地方债利率
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债市日报:1月9日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 07:59
新华财经北京1月9日电债市周五(1月9日)偏弱整理,上日热情表现在股市强势之下被快速挤压,国债 期货主力小幅收跌,银行间现券收益率早间部分延续回落,午后仅超长债占优,其他期限收益率回升 1BP左右;公开市场单日净投放340亿元,资金利率走势延续分化。 机构认为,需要关注更多经济数据,以判断经济基本面是否在发生变化。开年后流动性充盈,市场资金 需求亦火热,质押式回购成交接近8.9万亿元创新高。而随着成交量的快速攀升,资金供需基本已达平 衡状态,市场利率仍会保持相对稳定。 【行情跟踪】 国债期货收盘全线下跌,30年期主力合约跌0.07%报110.87,10年期主力合约跌0.02%报107.765,5年期 主力合约跌0.03%报105.57,2年期主力合约跌0.03%报102.336。 银行间主要利率债收益率窄幅波动,超长端表现稍优,30年期国债"25超长特别国债06"收益率下行 0.6BP报2.3085%,10年期国开债"25国开15"收益率持平报1.975%,10年期国债"25附息国债16"收益率上 行0.1BP报1.889%。 中证转债指数收盘上涨0.89%,报513.79点,成交金额1012.05亿元。声迅 ...
10年地方债的稳健策略
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-11-13 14:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report tracks the supply and trading of local government bonds, analyzing the issuance rhythm, pricing, and trading characteristics in the primary and secondary markets [3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Supply Rhythm - Last week (November 3 - 7, 2025), local government bonds issued a total of 91.61 billion yuan, including 45.21 billion yuan of new special bonds and 12.73 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds. "Ordinary/Project Revenue" is the main investment area for special bond funds [3][10] - As of now in November, special refinancing bonds have issued approximately 69.3 billion yuan, accounting for 15.1% of the monthly local bond issuance scale [3][10] - In terms of issuance pricing, the downward range of the 10 - year local bond issuance rate is greater than that of the 20 - year and 30 - year varieties. The 10 - year local bond issuance rate has dropped by up to 6BP, and its spread with the same - maturity treasury bond has narrowed to 13.6BP, while the average issuance spreads of the 20 - year and 30 - year varieties have slightly widened compared to the previous week [3][16] - In November, Hubei, Yunnan, and Fujian are the main regions for local bond issuance. The issuance scale of local bonds over 20 years in Hubei reaches 9.25 billion yuan, and the average interest rate of Hubei's local government bonds with over 10 - year varieties accounting for nearly 90% reaches 2.31% [3][18] 3.2 Secondary Trading Characteristics - Last week (November 3 - 7, 2025), 7 - 10 - year local government bonds slightly outperformed the same - maturity treasury bonds and credit bonds, but the recent cumulative increase was weak. The 7 - 10 - year and over 10 - year local bond indices increased by 0.09% and decreased by 0.03% respectively. The 7 - 10 - year variety's increase exceeded that of the same - maturity treasury bonds and credit bonds, while the over 10 - year variety was inferior to high - grade credit bonds, and the cumulative return was significantly lower than that of the same - maturity treasury bonds and credit bonds [4][21] - In terms of provinces, government bonds in Guangdong, Jiangxi and other places were relatively actively traded, while the trading maturity of each province was still below the level in mid - early October. In terms of trading returns, the average returns of local government bonds in each region are mostly between 1.9% and 2.25%, and the number of trading transactions in provinces with excess returns such as Hebei and Guizhou has decreased [4][23]