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研报掘金丨开源证券:完美世界中报大增,关注新游《异环》进展,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-27 09:11
开源证券研报指出,完美世界中报业绩大增,关注重磅新游《异环》进展,维持"买入"评级。公司出海 经验日益丰富,《女神异闻录:夜幕魅影》(简称PX5)6月底至7月初相继于日本、欧美、东南亚等海 外区域公测,首日登顶多地iOS游戏免费榜及Steam全球下载榜,并冲入日本iOS畅销榜TOP3;MMO开 发经验及诛仙IP积累深厚,《诛仙2》上线首日登顶iOS游戏免费榜。《异环》于6月底开启国内二测及 海外首测,国内玩家延续好评,海外玩家反响热烈(Youtube等平台声量达18.6亿)。我们看好诛仙IP及 合作电竞等系列老游运营稳健,《异环》上线或贡献可观增量。公司坚持"提质减量"策略,聚焦精品化 平台定制剧,上半年相继播出《千朵桃花一世开》等多部剧集。短剧业务亮眼,《夫妻的春节》是2025 年全网首个观看人数破亿的微短剧。行业迎"广电二十一条"利好,公司储备长剧众多,短剧进军红果、 抖音双平台,影视业务有望持续向好。 ...
数读长剧上半年:“大爆”无、“庄家”变
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-05 01:28
Core Insights - The overall performance of the drama market in the first half of 2025 shows a decline compared to the previous year, with a notable drop in the number of high-performing series and overall viewership [1][3][5] - Despite the challenges, platforms and creators are actively seeking ways to adapt and innovate in content delivery and scheduling strategies [1][18][20] Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, 137 new domestic dramas were launched, an increase of 7 compared to the previous year, while the inventory of dramas decreased by 36 to 71 [3][18] - The effective viewership of top dramas has significantly decreased, with the leading series in 2025 achieving 18 billion fewer views than the top series in 2024 [3][5] - The only series to exceed an average of 50 million views per episode in the first half of 2025 was "漂白" with 54.9 million views, compared to three series achieving this in the same period last year [5][14] Audience Reception - Four domestic dramas scored above 8 points on Douban in the first half of 2025, with the highest being 8.3 for "无尽的尽头" and "异人之下之决战!碧游村" [6][8] - The number of high-scoring dramas has not significantly changed, but the highest ratings and number of ratings have decreased compared to the previous year [8][6] Platform Dynamics - The competitive landscape among major platforms has shifted, with Tencent Video's "大奉打更人" leading in total effective views, while iQIYI's "漂白" excelled in average views per episode [10][13][15] - The proportion of exclusive dramas has increased to 87% in the first half of 2025, up 11 percentage points from the previous year [18][20] Content Trends - Historical dramas continue to dominate the market, accounting for 70% of the top 10 dramas by viewership [22][24] - There is a notable trend towards shorter series, with an increase in the number of episodes ranging from 13 to 23, particularly in the suspense genre [27][24]
长视频平台变革:如何界定“质”与“量”
Core Insights - Tencent Video's recent announcement at the Shanghai Television Festival highlighted a decline in the number of industry projects and productions compared to the previous year, indicating a weakening investment trend [1] - The platform's Chief Content Officer emphasized a shift towards quality over quantity, with a focus on creative and valuable content despite the overall reduction in project numbers [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - From January to March 2025, the National Radio and Television Administration issued licenses for 24 domestic web dramas comprising 559 episodes, a decrease from 37 dramas and 787 episodes in the same period last year [1] - The long video platforms are facing increased competition from short videos, short dramas, and games, raising questions about how to define quality standards for series content and the appropriate number of projects to reduce [1][3] Group 2: Quality Standards - The concept of "quality drama" has become a focal point for long video platforms, balancing artistic value, social impact, and commercial viability [2] - Tencent Video has established clear criteria for defining hit content, focusing on completion rates rather than just view counts, and incorporating internal evaluations from producers [2] Group 3: Challenges in Production - The number of dramas licensed by the National Radio and Television Administration has decreased significantly, from 396 in 2015 to 115 in 2024, reflecting a more than 25% drop from 2023 [3] - The reduction in quality projects is attributed to a scarcity of good scripts and the concentration of investment in top-tier works, highlighting a talent gap in the industry [3][4] - The purchasing power of television stations and online platforms has declined, making it challenging to fund high-quality productions while adhering to cost-cutting strategies [4]