Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - The conference call primarily discusses a company involved in the gaming and card trading industry, focusing on its business model and market dynamics. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Long Lifecycle of Games**: The company has a long lifecycle for its games, with potential revenue peaks extending beyond 10 to 20 years, combining advantages of both heavy and light games [1] 2. **Internet Marketing Business**: The company has been involved in internet marketing since 1889, assisting major platforms like ByteDance [2] 3. **Profit Sources**: The company’s three main business segments generate annual profits in the range of 500 to 600 million [3] 4. **Growth in Secondary Trading Platform**: The secondary trading platform, 卡陶, reported a Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) of 3 billion last year, up from 1 billion the previous year, indicating a rapid growth rate of approximately 40% expected this year [4][6] 5. **Commission Model**: The business model involves a 5% commission on transactions within the secondary trading platform, contributing to a few million in annual profits [4][6] 6. **IP Partnerships**: The company has secured partnerships with major football clubs for card issuance in China, including Manchester United and Barcelona [4][7] 7. **Emerging IPs**: The company is expanding into entertainment IPs, with plans to develop cards for popular franchises like Pokémon and Disney [10][11] 8. **Market Dynamics**: The card trading market is maturing, with the company focusing on both sports and entertainment IPs to attract a broader audience [8][16] 9. **Overseas Market Potential**: The company is exploring overseas markets, particularly in the secondary trading space, where eBay holds a 50% market share, representing a potential market size of approximately 150 billion USD [13][14] 10. **Future Plans**: There are no immediate plans for independent listings of subsidiary companies, as the focus remains on business development and IP acquisition [15] 11. **Profit Expectations**: The company anticipates a profit of around 50 million this year, driven by collaborations and a shift towards higher-margin businesses [18] 12. **Challenges in Gaming Revenue**: The gaming segment has faced challenges, with current revenue not meeting expectations, but there is hope for stabilization and growth in the coming months [20] Other Important but Overlooked Content - The company is actively engaging with investors and addressing their concerns regarding market trends and business strategies [3][17] - The call highlighted the importance of adapting to consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics who are becoming the main consumer force [3] - The company is also considering expanding its card offerings to include more diverse IPs to capture different market segments [10][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [29]. Core Insights - The company's Q4 2024 performance met expectations with a revenue of 1.94 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 1.5%, and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 33%. However, Q1 2025 showed pressure with a revenue of 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 11% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 32% [1]. - The company anticipates new products to drive revenue growth, with two new SLG products expected to contribute positively in 2025 [7]. - The computer business is accelerating, with a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 22%, primarily driven by cloud services [7]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.45 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 8.2%. For 2025, revenue is expected to reach 6.87 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 6.4% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is estimated at 1.43 billion yuan, with a significant year-over-year growth of 60.9%. However, a decline of 10.7% is expected in 2025, with a projected net profit of 1.28 billion yuan [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is forecasted at 0.73 yuan, decreasing to 0.65 yuan in 2025 [3]. Market Position and Valuation - The company's current market capitalization is approximately 21.98 billion yuan, with a target price range of 13.00 to 15.07 yuan based on performance expectations [3]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected at 15 for 2024, increasing to 17 in 2025, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decrease from 3.1 to 2.7 over the same period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [29]. Core Insights - The company's Q4 2024 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 1.94 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 1.5%, and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 33%. However, Q1 2025 showed a decline in performance, with revenue of 1.32 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 11% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 32% [1]. - The company anticipates new products to drive revenue growth, with two new SLG products expected to contribute positively in 2025. The existing product line is expected to maintain stable revenue [7]. - The computer business is experiencing accelerated growth, with a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 22% [7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.9 billion yuan, 7.8 billion yuan, and 8.6 billion yuan, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 6%, 13%, and 11% [3]. - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 1.28 billion yuan, 1.41 billion yuan, and 1.55 billion yuan, with a year-over-year decrease of 11% in 2025, followed by increases in subsequent years [3]. - The company has a target price range of 13.00-15.07 yuan based on its performance and market conditions, with a current price of 11.20 yuan [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 6.452 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.22%, with a net profit of 1.428 billion yuan, up 60.92% year-over-year, indicating strong financial performance despite a decline in Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Game Business - The gaming segment achieved a revenue of 4.662 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 3.66% and a gross margin of 72.70%, reflecting a 1.56 percentage point increase [2] - The net profit from gaming was 1.552 billion yuan, up 40.47% year-over-year, with a net profit margin of 33.28%, an increase of 8.72 percentage points [2] - The company expects a natural decline in revenue from existing products in Q1 2025, leading to an overall revenue decrease of 11.07% year-over-year [2][3] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain long-term operations for existing games, with expectations for stable revenue from key titles like "Age of Origins" and "War and Order" [3] - New games "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" are set to launch in overseas markets by the end of 2024, with plans for large-scale promotion in mid to late 2025 [3] - The company has additional RPG and SLG games in the pipeline, which are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [3] Group 3: Computer Business - The computer and other businesses generated revenue of 1.790 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 22.21% [4] - AI/ICT operations accounted for 1.478 billion yuan, growing 20.53% year-over-year, while IoT/communications revenue reached 133 million yuan, up 62.30% [4] - The company is focusing on integrating AI across various business lines, enhancing profitability and growth potential [4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.59, 0.64, and 0.69 yuan, respectively, reflecting a downward revision from previous estimates [5] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 19, 18, and 17 times for 2025-2027 [5] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by strong computer business growth and a robust pipeline of new games [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.82% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.43% [1][2]. - The newly launched game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" performed exceptionally well, generating 363 million yuan in revenue during Q1 2025, with over 2 million registered users [6][7]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new products and is actively investing in IP incubation and operation, with several upcoming game releases planned for 2025 [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a net operating cash flow of 213 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.73% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 49.54% [6]. - The company’s total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.11 billion yuan, 4.48 billion yuan, and 4.88 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 9%, and 9% [7][8]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.066 billion yuan, 1.120 billion yuan, and 1.231 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 13%, 5%, and 10% [7][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a stable long-term operation for existing games, with significant contributions from domestic game revenue. The domestic game business saw a total revenue of 3.21 billion yuan from "Wen Dao" and 4.41 billion yuan from "Wen Dao Mobile" in Q1 2025 [6]. - The company is focusing on new game launches and has a rich reserve of products, including the self-developed game "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and the licensed game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye" [6][7]. - The company is also investing in well-known enterprises and actively exploring IP operations across various media formats, including novels and animations [6][7].