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高盛预警:"黄金之夏"或即将终结美股市场平静或被打破
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 06:47
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs' analysis indicates that the strong performance of the U.S. stock market during the summer, referred to as the "golden summer," is facing multiple challenges as investors return to the market [1][4] - The S&P 500 index has risen over 30% since the end of April, primarily driven by the performance of the "seven tech giants," while the market volatility index (VIX) has dropped to its lowest level of the year [3] - Concerns are growing regarding three major risk factors: signs of a cooling U.S. economy, uncertainty in trade policies, and political issues affecting the independence of the Federal Reserve [3] Group 2 - The labor market's continued weakness suggests that a "Goldilocks" economic environment does not exist, making the current market rally difficult to sustain [3] - The market's pricing of these risks appears insufficient, as evidenced by a 5 basis point increase in the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield to 4.94%, signaling potential warnings [3] - Despite a rebound in the U.S. dollar index since July, the simultaneous movement of risk and safe-haven assets indicates a growing divergence among investors [3]
申万期货原油甲醇策略日报-20250411
申银万国期货研究所 董超 (从业编号F3030150 交易咨询号Z0012596) dongchao@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50583880 | | 原油 | SC近月 | SC次月 | WTI近月 | WTI次月 | Brent近月 | Brent次月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 前日收盘价 | 458.1 | 457.6 | 58.23 | 57.79 | 65.72 | 65.14 | | | 前2日收盘价 | 478.6 | 478.7 | 60.96 | 60.68 | 61.62 | 61.20 | | | 涨跌 | -20.5 | -21.1 | -2.73 | -2.89 | 4.10 | 3.94 | | | 涨跌幅 | -4.28% | -4.41% | -4.48% | -4.76% | 6.65% | 6.44% | | | 成交量 | 217,278 | 91,670 | 531,215 | 470,571 | 667,298 | 415,905 | | | 持仓量 | 19,038 | ...