欧洲邮政联盟在一份声明中说，美国新规生效在即，但"核心问题和流程尚未定义"，关税征收机制、必 要申报信息、与美国海关的对接方式等仍存在巨大不确定性。声明警告说，若无法在新政生效前找到合 规解决方案，其成员企业"可能被迫暂时限制或暂停通过邮政网络向美国寄送含货物的邮件"。 维也纳经济和商业大学运输与物流管理研究所所长塞瓦斯蒂安·库默尔表示："实施暂停是因为存在太多 不确定性，企业担心后续成本非常高昂。"这些成本包括可能的仓储费用，以及可能因美国海关不接受 包裹而需退回货物。 意大利邮政公司也宣布暂停处理寄往美国的商品类包裹，普通信件和"国际特快专递"服务仍可使用，但 成本显著上升。 在北欧地区，芬兰邮政19日表示，因美国海关尚未明确缴税方式，且各国邮政企业尚未建立相应系统， 暂停对美寄递是唯一可行方案。瑞典政府和丹麦政府合资的北欧邮政公司也宣布，自23日起暂停向美国 和波多黎各寄递含货物的邮件。 为何多国不约而同选择此时向美国"停邮"？从短期来看是为了规避一场混乱。每天，有超过400万个适 用于"小额豁免"政策的包裹由美国海关处理。而在该政策暂停后，这些原本可以快速通关的包裹，每一 个都需要申报大量复杂的物品信 ...

Core Viewpoint - The impending expiration of the tariff exemption for small packages is causing a domino effect, leading multiple postal services worldwide to suspend deliveries to the United States [1][6]. Group 1: Impact on Postal Services - Various countries' postal services, including those in Asia, Europe, and Australia, are halting package deliveries to the U.S. due to the uncertainty surrounding new U.S. customs regulations [3][4][5]. - South Korea's postal service will stop accepting air packages and certain express services to the U.S., while Singapore Post will suspend standard services starting August 25 [3]. - Germany, Czech Republic, and Austria have also announced suspensions of postal services to the U.S. due to the changes in customs regulations [4]. Group 2: U.S. Customs Regulations - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has outlined that packages shipped to the U.S. will be subject to applicable tariffs once the exemption period ends, affecting over 4 million packages processed daily [1][7]. - Packages valued under $800 that are not shipped via international postal systems will no longer enjoy the minimum tariff exemption, requiring full tariff payments [1]. - The new regulations may impose fixed fees ranging from $80 to $200 on packages, depending on the country of origin, and require detailed information submission from carriers [6]. Group 3: Industry Response - The international mailing and shipping industry is expressing concerns over the lack of clarity in the new regulations, which could lead to further disruptions in service [6][7]. - Online marketplace Etsy plans to suspend shipping labels for U.S. packages from Australia, Canada, and the UK, advising shippers to use carriers that allow pre-payment of tariffs [7].

Core Points - The U.S. has significantly reduced tariffs on small packages from China, dropping from 120% to 30%, which is expected to ease trade tensions between the two countries and provide relief for Chinese e-commerce platforms like Temu and Shein [1][9] - Following recent high-level trade talks, both nations agreed to lower tariffs by 115% within 90 days, marking a potential thaw in the ongoing trade standoff [1][9] - The number of small packages entering the U.S. has surged from approximately 140 million a decade ago to over 1 billion last year, with the value of Chinese exports to the U.S. projected to rise from $5.3 billion in 2018 to $66 billion in 2023 [4][9] Tariff Changes - The new tariff structure includes a 54% tax on small packages, while maintaining a $100 de minimis threshold for duty-free items, and reversing plans to increase this threshold to $200 [1][4] - Despite the reduction, experts indicate that a 54% tariff remains high, causing delays in package deliveries and impacting consumer purchasing behavior [1][4] Consumer Impact - U.S. consumers have increasingly turned to Temu and Shein for affordable products, but recent price hikes on these platforms, including a 377% increase on kitchen paper towels, have made these goods less accessible [5][6][9] - Approximately 48% of small packages are sent to the poorest regions in the U.S., indicating a reliance on affordable imports among lower-income consumers [8] Political Context - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration has disrupted decades of international trade norms, leading to concerns about a potential recession in the U.S. economy [9] - Young Americans, who have become accustomed to affordable fast fashion and online shopping, are expressing frustration over the impact of tariffs on their purchasing power [9][10]

Core Points - The US and China have agreed to reduce tariffs by 115% within 90 days, marking a thaw in trade relations [1][6] - The new tariff on small packages from China to the US will drop from 120% to 54% for packages valued under $800, effective from May 14 [1][3] - The "De Minimis" policy, which allows for tax exemptions on low-value imports, has been a significant factor in the increase of small package imports to the US, rising from approximately 140 million packages a decade ago to over 1 billion last year [3][4] Trade Impact - The reduction in tariffs is expected to alleviate price pressures on Chinese e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, which have seen a surge in popularity among US consumers [3][4] - The value of Chinese small package exports to the US is projected to increase from $5.3 billion in 2018 to $66 billion in 2023 [3] - The previous high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration had forced some e-commerce platforms to restructure logistics and increase prices, with some products seeing price hikes of over 100% [4] Economic Consequences - The policy change may result in an annual loss of up to $47 billion for businesses and consumers, disproportionately affecting low-income groups who rely on affordable cross-border e-commerce goods [5] - The US Customs system may face significant pressure due to the increased volume of small packages, potentially leading to delays in customs clearance unless additional funding and personnel are allocated [5] Bilateral Relations - The recent Geneva talks have established a framework for ongoing negotiations, with both sides recognizing the importance of a sustainable and mutually beneficial economic relationship [6][7] - The agreement includes commitments from both sides to suspend or cancel a total of 91% of tariffs on each other's goods, with a mechanism for continued dialogue on trade issues [7]