Core Insights - The construction industry is officially entering a platform period, with infrastructure investment maintaining resilience but showing signs of decline in revenue among major state-owned enterprises [5][28][30] - The overall investment tone for infrastructure in the second half of 2025 will focus on stability, supported by proactive fiscal policies and accelerated government bond issuance [2][37] - Structural opportunities are emerging, particularly in manufacturing, power, water conservancy, and water transport sectors, driven by special government bonds [5][6] Industry Overview - The construction industry has seen a decline in total revenue for the first time in 2024, confirming a turning point for the industry [30] - The total revenue for the construction industry in 2024 was 86,962.78 billion, a decrease of 4.29% year-on-year, with net profit dropping by 13.74% [30][32] - The share of real estate in GDP has been declining since its peak in 2021, while infrastructure investment has been rising but not enough to offset the decline in real estate [26][28] Investment Strategy - Long-term investment should focus on manufacturing-oriented companies like Honglu Steel Structure, while short-term strategies should prioritize high-dividend stocks and significant changes in individual companies [6][7] - The report emphasizes the importance of structural opportunities in the construction sector, particularly in areas aligned with national strategic initiatives and safety capabilities [60] State-Owned Enterprises - There is a growing divergence among state-owned construction enterprises, with only a few, such as China State Construction and China Energy Engineering, showing positive growth in Q1 2024 [7][28] - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend stability and growth potential, such as China Chemical Engineering and China Communications Construction [7][8] Professional Engineering and International Opportunities - The international engineering sector is expected to benefit from ongoing orders and the deepening of cooperation along the Belt and Road Initiative [8] - Companies like China National Materials and China Steel International are highlighted for their low valuations and high dividend yields, indicating strong performance potential [8] Mergers and Acquisitions - The construction industry is moving towards maturity, necessitating mergers and acquisitions to find new growth points [10] - The report anticipates that future mergers will primarily come from smaller, weaker segments of the industry, such as design and decoration [10]