Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices dropping over 1%. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell below 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 31 trading days, decreasing by 121.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,200 stocks in the market declined, while the chemical sector showed strength, and the glass fiber concept surged. The closing figures were: Shanghai Composite Index up 0.09%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.35%, and ChiNext down 1.08% [1]. Investment Insights National Investment Securities - National Investment Securities predicts a resurgence of the technology growth style after the Spring Festival, suggesting that historical trends indicate a significant style switch is likely. If the market leans towards value and large caps before the festival, it is expected to shift towards technology growth and small caps afterward. The firm believes that the technology growth style will likely prevail post-Spring Festival, supported by liquidity easing and weak macro fundamentals [2]. CITIC Securities - CITIC Securities notes that precious metals have experienced significant adjustments due to panic triggered by Kevin Warsh's nomination. However, the firm maintains that precious metals will continue to trend upward due to high global debt and increasing geopolitical risks. Basic industrial metals are expected to return to their supply-demand pricing after a brief adjustment, supported by genuine demand from downstream entities. Additionally, the U.S. has initiated a critical mineral reserve plan, highlighting the importance of mineral resources and driving up valuations for resource-related assets [3]. Guosheng Securities - Guosheng Securities highlights six key signals from the central bank's fourth-quarter monetary policy report. Notably, the report emphasizes promoting stable economic growth as a crucial consideration for monetary policy, indicating that a weakening fundamental outlook will likely trigger monetary easing. The report also reflects a cautious approach to interest rate cuts, with a shift from "promoting cost reduction" to "facilitating low-cost operation" in social financing. Furthermore, the report discusses the impact of resident deposit "loss" on liquidity and emphasizes the need for coordinated monetary and fiscal policies to enhance policy effectiveness [4].

Group 1: Precious Metals - Precious metals experienced significant volatility this week due to panic triggered by Kevin Warsh's nomination, but the upward trend remains intact due to rising sovereign credit risks and geopolitical tensions [1][2] - The main silver futures price dropped from 32,000 CNY/kg to a low of 17,900 CNY/kg, with implied volatility remaining high despite a slight decline [2] - The World Gold Council reported that global physical gold ETF inflows reached $18.7 billion in January 2026, marking a record high for a single month, with total ETF holdings increasing by 120 tons to 4,145 tons [2] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Basic industrial metals are showing a positive trend supported by real demand from downstream buyers, despite a temporary adjustment following the precious metals' volatility [1][6] - Copper prices are testing the key support level of 100,000 CNY/ton, with global copper inventories rising to 1.11 million tons, indicating a potential inventory replenishment after the Lunar New Year [6] - Aluminum prices are supported at 23,500 CNY/ton, with global inventories at historical lows and high operating rates for electrolytic aluminum, suggesting potential for new highs post-holiday [6]