Group 1 - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks showed strength at the beginning of trading, with Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day, and Benlang New Materials rising over 6% [1] - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced an increase in the price of rare earth concentrate to 19,109 yuan/ton excluding tax, a month-on-month increase of 1.5% [1] - Guotou Securities believes that with the gradual recovery of exports, the price gap between domestic and foreign medium and heavy rare earths is expected to narrow, and is optimistic about the price increase of domestic dysprosium oxide and terbium oxide [1]

Core Viewpoint - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced adjustments to their rare earth concentrate pricing, reflecting a continued upward trend in prices over the past year, with Northern Rare Earth's stock hitting a limit up on the announcement [1][2]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a net profit of 900 million to 960 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [2]. - The company also anticipates a non-GAAP net profit of 880 million to 940 million yuan, indicating a staggering growth of 5538.33% to 5922.76% year-on-year [2]. Market Dynamics - Since the first quarter of 2025, the rare earth market has seen increased activity due to tighter upstream raw material supply and stimulating policies for downstream consumption, positively impacting Northern Rare Earth's performance [4]. - The company has focused on enhancing production efficiency, optimizing raw material and product structures, and expanding market reach, achieving record production and sales [4]. Industry Outlook - According to Guotou Securities, the overall quota growth for rare earths is expected to slow down, while demand from sectors like electric vehicles, wind power, and home appliances continues to rise [4]. - The report also highlights a potential demand gap in the global praseodymium-neodymium oxide market, with prices expected to rise as exports recover and domestic price differentials narrow [5]. - GF Securities notes that under uncertain tariff policies, China's rare earth mining indicators may see stricter management, and the strategic value of rare earth permanent magnets will continue to grow [6].

| 报价周期 | | 报价 | 环比增幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (元/吨) | (%) | | 2025 | 三季度 | 19, 109 | 1.51 | | | 二季度 | 18, 825 | 1.11 | | | 季度 | 18, 618 | 4. 70 | | 2024 | 四季度 | 17, 782 | 6. 22 | | | 三季度 | 16, 741 | -0. 30 | | | 二季度 | 16, 792 | -19. 02 | | | 季度 | 20, 737 | 0. 98 | | 2023 | 四季度 | 20, 536 | 1. 78 | | | 三季度 | 20, 176 | -34. 98 | | | 二季度 | 31, 030 | 1 | | | | L 士 八 三 八 中 小 中文库 | | 从2 0 2 4年四季度起，稀土精矿日常关联交易价格开始止跌企稳，已呈现了连续四个季度环比上涨。 图源/财联社 值得注意的是，美股稀土概念股盘前大涨，MP Materials一度涨超48%，USA Rare Earth一度 涨超21%，Energ ...

北方稀土与包钢股份此前约定，自2023年4月1日起，在稀土精矿定价公式不变的情况下，每季度首月上旬，公司经理层根据稀土精矿定价公式计算、调整稀 土精矿价格，重新签订稀土精矿供应合同或补充协议并公告。 上述研报进一步分析，需求端，新能源车、风电、家电等需求持续高增，预计短期人形机器人迎来量产，正迅速成为高性能钕铁硼的重要应用领域，目前头 部磁材企业已开始供应订单。随着需求持续增长，镨钕供需或将迎来改善。研报预计未来全球镨钕氧化物市场会出现需求缺口，镨钕价格有望持续上涨。伴 随出口逐步恢复，国内外中重稀土价差有望收敛，看好国内氧化镝、氧化铽价格上涨。 据了解，稀土是17种元素的总称，是不可再生的战略资源。根据其物理化学性质及分布情况，可分为轻稀土和中重稀土两大类。轻稀土储量较丰富且分布广 泛，而中重稀土更为稀罕且分布不均，大部分集中在中国。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 7月10日晚间，国内稀土双巨头北方稀土（600111.SH）、包钢股份（600010.SH）双双公告，拟将2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为不含税19109 元/吨（干量，REO=50%，下同），REO每增减1%、不含税价格增减382 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent price increases of rare earth products by Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel, indicating a bullish outlook for the rare earth market driven by supply constraints and rising demand [2][4]. Price Adjustments - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate to 19,109 RMB/ton (excluding tax) for Q3 2025, with a price change of 382.18 RMB/ton for every 1% change in REO content [2]. - Over the past year, both companies have repeatedly raised the prices of rare earth concentrates [4]. Performance Forecast - Northern Rare Earth expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 900 million to 960 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 1,882.54% to 2,014.71% [7]. - The company also anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 880 million to 940 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 5,538.33% to 5,922.76% [7]. Market Dynamics - The rare earth market has shown improved activity since Q1 2025 due to tighter upstream raw material supply and stimulated downstream consumption, positively impacting Northern Rare Earth's performance [8]. - The company maintains a positive outlook on future rare earth price trends, supported by a full order book at its subsidiary [8]. Industry Context - Rare earth elements are classified into light and heavy rare earths, with heavy rare earths being rarer and more unevenly distributed, primarily concentrated in China [9]. - Recent export controls on heavy rare earths have led to significant price increases in Europe, with price differentials exceeding three times between domestic and international markets [9]. - The demand for rare earths is expected to grow due to industries such as electric vehicles, wind power, and home appliances, with humanoid robots anticipated to become a significant application area for high-performance neodymium-iron-boron magnets [9][10].

相关研究： 证券研究报告 2025 年 07 月 06 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 稀土磁材行业周报 产业链上游价格坚挺，下游新增需求有限 | 《上周行业反弹，产业链价格维持弱势》 | | | --- | --- | | 20250629 | | | 《产业链价格震荡，镝、铽金属端价格走势 | | | 较弱》 | 20250622 | 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 1 4 42 绝对收益 4 8 58 -20% -5% 10% 25% 40% -10% 15% 40% 65% 90% 稀土磁材(长江)指数行业涨跌幅 对比基准:沪深300累计涨跌幅-右 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：王攀 证书编号：S0500520120001 Tel：(8621) 50293524 Email：wangpan2@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼湘财证券研 究所 据 Wind 数据，本周1稀土磁材行业小幅回调 0.53%，跑输基准（沪深 300） 2.07pct。行业估值（市盈率 TTM）回落 0.4x 至 67. ...

证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 06 日 证券分析师 板块表现： 锑价受需求影响持续探底，钨价受供给扰动维持高位 稀土：国内价格震荡，部分磁材厂拿到出口审批等待价格突破。近两周，氧化镨钕 上涨 0.45%至 44.6 万元/吨，氧化镝上涨 0.61%至 164 万元/吨，氧化铽下跌 0.42% 至 712 万元/吨。受 4 月 4 日中国限制 7 种中重稀土相关产品出口影响，5 月海外氧 化镝、氧化铽暴涨，海外缺货大涨而国内涨价相对一般主要受出口限制影响导致国 内外两市场割裂导致。6 月中国商务部宣布加快稀土出口审批流程，以缓解全球供应 链紧张局势，截至目前部分企业已陆续获得出口许可证。供给端，低价矿端收紧， 需求端，终端磁材订单恢复较弱刚需采购为主，短期价格维持震荡格局。后续可关 注：1）稀土总量控制意见稿落地时间；2）稀土配额；3）缅甸稀土矿进口。稀土作 为高胜率板块，中重稀土弹性更大。建议关注：广晟有色、中国稀土、北方稀土、 金力永磁、宁波韵升、正海磁材等。 联系人 钼：供给端收缩预期叠加需求承压，钼价高位调整。近两周，钼精矿价格下跌 0.78% 至 ...

证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 22 日 证券分析师 板块表现： 稀土磁材陆续获得出口许可证，需求疲软下锑价持续调整 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——小金属＆新材料双周报（2025/6/9-2025/6/20） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC：S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 稀土：国内价格震荡，部分磁材厂拿到出口审批等待价格突破。近两周，氧化镨钕 下跌 1.11%至 44.4 万元/吨，氧化镝保持平价，为 163.00 万元/吨，氧化铽下跌 0.69% 至 7 ...

广晟有色 20250617 摘要 广晟有色作为中国稀土集团旗下上市平台，掌控广东稀土资源，并多元 布局钨、铜等产业。受益于左坑矿投产，稀土矿产量预计倍增至 5,000 吨以上，冶炼和磁材业务也将受益于稀土价格上涨。 2025 年 4 月中国对部分中重稀土产品实施出口管制，导致海外氧化镝 和氧化铽价格飙升，涨幅均超 200%，国内溢价率也超过 200%。预计 2025 年国内氧化钕和氧化铽均价较 2024 年上涨 20%-30%。 广晟有色体外资产庞大，存在资产注入空间。参股大宝山铜矿贡献稳定 投资收益，2024 年为 1.6 亿元，预计 2025-2027 年贡献 1.8-2 亿元。 中国稀土集团承诺解决同业竞争，为公司带来资产整合机遇。 预计未来三年广晟有色收入增速 8%-10%，对应经营利润分别为 2.6 亿、 3.8 亿和 5 亿左右。若新丰稀土矿 2026 年投产且主力品种价格上涨 40%-50%，业绩有望达 10 亿元。 出口管制政策对高性能磁材进行强管控，但因中国钕铁硼材料出口量占 比不高，对整体需求影响有限。海外价格上涨确定性兑现，氧化镝和氧 化铽价格比国内溢价率超 240%。 Q&A 广晟有色 ...

再推【稀土磁材】：板块全面看多，首推中稀、广晟 20250612 摘要 稀土内外价差扩大，海外重稀土价格溢价超 200%，进口量显著下降， 预示内外同涨趋势，但国内产业观望政策落地，采购意愿不明确，内盘 价格暂未明显上涨，重稀土氧化镝和氧化铽已接近出口管制前水平。 稀土股票上涨逻辑依赖商品涨价兑现业绩，近期股价反映了摩擦与缓和 预期推动商品涨价。2025 年国内稀土指标增速若低于 15%，供需改善 确定性大，产业预期增速温和，需求端新能源车等高频需求增速超 20%，供给温和增长，需求增速明显高于供给增速。 2025 年全球稀土有效供应或下滑 5%，主因进口矿减少，需求增速预计 10%左右，供需改善支撑价格上涨。出口管制致海外稀土价格高于国内 两倍，海外市场备库需求及贸易成本增加，将拉动内盘稀土价格上涨。 稀土行业供给侧改革，如总量调控管理办法及追溯系统，将打击不合规 供给，轻稀土镨钕减少约 10%，重稀土减少 30%，利好中国稀土集团 和北方稀土等头部企业，缅甸矿整合或将提速。 Q&A 当前稀土永磁板块的市场趋势如何，尤其在中美贸易磋商背景下？ 目前稀土永磁板块整体呈现全面看多的趋势，首推标的为中国稀土和广晟 ...