deficit for the first eight months of the fiscal year to $1.36 trillion, a 14% increase from the previous year [1] Group 2 - The recent auction of 20-year U.S. Treasury bonds was disappointing, with the highest bid rate reaching 5.047%, marking the largest tail spread in six months, and the bid-to-cover ratio dropping to 2.46 [2] - The poor performance of the 20-year bond auction led to a sell-off in long-term U.S. Treasuries, with the 30-year bond yield rising to 5.15%, close to a 20-year high, impacting U.S. stocks and the dollar [2] Group 3 - U.S. inflation in May was lower than expected, boosting demand for short-term Treasuries as traders increased bets on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [4] - A strong auction of 10-year U.S. Treasuries, with a winning yield of 4.421%, indicated investor willingness to accept lower returns for these bonds [4] Group 4 - Despite lower inflation, it remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and policymakers are cautious about further rate cuts due to potential inflationary impacts from tariffs [5] - Bond management firms like DoubleLine Capital and PIMCO prefer holding Treasuries with maturities under 10 years and are reducing allocations to long-term bonds, viewing them as no longer a true risk-free asset [5] - Some analysts, however, see potential in 30-year Treasuries, suggesting they may rebound if auction demand is strong or deficit concerns ease [5]