Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is showing signs of a revenue turning point, with new products continuing to penetrate channels [1] - The company reported a total operating revenue of 1.533 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 156 million yuan, down 44% year-on-year [4][5] - The gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 37.15% in Q3 2025, attributed to product structure optimization and cost control measures [5] - The company is focusing on differentiated product development, particularly in the snack and e-commerce channels, which are contributing to growth [6] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to EPS of 2.59, 3.46, and 4.19 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 16, and 13 times [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, total operating revenue was 588 million yuan, an increase of 4% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 26% to 82 million yuan [4][5] - The company’s sales expense ratio increased by 6 percentage points to 17.33%, while the management expense ratio decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 3.71% [5] Product and Channel Development - The company is developing differentiated products around legumes and flavored nuts, with successful trials in e-commerce [6] - The growth in Q3 2025 was primarily driven by the snack wholesale and e-commerce channels, with improvements in direct sales channels [6] Earnings Forecast - The adjusted EPS for 2025-2027 is projected at 2.59, 3.46, and 4.19 yuan, reflecting a cautious outlook on revenue growth [7] - The company’s revenue growth rates are forecasted at -2.1% for 2025, followed by 9.3% and 12.8% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [10]

Production Capacity and Operational Status - The company has an annual production capacity of approximately 100,000 tons for spandex, with an operational rate of around 80% for the Ningxia plant (85,000 tons) and 60% for the para-aramid fiber (16,000 tons) [2][3] - The production capacity for meta-aramid fiber is also about 16,000 tons, with an operational rate of approximately 80% [2] Business Strategy and Development - The company is exploring various methods to enhance the spandex business, focusing on improving product quality and developing differentiated, high-value products [3][4] - The goal is to increase the proportion of differentiated products to 30-50% over the next three to five years, currently estimated at around 10% [10] - The company aims to reduce production of unprofitable products while increasing the efficiency of existing production lines [3][4] Financial Performance and Market Outlook - The company has set an internal target for positive cash flow for the year [8] - Sales volume has increased, and losses have slightly narrowed in the first quarter [5] - The company anticipates a double-digit growth in production and sales volume for the current year compared to last year [8][9] Market Dynamics and Pricing - The pricing pressure for meta-aramid fibers has been influenced by changes in product structure and increased competition, leading to a stabilization of prices after achieving a desired market share [8] - The company has a significant market share in meta-aramid fibers, with industrial filtration accounting for approximately 40-50% of sales [9][12] Research and Development - The company is actively developing composite materials using aramid fibers, addressing the lack of mature processing systems in the market [9] - The company is also working on green dyeing processes and has two factories for dyeing and digital printing [12] Future Investments - Future investments in spandex production are contingent on the performance of existing production lines and the evaluation of next-generation engineering technologies [4] - The company is currently assessing the potential for cost reductions in production, estimating a possible decrease of 10-20% compared to the most advanced competitors [4]