小金属价格波动
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小金属双周报(2025/12/1-2025/12/12):供给收缩叠加12月长单价上调,推动钨价再创历史新高-20251214
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-12-14 13:12
证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 14 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC:S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC:S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC:S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC:S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC:S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 板块表现: 供给收缩叠加 12 月长单价上调,推动钨价再创历史新高 投资评级: 看好(维持) ——小金属双周报(2025/12/1-2025/12/12) 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 稀土:供需相对平衡,氧化镨钕震荡反弹。近两周,氧化镨钕上涨 2.21%至 57.9 万 元/吨,氧化镝下跌 7.43%至 137 万元/吨,氧化铽下跌 3.75%至 628 万元/吨。供给 端 ...
供给收缩推动钨价创历史新高,出口修复预期锑价或底部反转 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-12-01 03:05
Group 1: Rare Earths - The supply and demand for rare earths are both weak, with neodymium oxide prices rebounding by 3.94% to 566,500 CNY/ton [1] - Dysprosium oxide prices decreased by 1.99% to 1,480,000 CNY/ton, while terbium oxide prices fell by 0.84% to 6,525,000 CNY/ton [1] - Some production companies are controlling output due to cost pressures, and the recent raw material supply tightness has eased [1] - Downstream magnetic material companies have not seen a significant increase in order volumes, maintaining low demand levels, with price fluctuations expected [1] - Recommended companies to watch include Guangsheng Nonferrous, China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, Jieli Permanent Magnet, Ningbo Yunsheng, and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials [1] Group 2: Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are experiencing fluctuations, with molybdenum concentrate prices down by 2.69% to 3,615 CNY/ton and molybdenum iron (Mo60) prices down by 1.26% to 235,500 CNY/ton [2] - Supply signals for molybdenum concentrate are showing signs of contraction, while weak terminal demand is dragging down industry profitability [2] - The industry is facing a supply-demand tug-of-war, with short-term price adjustments expected [2] - Recommended company to watch is Jintong Molybdenum [2] Group 3: Tungsten - Tungsten prices have reached historical highs due to supply contraction and price increases for long-term contracts, with black tungsten concentrate prices up by 6.96% to 338,000 CNY/ton and ammonium paratungstate prices up by 4.10% to 495,000 CNY/ton [2] - The reduction in tungsten concentrate mining quotas and slowed production rates are tightening industry circulation [2] - Domestic demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential purchases, with PCB tool demand showing positive trends [2] - Companies to watch include Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, Xianglu Tungsten, and Zhangyuan Tungsten [2] Group 4: Tin - Tin prices are strengthening due to ongoing supply disruptions, with SHFE tin prices up by 4.66% to 305,000 CNY/ton and LME tin prices up by 5.97% to 39,100 USD/ton [3] - Supply-side issues include deteriorating safety conditions in major tin mining areas in the Democratic Republic of Congo and ongoing crackdowns on illegal mining in Indonesia [3] - Traditional consumer electronics demand is weak, while emerging fields like AI are performing well, leading to strong price expectations [3] - Recommended companies to watch are Tin Industry Co., Huaxi Nonferrous, and Xingye Silver Tin [3] Group 5: Antimony - Antimony prices are showing signs of bottom reversal, with antimony ingot prices up by 9.52% to 172,500 CNY/ton and antimony concentrate prices up by 10.75% to 154,500 CNY/ton [3] - Antimony ingot production has rebounded, but overall operating rates remain low due to raw material shortages [3] - Expectations for export recovery are boosting terminal purchasing confidence, with tight inventories for antimony ore and ingots [3] - Companies to watch include Huaxi Nonferrous, Hunan Gold, and Huayu Mining [3]
——小金属双周报(2025/11/17-2025/11/28):供给收缩推动钨价创历史新高,出口修复预期锑价或底部反转-20251130
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-30 12:00
证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 30 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC:S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC:S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC:S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC:S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC:S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 板块表现: 供给收缩推动钨价创历史新高,出口修复预期锑价或底部反转 投资评级: 看好(维持) ——小金属双周报(2025/11/17-2025/11/28) 投资要点: 风险提示:宏观经济波动风险、下游需求不及预期风险、进出口政策变动风险等。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 稀土:供需双弱,氧化镨钕震荡反弹。近两周,氧化镨钕上涨 3.94%至 56.65 万元/ 吨,氧化镝下跌 1.99% ...