Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The online music service industry has experienced significant growth over the past 20 years, characterized by streaming and globalization. According to IFPI, the global recorded music industry revenue is projected to reach approximately $30 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5%. Streaming revenue accounts for nearly 70% of this total, with paid subscription revenue expected to reach $15.1 billion, growing by 9.5% year-on-year. Advertising revenue is anticipated to grow by 1.2% [2][3]. Key Characteristics of the Online Music Service Industry - The industry has high entry barriers due to high content copyright costs and strong two-sided network effects. High copyright costs make it difficult for new entrants to compete effectively in the short term. The market is dominated by major record labels, which control a significant portion of the content [3][4]. - The upstream of the industry is primarily controlled by record companies, which manage a large number of tracks. The downstream monetization relies on the user base of platforms, generating revenue through subscriptions and advertising. The three major music groups in the U.S. control 85% of the track count and 74% of the global digital music upstream [5][6]. Competitive Landscape - In the overseas market, platforms like Spotify, Apple Music, and Amazon Music dominate, with market shares of 36%, 31%, and 24% respectively. However, their profitability is affected by the monopoly of upstream record companies. In contrast, in the Chinese market, Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music hold the majority market share, approximately 70-80% combined, while the emerging platform, Soda Music, poses limited threat due to its recent establishment and lack of quality content [6][7][8]. Trends in the Domestic Online Music Market - The main trends in the domestic online music market focus on increasing the number of paid users and raising the average revenue per user (ARPU). Tencent Music's monthly active users are nearing their peak, with future growth relying on paid user numbers and pricing. NetEase Cloud Music and Soda Music are currently in the phase of expanding their user base [9][10]. - The domestic market has seen significant regulatory changes, such as the strict copyright regulations in 2015 and the administrative penalties against Tencent in 2021, which have allowed competitors like NetEase Cloud Music to accumulate more tracks [10]. Profit Growth Strategies - Online music platforms are achieving profit growth by optimizing content costs, expanding user bases, and increasing subscription revenues. The market is valuing internet companies highly due to their stable business models and favorable competitive landscapes. Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music have room for long-term profit margin improvements [11][12]. Valuation and Market Sentiment - The online music sector has seen significant stock price increases this year, driven by favorable policies, market regulatory guidance, and content cost optimization. Despite low double-digit revenue growth, investor confidence remains high due to these factors [13][14]. - In 2025, internet companies are receiving high valuations due to their stable business models and competitive environments. Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music are particularly well-positioned, with Tencent Music's non-GAAP P/E ratio around 26-27 times and NetEase Cloud Music's around 31-32 times [15][16]. Future Development Potential - Both Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music have significant growth potential, with opportunities to double their paid user bases. They are also actively expanding into long audio, artist management, and fan operations [16][17]. - Tencent Music has made strategic investments, including a $1.26 billion cash acquisition of Himalaya and a stake in South Korea's SM Entertainment, indicating its intent to strengthen its position in the long audio content and fan economy sectors [20]. Notable Developments in NetEase Cloud Music - NetEase Cloud Music is enhancing its social attributes and UGC ecosystem, showing considerable potential for profit improvement. The platform has a high proportion of users born after the 90s, and its recent features, such as "Music Notes," are expected to enhance its financial performance [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the online music industry [1] Core Insights - The online music industry exhibits strong bilateral effects and is less correlated with the economy, with "one super and one strong" company identified as high-quality long-term cash flow assets [2] - The industry is characterized by high concentration due to significant copyright fees, making it difficult for new entrants [2] - The growth of music subscriptions is driven by supply-side factors, with low churn rates observed in subscription services [2][32] - The Chinese digital music market is expected to grow by 15% year-on-year in 2024, outpacing global growth [7][12] Summary by Sections 01 Overview of Domestic and International Online Music Industry - The online music industry has a high concentration, with Tencent Music holding approximately 66% market share and NetEase Cloud Music around 27% [25] - The industry is experiencing a shift towards subscription models, with significant growth in paid users [32] 02 Tencent Music and Spotify Stock Review - Tencent Music's subscription business is a key growth driver, with a projected CAGR of 19% for subscription revenue from 2024 to 2027 [5] - Spotify is expected to achieve profitability in 2024, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [4] 03 Financial Analysis - The subscription penetration rates for Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music are projected to reach 25% and 20.6% respectively by 2024 [5] - The average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) for Tencent Music is expected to increase, driven by the development of premium services [5] 04 Valuation Analysis and Investment Recommendations - The online music industry is projected to maintain a CAGR of 15% over the next three years, indicating growth potential [5] - Current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for Tencent Music, NetEase Cloud Music, and Spotify are 23x, 27x, and 38x respectively for 2025 [5]

腾讯音乐突然出手。 据韩国金融监督院电子公示系统5月27日消息，韩国娱乐巨头HYBE将于本月30日收盘后通过场外大宗交易方 式，向腾讯音乐娱乐集团（简称"腾讯音乐"）旗下香港法人出售其所持全部SM娱乐股份，交易金额约2433亿 韩元（约合人民币12.9亿元）。 腾讯音乐是中国在线音乐娱乐服务开拓者，提供在线音乐和以音乐为核心的社交娱乐两大服务。腾讯音乐在中 国有着广泛的用户基础，拥有目前国内市场知名的四大移动音乐产品：QQ音乐、酷狗音乐、酷我音乐和全民 K歌。 数据显示，腾讯音乐2024年总收入为284.0亿元，同比增长2.3%，调整后净利润81.4亿元，同比增长30.7%。该 公司解释，在线音乐业务表现强劲，推动收入增长，利润率进一步提升。该公司在音乐产业链上积极开拓创 新，不仅持续引领行业发展，也进一步丰富了平台生态，驱动付费用户渗透率不断提高，用户的全周期价值得 到大幅提升。 今年一季度，腾讯音乐总收入为73.6亿元，同比增长8.7%，调整后净利润为22.3亿元，同比增长22.8%。其 中，在线音乐业务持续高质量增长，推动其稳健发展。第一季度，腾讯音乐在线音乐服务收入同比增长15.9% 至58.0亿元， ...

在线音乐是指通过互联网进行传播、播放和存储的音乐内容。用户可以借助各种电子设备，如电脑、手 机、平板电脑等，连接到互联网，通过在线音乐平台访问和享受大量的音乐资源，无需像传统方式那样 购买实体音乐介质（如CD、磁带等）或事先将音乐文件下载到本地设备。 截至2023年年末，国内在线音乐付费用户数量实现飞跃式增长，已成功突破1.5亿人次。这一数字不仅 彰显了中国音乐市场付费模式逐渐深入人心，更预示着行业正迈向更为成熟、健康的发展阶段，为在线 音乐产业注入强劲动力。 在数字音乐市场蓬勃发展的当下，我国在线音乐领域成绩斐然。据中国音像与数字出版协会数字音乐工 作委员会发布的《中国数字音乐产业报告(2023)》显示，2023年我国在线音乐市场规模攀升至239.8亿 元。 中国在线音乐行业的竞争格局近年来趋于稳定，主要由腾讯音乐娱乐集团（TME）和网易云音乐两大 巨头主导，形成"两强争霸"的局面。腾讯音乐娱乐集团在中国在线音乐市场的份额长期保持在70%以 上，占据绝对主导地位。 华经产业研究院研究团队使用桌面研究与定量调查、定性分析相结合的方式，全面客观的剖析在线音乐 行业发展的总体市场容量、产业链、经营特性、盈利能力和 ...

资料显示，腾讯音乐娱乐集团(纽交所股票代码:TME及港交所股票代码:1698)是中国领先的在线音乐与 音频娱乐平台,运营着在国内市场广受欢迎的创新性音乐产品:QQ音乐、酷狗音乐、酷我音乐和全民K 歌。公司的平台提供在线音乐、在线音频、在线K歌、以音乐为核心的直播及线上演出等服务。公司不 仅是音乐流媒体服务提供商,还将平台打造成一个庞大的社区,让音乐爱好者围绕音乐"发现、听、唱、 看、演出、社交"。在公司的平台上,分享、点赞、评论、关注和赠送虚拟礼物等社交互动形式与公司的 产品深度融合,并与公司为用户提供的核心音乐体验高度互补,这进一步提高了用户的参与度和留存率。 公司的一站式音乐与音频娱乐平台让用户在社交场景下与音乐亲密互动。公司拥有海量的曲库内容,包 括授权、自制及共创内容。公司也以现场及录制形式提供广泛的专业制作视频内容,包括音乐视频、演 唱会和音乐表演。此外,数亿用户在公司的平台上分享他们的K歌作品、短视频、音乐直播演出、评论及 音乐相关的文章。公司也是音乐厂牌和内容所有者的优选合作伙伴,公司与其在版权保护方面紧密合作, 在创作、发行和商业化方面赋能艺人、音乐人和表演者。公司的使命愿景是用科技创造音乐无 ...