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如何通过ETF构建风格配置策略
价值和成长两类股票具有明显基本面差异,价值类股票往往具备更好的安全边际,而成长类股票则可能 具备更好的盈利前景。成长与价值的盈利增速差和两者收益率差呈现高度正相关性,当成长与价值的盈 利增速差值扩大时,成长表现将会超过价值。因此,观察风格间的相对业绩增速趋势,有助于进行风格 配置。除此之外,市场中也有投资者通过估值指数来衡量价值与成长之间的风格轮动。 风格轮动是依据ETF特征进行交易的行为,常见的风格轮动有大小盘轮动、成长价值轮动等。风格轮动 的逻辑也依赖于权益资产价格的两个驱动因素——盈利和估值。盈利是主导风格强弱的关键因素,绝对 差值和边际变化也同样是判断风格强弱的重要指标。 (1)价值成长轮动策略 大小盘轮动通常根据市场环境和经济周期的变化来进行,并根据月频公告的宏观经济数据来进行辅助判 断。大盘股占国民经济中的比重更高,因此大盘股相比于小盘股更容易受到经济周期的影响。在经济增 长上行阶段,大盘股盈利上升速度大概率高于小盘股,大盘风格表现就更为强势。在经济下行阶段,大 盘股受到影响更大,表现可能相对弱势。另外,流动性环境对股票估值有重要影响:在流动性充裕的市 场中,资金会外溢到小盘股中,因此小盘股对流动 ...
基金研究周报:A股结构性分化,泛消费板块走高(3.17-3.21)
Wind万得· 2025-03-22 22:16
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3364.83 points, and the total trading volume around 1.5 trillion yuan [1] - The week saw a notable pullback in growth sectors, with the ChiNext Index, STAR 50, and Innovation Index showing significant declines, while the value style represented by the CSI Dividend Index remained relatively resilient [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.31%, the Shenzhen Index by 0.90%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.20% [1] Industry Performance - The average decline across Wind's first-level industry indices was 0.37%, with 62% of the Wind Top 100 Concept Index showing positive returns [8] - 42% of sectors achieved positive returns, with notable gains in automotive (up 3.04%), household appliances (up 1.73%), and building materials (up 1.70%) [1][8] - Conversely, sectors such as food and beverage, media, and beauty care experienced significant declines, with losses of 2.54%, 3.08%, and 3.16% respectively [1][8] Fund Issuance - A total of 34 funds were issued last week, including 20 equity funds, 5 mixed funds, 7 bond funds, and 2 FOF funds, with a total issuance of 31.87 billion units [1][14] Fund Performance - The Wind China Fund Total Index decreased by 1.15% last week, with the ordinary equity fund index down by 2.18% and the mixed equity fund index down by 2.25% [2][6] - The bond fund index saw a slight decline of 0.05% [2][6] Global Asset Review - Global major asset classes returned to an upward trend last week, with developed market indices rising, influenced by the results of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting [2] - The Asian markets performed strongly, particularly the Indian SENSEX30 index, which showed significant gains [2] Bond Market Overview - The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened, with 10-year Treasury futures rising, while Chinese and U.S. bond futures exhibited inverse fluctuations [3] - The domestic bond market saw a slight decline in the government bond futures index, with the 10-year government bond yield at 1.85% [10][12]