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关注中游产业发展政策推进
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-03-18 05:09
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The report focuses on the development policies of the mid - stream industries and provides an overview of the production, service, upstream, mid - stream, and downstream industries [1][2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Production Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology launched the "Industrial Data Foundation Building Action", selecting leading enterprises in key industries like steel to form alliances to promote tasks such as key data technology research, data standard development, high - quality dataset creation, and data application scenario implementation [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission introduced 13 new landmark major foreign - invested projects with a planned investment of $13.4 billion, mainly concentrated in manufacturing industries such as electronics, chemicals, automobiles, and machinery to promote industrial cluster development [1] Service Industry - The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to a media report about Trump's statement. The US has clarified that the reported statement is completely wrong, and the visit has nothing to do with the navigation issue in the Strait of Hormuz [1] Upstream Industry - In the black metal sector, the prices of iron ore and rebar have slightly rebounded - In the agricultural sector, the prices of eggs and palm oil have rebounded, while the price of pork has declined - In the energy sector, the international crude oil price is volatile, and the price of liquefied natural gas has declined [1] Mid - stream Industry - In the chemical industry, the PX operating rate has increased, while the PTA operating rate is at a low level - In the energy industry, the coal consumption of power plants has decreased - In the agricultural industry, the operating rate of pig products has increased [2] Downstream Industry - In the real estate sector, the sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have seasonally declined - In the service sector, the number of domestic flights has decreased [2] Key Industry Price Indicators - On March 17, the prices of various products showed different trends. For example, the price of corn increased by 0.43%, the price of eggs increased by 1.53%, and the price of palm oil increased by 1.77%. While the price of pork decreased by 3.91%, and the price of copper decreased by 1.13% [33]
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20260311
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-03-11 10:38
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint - The report predicts that Shanghai zinc will undergo oscillatory adjustments, and investors should pay attention to the support at MA60. The macro - situation is tense with the US - Iran conflict. Fundamentally, upstream zinc ore imports are at a high level, but domestic zinc mines reduce production at the end of the year. Domestic smelters' profits increase, and the export window closes again. The demand side is in the off - season, with the real estate sector being a drag, and some policy - supported sectors like automobiles showing bright spots. Technically, the position decreases and the price adjusts, with cautious trading between bulls and bears [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai zinc main contract is 24,385 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan; the 04 - 05 contract spread of Shanghai zinc is - 45 yuan/ton, unchanged; the LME three - month zinc quotation is 3,342 dollars/ton, up 16 dollars; the total position of Shanghai zinc is 174,806 lots, up 73 lots; the net position of the top 20 in Shanghai zinc is 2,394 lots, up 258 lots; the Shanghai zinc warehouse receipt is 0 tons, unchanged; the SHFE inventory is 134,921 tons, up 8,869 tons; the LME inventory is 98,950 tons, up 4,150 tons [3]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of 0 zinc on the Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network is 24,290 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; the spot price of 1 zinc in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals Market is 24,300 yuan/ton, up 310 yuan; the basis of the ZN main contract is - 95 yuan/ton, up 110 yuan; the LME zinc premium (0 - 3) is - 33.45 dollars/ton, down 5.24 dollars; the ex - factory price of 50% zinc concentrate in Kunming is 20,810 yuan/ton, down 130 yuan; the price of 85% - 86% crushed zinc in Shanghai is 16,600 yuan/ton, unchanged [3]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The WBMS monthly zinc supply - demand balance is - 35,700 tons, down 14,700 tons; the ILZSG monthly zinc supply - demand balance is - 7,700 tons, down 4,900 tons; the ILZSG global monthly zinc mine production is 1.0627 million tons, down 11,900 tons; the domestic monthly refined zinc production is 675,000 tons, up 21,000 tons; the monthly zinc ore import volume is 462,600 tons, down 53,900 tons [3]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly refined zinc import volume is 8,760.85 tons, down 9,469.07 tons; the monthly refined zinc export volume is 27,266.66 tons, down 15,548.89 tons; the weekly zinc social inventory is 218,400 tons, up 5,000 tons [3]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The monthly production of galvanized sheets is 2.36 million tons, up 20,000 tons; the monthly sales of galvanized sheets is 2.36 million tons, down 60,000 tons; the monthly new housing construction area is 587.6996 million square meters, up 53.1326 million square meters; the monthly housing completion area is 603.4813 million square meters, up 208.942 million square meters; the monthly automobile production is 3.4115 million vehicles, down 107,500 vehicles; the monthly air - conditioner production is 21.6289 million units, up 6.6029 million units; the daily implied volatility of zinc at - the - money call options is 27.77%, down 1.14 percentage points; the daily implied volatility of zinc at - the - money put options is 27.77%, down 1.14 percentage points; the daily 20 - day historical volatility of zinc at - the - money options is 23.41%, down 2.89 percentage points; the daily 60 - day historical volatility of zinc at - the - money options is 20.33%, down 0.28 percentage points [3]. 3.6 Industry News - Trump said the war with Iran would end "soon" but not this week, and threatened Iran. Netanyahu said the action against Iran was "not over". Iran's deputy foreign minister said Iran's priority was "decisive defense". In the first two months of this year, China's total import and export value of goods trade was 7.73 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 18.3%. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology launched the industrial data foundation - building action. The State Council proposed the 2026 central and local budget draft, and the 14th National People's Congress Financial and Economic Committee suggested preventing special bond repayment risks [3].