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对话 Monolith 曹曦:有趣可以当饭吃
晚点LatePost· 2025-12-08 03:20
Core Viewpoint - The investment landscape has shifted significantly, requiring new strategies and approaches to identify and capitalize on opportunities, particularly in the AI sector [5][10][30]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The essence of good investment is akin to recognizing lightning; it is rare and difficult to articulate, yet instinctively understood when encountered [4][24]. - The new fund Monolith aims to be one of the best GPs in Asia, focusing on both primary and secondary markets, reflecting a shift in the investment paradigm [5][7]. - The investment strategy emphasizes betting on the best companies within the largest changes, particularly in AI, while maintaining a concentrated portfolio [48][49]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market has transitioned from a period of excess liquidity to a more cautious environment, with a significant reduction in the scale of investments [30][31]. - The previous decade saw a 100-fold increase in the scale of capital in China's primary market, but this has now contracted by approximately 70% [30][31]. - The current investment climate allows for more thorough evaluations of projects, as time has become cheaper and capital more expensive [30][31]. Group 3: Fundraising and Investor Relations - Monolith successfully raised $488 million, exceeding its initial target by 60%, indicating renewed interest in Chinese investments [7][9]. - The fund's early investors include notable CEOs, reflecting a strong network built on trust and past relationships [8][9]. - The current generation of entrepreneurs is more financially equipped and willing to support the next wave of startups, contributing to the fund's success [9][10]. Group 4: Entrepreneurial Insights - Successful entrepreneurs often exhibit resilience and a unique ability to see the essence of their business, which is crucial for long-term success [45][41]. - The new generation of entrepreneurs, particularly those born in the 1990s, is characterized by a more balanced and rational approach, shaped by a stable economic environment [52][53]. - The investment community is increasingly recognizing the importance of understanding an entrepreneur's background and personal story as indicators of their potential [54][55].
李骁军:存在手机里的52条年度感悟丨2025尾声
暗涌Waves· 2025-12-05 03:45
Part 01: Talent, Career, and Investment - When hiring or evaluating entrepreneurs, it is essential to have a growth perspective, focusing on their potential for future success rather than past achievements [5] - The core competitiveness of a company should be transferable to individuals, who must also be able to adapt their skills to new environments. It is crucial to identify individuals who can continue to shine over the next decade [5][6] - Investors' taste and cognitive ceilings are often determined by their exposure to the best entrepreneurs in the industry, emphasizing the importance of learning from top talent [5] - Talent often appears in clusters, and value distribution follows a power law [6] - Different industries and careers can be categorized into structures such as Winner-takes-all, Power law, and Fragmented, which influences investment strategies [7] - The best careers are those that are compounding, scalable, and capitalizable, as exemplified by Warren Buffett [7] - Individuals in their upward phase are typically more self-driven and easier to manage, while those in a defensive mindset after peak performance may struggle with new business challenges [7] - AI models provide insights into the importance of practical experience in generating cognitive models and maintaining focus on critical tasks [8][9] - Investors should balance the fear of missing out with the urgency of decision-making, understanding market sentiments and consensus [10][11] - The value of institutions often surpasses that of individuals in the financial services industry, with long-term career value tied to institutional growth [14] Part 02: Cultivation and Growth - Learning to breathe correctly can enhance calmness and awareness of one's body, emphasizing the importance of physical well-being [16] - Recognizing personal peak times can significantly impact mood and efficiency throughout the day [22] - The greatest recognition often comes from the strongest competitors, highlighting the importance of self-acknowledgment over external validation [25] - The core of each individual's model consists of faith, ability, and personality, with the need for continuous calibration in the AI era [26] - Choosing what not to pursue can be more critical than knowing what to pursue, as the motivations behind actions can differ significantly [27] Part 03: Life and the World - Understanding one's self-awareness over time is crucial, as is identifying absolute and relative value advantages in a changing world [39] - The concept of friendship is framed as mutual support for personal growth, emphasizing the relational aspect of success [42] - The quality of time spent and the ability to annotate experiences significantly influence personal development and cognitive models [47] - Major life decisions regarding where to live, career choices, and relationships greatly impact overall life quality [49] - The timing and rhythm of life are essential, with success often linked to how well one resonates with the pulse of the times [52]
普通人拿不到大结果,关键并不在于能力
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-29 00:42
这背后的关键要素,并不在于能力、资源或运气的差异,而在于一种随进化而来的、根深蒂固的心智模 式:大多数人被训练成了"稳定值"的觅食者,而那些拿到大结果的人,几乎无一例外,都是"异常值"的 狩猎者。 这就是普通人与高手、小成者与大成者之间的关键分野,也是人生跃迁的关键一环。 一、爬错山 为什么很多聪明、勤奋的人,最终只能取得"还不错"的成就,而无法抵达被称作"卓越"的境界,取得巨 大的成功? 剩下绝大多数人,更是只能换来"可预测的平庸"?而还有极少数人,他们并不加倍聪明,勤奋也有限 度,却能获得在旁人看来如奇迹般的成功? 在之前的文章中,我们提到了有"加密先知"之称的克里斯·迪克森。 迪克森是世界上最成功的加密风险投资家之一,曾将他的第一个3.5亿美元的加密基金变成了大约60亿 美元。2022年时,他位居《福布斯》风险投资家排行榜首位,他在(a16z)的老板本·霍洛维茨预测他 将成为"他这一代最好的投资者"。 迪克森曾经写过一篇短文《爬错山》,其中讲到一个故事。这个故事其实很常见,在我们身边都时有发 生,甚至可能就发生在我们自己身上。 故事讲的是,一个很聪明的年轻人,大学毕业进入投行工作。一年后,他认为自己讨厌 ...