笔者认为，美联储降息预期修正对市场的影响有望在近期告一段落。美国劳工统计局（BLS）已取消发布2025年10月非农就业报告，而是把相关的 就业数据纳入11月报告，但是11月非农就业报告将在12月16日发布（美联储12月议息会议之后），这就意味着11月26日公布的10月PCE数据将是美 联储12月议息会议举行前发布的重磅数据。该数据公布后，市场对美联储12月降息的预期或更清晰，有利于减少当前的市场分歧。如果10月美国 PCE表现相对温和，美联储12月降息的预期回升，美元指数可能出现回落，市场风险偏好将迎来短期修复。 近期A股市场出现明显调整，主要原因有三个：一是虽然9—10月国内经济数据走低，但完成全年增长目标的压力不大，年内降息预期明显回落； 二是美元指数因美联储降息预期摇摆而走强，拖累港股表现并间接影响A股市场的风险偏好；三是临近年底，资金面存在"落袋为安"的压力，融资 盘流入速度明显放缓。 图为消费复苏力度较弱 图为投资增长压力较大 10月部分经济数据延续走弱态势。从生产端看，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%，略低于市场预期。从需求端看，消费方面，10月社会消费 品零售总额同比下行0.1个百分点，至 ...

沪深300指数ETF11月21日成交额变动 | 基金代码 | 基金简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日成交额 | 较上一交易日增加 | 环比增幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 510300 | 华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF | -2.40% | 68.84亿元 | 42.40亿元 | 160.31% | | 159919 | 嘉实沪深300ETF | -2.34% | 17.05亿元 | 11.11亿元 | 186.83% | | 510310 | 易方达沪深300ETF | -2.37% | 14.73亿元 | 7.46亿元 | 102.64% | | 510330 | 华夏沪深300ETF | -2.49% | 9.70亿元 | 5.17亿元 | 114.21% | | 515380 | 泰康300 | -2.47% | 9512.49万元 | 7342.53万元 | 338.37% | | 159300 | 富国沪深300ETF | -2.38% | 1.44亿元 | 7161.22万元 | 99.00% | | 515310 | 添富沪深300ETF | - ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，11月14日，沪深300指数下跌1%至4655.04点。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective adjustment with nearly 3,000 stocks in the market showing gains. The leading sectors included cultivated diamonds, photovoltaic equipment, battery chemicals, and non-ferrous metals, while sectors such as coal mining, insurance, liquor, AI corpus, computing hardware, and securities saw declines [1] - The Hong Kong stock market also faced a pullback, with construction materials, steel, and real estate sectors rising against the trend, while technology and pharmaceutical stocks generally retreated [1] Index Performance - The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.7% at midday, with a rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.4 times, placing it in the 67.3% valuation percentile since its inception in 2005 [2] - The CSI A500 Index decreased by 0.6% at midday, with a rolling P/E ratio of 16.9 times, corresponding to a 73.2% valuation percentile since its launch in 2004 [2] - The ChiNext Index, which tracks 100 large-cap stocks in the ChiNext market, dropped by 0.7% at midday, with a rolling P/E ratio of 41.0 times, placing it in the 35.3% valuation percentile since its inception in 2010 [2] - The STAR Market 50 Index, which includes 50 large-cap stocks from the STAR Market, also fell by 0.7% at midday, with a rolling P/E ratio of 160.0 times, corresponding to a 96.3% valuation percentile since its launch in 2020 [2] Hong Kong Market Index - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which consists of 50 large-cap and actively traded stocks listed in Hong Kong, declined by 0.3% at midday, with a rolling P/E ratio of 10.9 times, placing it in the 66.6% valuation percentile since its inception in 2002 [4]

Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing narrow fluctuations, with unclear direction, and may oscillate between the five-day and ten-day moving averages in the short term [1] - Investors are advised to set stop-loss or take-profit levels, and if the market breaks below the five-day and ten-day moving averages, support may shift to the twenty-day moving average, prompting potential position reduction [1] Market Performance - In the morning session, there were 2,831 stocks rising and 2,186 stocks falling, indicating a slight edge for the bulls, but the advantage is not significant [1] - Trading volume has increased notably, with an estimated total volume reaching around 2.2 trillion, based on morning trading volume projections of approximately 300 billion [1] - Despite the increase in volume, overall market performance remains unsatisfactory, with a significant rise in the number of stocks falling over 5%, exceeding 120 in the morning session, indicating growing selling pressure [1] Futures Analysis - From the perspective of stock index futures, the five-minute chart of the CSI 1000 shows a descending triangle, and attention should be paid to whether the lower boundary can hold [2] - If the lower boundary fails, the CSI 1000 index may enter an adjustment phase in the short term [2] - The five-minute chart of the CSI 300 is currently in a triangular formation without a clear direction, but the increasing number of stocks falling over 5% suggests a potential breach of current price levels [2] - The five-minute futures chart of the SSE 50 shows a bearish outlook, with a significant downward break below moving averages, indicating a likely need for a pullback [2] Technical Indicators - The market is approaching the five-day and ten-day moving averages, and if there is a corresponding decline in large-cap stocks, it may breach these averages [2] - Investors are advised to closely monitor the support levels of the moving averages, as a breach could lead to a return to a wide-ranging fluctuation pattern [2]

每经AI快讯，11月6日，沪深300指数上涨1%至4673.64点。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the CSI 300 ETF managed by CICC, which opened at 1.252 yuan with a gain of 0.89% [1] - The major holdings of the CSI 300 ETF include companies like CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and Ping An, with respective opening price changes of +0.33%, +0.70%, and +0.05% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI 300 Index return, with a total return of 24.28% since its inception on April 16, 2025, and a recent one-month return of -0.14% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by CICC Fund Management Co., with Liu Chongjin as the fund manager [1] - Other notable stock performances include China Merchants Bank down by 0.35%, Zijin Mining unchanged, and Midea Group also unchanged [1] - New Yi Sheng and Zhongji Xuchuang saw significant gains of +2.00% and +2.30% respectively, while Changjiang Electric Power decreased by 0.11% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The trading volume of the CSI 300 Index ETFs reached 9.133 billion yuan today, an increase of 2.338 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing a growth rate of 34.41% [1] Trading Volume Summary - The Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (510300) had a trading volume of 5.709 billion yuan, up 2.035 billion yuan from the previous day, with a growth rate of 55.37% [1] - The E Fund CSI 300 ETF (510310) recorded a trading volume of 1.458 billion yuan, increasing by 701 million yuan, with a growth rate of 92.52% [1] - The FT Fund CSI 300 ETF (159300) had a trading volume of 88.087 million yuan, up 53.220 million yuan, with a growth rate of 152.64% [1] - The Guolian An CSI 300 ETF (515660) and Minsheng Jianyin CSI 300 ETF (515350) saw significant increases in trading volume, with growth rates of 1117.45% and 434.82% respectively [1] Market Performance Summary - As of market close, the CSI 300 Index (000300) fell by 0.75%, while the average decline for related ETFs was 0.72% [1] - The ETFs with the largest declines included the China Merchants CSI 300 Enhanced Strategy ETF (561990) and the Invesco Great Wall CSI 300 Enhanced Strategy ETF (159238), both down by 1.05% [1]

Group 1 - The total revenue of A-shares reached 53.52 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.25%, indicating overall stability compared to previous years [2][3] - The total profit for A-shares in the first three quarters of 2025 was 6.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.47% year-on-year, breaking the downward trend observed since 2022 [3][8] - The operating profit margin for A-shares during this period was 11.40%, higher than the levels from 2022 to 2024, but slightly lower than the 2021 figure of 11.84% [3][8] Group 2 - Excluding financial stocks, the total revenue for A-shares in the first three quarters of 2025 was 46.28 trillion yuan, with a modest year-on-year increase of 0.61% [5][8] - The total profit for A-shares excluding financial stocks was 3.34 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.45%, although this growth was weaker compared to previous years [8][9] - The financial sector accounted for 13.37% of the total revenue in A-shares, highlighting its significant role in the market [5] Group 3 - The revenue from A-shares excluding the CSI 300 index was 39.83% of the total market revenue in the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.80% [29] - The total profit for A-shares excluding the CSI 300 in the third quarter was 0.41 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 17.14%, although it has not yet returned to the levels seen in 2023 [31] - The operating profit margin for A-shares excluding the CSI 300 was 5.59%, which is less than half of the overall A-share operating profit margin [31] Group 4 - The total revenue for A-shares in the third quarter of 2025 was 18.43 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.37%, the highest in the past five years [20] - The total profit for A-shares in the third quarter increased by 14.51% year-on-year, indicating a significant improvement in overall profitability [22] - The operating profit margin for the third quarter reached 11.99%, reflecting a stronger performance compared to the first three quarters [24] Group 5 - The overall performance of A-share companies indicates a stabilization in revenue and a recovery in profit, aligning with macroeconomic conditions [37] - There is a need for continued support for the real economy, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises, which play a crucial role in economic vitality and employment [38] - The economic development path is described as winding, but the future outlook remains positive [39]

Core Insights - The total trading volume of the CSI 300 Index ETFs reached 10.399 billion yuan today, an increase of 3.989 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing a growth rate of 62.22% [1] Trading Volume Analysis - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (510300) had a trading volume of 6.852 billion yuan, up by 2.896 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 73.22% [1] - Harvest CSI 300 ETF (159919) recorded a trading volume of 1.269 billion yuan, increasing by 548 million yuan, with a growth rate of 76.03% [1] - E Fund CSI 300 ETF (510310) saw a trading volume of 974 million yuan, up by 303 million yuan, with a growth rate of 45.17% [1] - Notably, Guolianan CSI 300 ETF (515660) and ICBC CSI 300 ETF (510350) experienced significant increases in trading volume, with growth rates of 1653.26% and 89.98% respectively [1] Market Performance - As of market close, the CSI 300 Index (000300) fell by 1.47%, while the average decline for related ETFs was 1.31% [1] - The ETFs with the largest declines included Invesco Great Wall CSI 300 Enhanced Strategy ETF (159238) and 300 Index ETF (510370), which dropped by 1.60% and 1.53% respectively [1]