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地方债发行提速
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 11:24
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report tracks the supply and trading of local government bonds, including the issuance rhythm, pricing, and regional characteristics in the primary market, as well as the trading volume, price fluctuations, and regional differences in the secondary market [10][23]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Primary Supply Rhythm - **Issuance Scale**: Last week (August 18 - 22, 2025), local government bonds issued a total of 369.2 billion yuan, including 239.3 billion yuan in new special bonds and 73.5 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds. As of August 22, 2025, the issuance of special refinancing special bonds in August reached 55 billion yuan, accounting for 5.6% of the monthly local bond issuance [10]. - **Fund Use**: "Special new special bonds" and "ordinary/project revenue" are the main areas for special bond fund investment [10]. - **Pricing**: The average issuance interest rate of local bonds continued to rise. The spreads between the issuance interest rates of 30 - year, 20 - year, and 10 - year local bonds and the same - term treasury bonds widened to 23BP, 22BP, and 19BP respectively [17]. - **Regional Differences**: In August, Anhui, Zhejiang, Hebei, Hunan, and Jiangsu were the main regions for local bond issuance. Jiangsu's issuance scale of local bonds with a term of 7 years and less exceeded 50 billion yuan. The average coupon rates of local government bonds in Ningxia, Gansu, and Jilin were above 2.2% [20]. 2. Secondary Trading Characteristics - **Price Fluctuations**: Last week, the weekly fluctuations of the 7 - 10 - year and over - 10 - year local bond indexes were a decline of 0.56% and 1.03% respectively, with a larger decline than the same - term treasury bonds and the same performance as ultra - long - term credit bonds [23]. - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of Sichuan government bonds decreased significantly on a month - on - month basis, with a weekly decrease of 160 transactions. The trading volumes of local bonds in Guangxi and Zhejiang increased marginally [23]. - **Trading Income**: The average trading terms of government bonds in Shandong, Sichuan, Hebei, and Hunan were over 25 years, and the average trading income was basically between 2.2% and 2.3% [23].
10年地方债换手率抬升
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-19 12:08
一、存量市场概览 上周(2025.6.9-2025.6.13,下同)地方政府债市场持续扩容,截至 2025 年 6 月 13 日,地方债存量规模达到 51.1 万 亿元。从地方债类型分布来看,存续的地方债中新增专项债规模占比超过 43%,再融资专项债占比为 21%。进一步细 分专项债的募集资金投向,明确资金用途的存量债中,棚户区改造、园区新区建设、乡村振兴是规模较大的投向领域, 存量余额分别为 1.96 万亿、1.57 万亿和 1.12 万亿元。其次收费公路存量余额超过 8800 亿元,水利和生态项目存量 余额也在 2000 亿以上。截至 2025 年 6 月 13 日,广东、江苏、山东地方债存量规模仍位居三甲,存量规模分别为 3.39 万亿元、3.28 万亿元和 3.1 万亿元,其余 GDP 大省如四川、浙江、湖南、河南、河北、湖北存量规模也位于 2 万亿以 上。 二、一级供给节奏 上周地方政府债共发行 1077.85 亿元,其中,新增专项债 70.72 亿元,再融资专项债 400.07 亿元。分募集资金用途 来看,"普通/项目收益"和"偿还地方债券"是专项债资金的主要投放领域。截至 2025 年 6 月 ...