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一图读懂《中国天然气发展报告2025》
国家能源局· 2025-08-29 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth and development of the global and Chinese natural gas market, highlighting consumption trends, production increases, and infrastructure advancements, while also addressing the impact of market reforms and pricing mechanisms. Global Natural Gas Market - In 2024, global natural gas consumption is projected to reach 4.13 trillion cubic meters, with a year-on-year growth rate increasing from 0.1% to 2.5% [4] - Major markets show varied growth: Europe up 1.4%, North America up 1.3%, and Asia-Pacific leading with a 4.5% increase [5] - Global oil and gas exploration and development investment is expected to be $554 billion in 2024, marking a 2.5% decline, the first drop since 2021 [5] - Global natural gas production is anticipated to reach 4.12 trillion cubic meters, a 1.5% increase year-on-year [5] - Natural gas trade volume is projected to grow by 1.9% to 1.2 trillion cubic meters in 2024, with pipeline gas trade increasing by 2.2% [6] Natural Gas Prices - The average annual price for TTF natural gas is expected to be $10.9 per million British thermal units, down 15.3% year-on-year [8] - Northeast Asia's LNG spot price is projected to average $11.8 per million British thermal units, a decrease of 26.6% [8] - The HH natural gas spot price is expected to average $2.19 per million British thermal units, down 13.6% [9] Chinese Natural Gas Market - In 2024, China's natural gas consumption is expected to grow by 7.3%, with its share in total primary energy consumption rising to 8.8%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points [10][11] - New proven geological reserves of natural gas in China are projected to exceed 1.6 trillion cubic meters in 2024 [11] - China's natural gas production is expected to reach 246.5 billion cubic meters, a 6.0% increase year-on-year [11] - Natural gas imports are projected to be 181.7 billion cubic meters, a 9.9% increase, with LNG imports growing by 7.7% [12] Infrastructure and Policy Developments - In 2024, over 4,000 kilometers of new long-distance natural gas pipelines are expected to be constructed, bringing the total to over 128,000 kilometers [12] - The implementation of the "Energy Law" provides a legal framework for the natural gas industry, promoting the development of unconventional gas resources [13] - Significant advancements in technology and equipment for natural gas exploration and production are reported, including breakthroughs in deep drilling and seismic exploration [14] Market Reforms and Pricing Mechanisms - Since 2017, China's natural gas market reforms have progressed, with increased market access for private enterprises and a rise in the number of pipeline operators [19] - The establishment of a market-based pricing mechanism for natural gas is underway, with significant progress in terminal price adjustments and the promotion of efficient gas utilization [20][21] - The construction of national trading centers is expected to enhance market liquidity, with trading volumes projected to reach 61.7 billion cubic meters in Shanghai and 48.3 billion cubic meters in Chongqing by 2024 [23]
中国天然气发展报告(2025)
国家能源局· 2025-08-29 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growth and transformation of China's natural gas industry, highlighting its role in the global energy transition and the importance of policy reforms to enhance market efficiency and security [8][36]. Group 1: Global Natural Gas Development Trends - In 2024, global natural gas consumption is projected to reach 4.13 trillion cubic meters, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.5%, driven by lower international gas prices and moderate economic recovery [11]. - Asia-Pacific leads global growth with a consumption increase of 4.5%, particularly in China and India, which see growth rates of 7.3% and 13.0%, respectively [11]. - Global natural gas production is expected to grow by 1.5% to 4.12 trillion cubic meters, with significant contributions from the Middle East and Russia [13]. - The global natural gas trade volume is anticipated to increase by 1.9%, with pipeline gas trade growing by 2.2% and LNG trade by 1.4% [13][14]. Group 2: China's Natural Gas Development - In 2024, China's natural gas consumption is expected to grow by 7.3%, with its share in total primary energy consumption rising to 8.8% [18]. - The industrial fuel consumption of natural gas is projected to increase by 6.1%, driven by equipment upgrades and the expansion of strategic emerging industries [19]. - Domestic natural gas production is forecasted to reach 246.5 billion cubic meters, marking a 6.0% increase, with unconventional gas production surpassing 100 billion cubic meters for the first time [20]. - Natural gas imports are expected to grow by 9.9% to 1.817 trillion cubic meters, with pipeline gas imports increasing by 13.1% [20]. Group 3: Market System Reforms - The implementation of the Energy Law aims to enhance the legal framework for the natural gas sector, promoting exploration and development while ensuring supply security [27]. - The establishment of the National Pipeline Network Group has facilitated the separation of transportation and sales, increasing the number of shippers from 5 to 765 [29]. - The marketization of natural gas pricing has progressed significantly, with the share of market-based pricing for various gas sources increasing [31]. Group 4: Future Outlook for Natural Gas Development - In the first half of 2025, China's natural gas consumption is expected to grow by 2% to 3%, with production continuing to increase for the ninth consecutive year [34]. - The completion of the China-Russia East Line is anticipated to enhance gas imports, while LNG imports will be adjusted based on international price fluctuations [34]. - The article highlights the importance of achieving a balance between supply and demand amid geopolitical uncertainties and climate change challenges [34].
中国华能:多能协同 汇聚迎峰度夏保供合力
Core Viewpoint - China Huaneng is actively responding to the challenges posed by Typhoon "Weipa" and is ensuring stable energy supply during the summer peak demand period through comprehensive measures and multi-energy coordination [1][11]. Group 1: Typhoon Response and Energy Supply - China Huaneng initiated a level III natural disaster warning on July 20, closely monitoring the typhoon's path and weather changes to ensure the safety and stability of its power generation units [1]. - The company has established a multi-energy supply network that integrates water, fire, wind, and solar energy to maintain energy supply security during high-temperature conditions [1]. Group 2: Hydropower Optimization - Huaneng Yunnan Company has optimized hydropower generation through precise forecasting and dynamic adjustment of power supply strategies, achieving a pre-flood water conservation increase of 10.91 billion kWh and a total energy storage conversion of over 86 billion kWh [2]. - The company has successfully increased hydropower generation by 3.36 billion kWh during the summer peak, with six hydropower stations operating at full capacity for 20 consecutive days [2]. Group 3: Renewable Energy Development - Huaneng Yunnan Company has accelerated the construction of renewable energy projects, achieving a total installed capacity of over 7.44 million kW, with solar and wind projects contributing over 45.9 billion kWh of green energy, a year-on-year increase of 33% [7][6]. - The company has implemented a "128" management system for renewable energy production, enhancing the utilization rates of wind and solar energy to 99.54% and 99.97%, respectively [6]. Group 4: Thermal Power Management - Huaneng Hebei Shangan Power Plant has established a task force to ensure energy supply during peak demand, achieving a maximum daily generation of 4.92 billion kWh and a monthly generation of 120 billion kWh, with a cumulative generation surpassing 550 billion kWh, a 9% year-on-year increase [5][8]. - The plant has improved fuel supply management and enhanced coal storage capacity to over 500,000 tons, ensuring reliable operation under varying load conditions [8]. Group 5: Ongoing Energy Supply Efforts - The company continues to implement detailed management strategies to ensure stable energy supply, with various plants across regions actively participating in peak load management and emergency preparedness [10][11]. - Huaneng is committed to maintaining energy supply security and supporting social and economic operations during high-temperature conditions, demonstrating its role as a central enterprise [11].