基本面供需结构
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白银价格狂飙创历史新高!年内涨幅近90%,光伏与新能源引爆工业需求,长期短缺格局奠定涨势基础
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 00:46
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged significantly, reaching historical highs in both domestic and international markets, driven by macroeconomic monetary policy expectations and supply-demand dynamics [1] Group 1: Price Movements - On November 28, silver prices soared, with COMEX silver futures peaking at $57.245 per ounce and London spot silver reaching $56.78 per ounce [1] - The main contract for domestic silver futures hit a high of 13,239 yuan per kilogram [1] - Year-to-date, silver has experienced a cumulative increase of 90%, marking it as one of the strongest-performing commodities of the year [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The strong performance of silver is primarily driven by expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with the probability now exceeding 85%, up from around 40% a week prior [1] - This easing expectation has led to a weaker US dollar index, reducing the holding costs of silver and attracting significant capital inflows into the precious metals sector [1] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver market has faced a supply deficit for the fifth consecutive year, with an estimated shortfall of 95 million ounces [1] - High photovoltaic installation levels and increasing penetration of electric vehicles are expected to sustain industrial demand for silver in the long term [1] - Projections indicate that silver supply will continue to be in shortfall through 2026, providing strong support for silver prices [1]
白银历史新高!强势大涨,资金“做多”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-29 12:17
在国际金价高位震荡、贵金属市场热度不减的背景下,白银成为近期最耀眼的"明星"。 最新数据显示,COMEX白银期货、伦敦现货白银最高分别触及57.245美元/盎司、56.533美元/盎司,均刷新历史新高;国内沪银期货主力合约最高一度升 至13239元/千克,也刷新该合约上市以来新高。 业内人士表示,宏观货币政策预期、地缘局势以及基本面供需结构等,均为近期白银价格上涨提供支撑,看好其中长期价格走势表现,但也需警惕短期波 动风险。 市场做多情绪持续升温 近期,白银价格延续强劲上扬态势。Wind数据显示,当地时间11月28日,COMEX白银期货一举突破57美元/盎司关口,最高触及57.245美元/盎司,创下 历史新高,大涨超6%;伦敦现货白银价格同样表现强势,最高攀升至56.533美元/盎司,亦创下历史最高纪录,涨超5%。 | < W | COMEX白银 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SI.CMX | | | | | | 57.085 | | 昨结 | 53.825 | 开盘 | 23.855 | | +3.260 | +6.06% | 总手 ...
历史新高!强势大涨,资金“做多”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-29 12:13
在国际金价高位震荡、贵金属市场热度不减的背景下,白银成为近期最耀眼的"明星"。 最新数据显示,COMEX白银期货、伦敦现货白银最高分别触及57.245美元/盎司、56.533美元/盎司,均刷新历史新高;国内沪银期货主力合约最高一度升 至13239元/千克,也刷新该合约上市以来新高。 业内人士表示,宏观货币政策预期、地缘局势以及基本面供需结构等,均为近期白银价格上涨提供支撑,看好其中长期价格走势表现,但也需警惕短期波 动风险。 市场做多情绪持续升温 近期,白银价格延续强劲上扬态势。Wind数据显示,当地时间11月28日,COMEX白银期货一举突破57美元/盎司关口,最高触及57.245美元/盎司,创下 历史新高,大涨超6%;伦敦现货白银价格同样表现强势,最高攀升至56.533美元/盎司,亦创下历史最高纪录,涨超5%。 | < W | COMEX白银 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SI.CMX | | | | | | 57.085 | | 昨结 | 53.825 | 开盘 | 23.855 | | +3.260 | +6.06% | 总手 ...