政府停摆对市场的影响

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宏利投资:美国政府停摆对市场影响有限 投资者宜保持稳健取态
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 02:35
值得留意的是,历来美国政府停摆并未对股市造成重大负面影响。自1980年以来的每次停摆中,标准普 尔500指数于停摆开始一个月后,表现均高于停摆初期,反映影响是短暂且相对轻微。虽然2018年的停 摆伴随着市场波动加剧,但与其他重大市场事件影响相比并不显著。 其他年份的停摆亦未引发大幅波动,这可从CBOE波动指数(又称VIX指数)得到印证。重要的是要认清 停摆通常只是更广泛市场环境中的一部分,背后有多重宏观经济和政治因素交织。尽管政府的不稳定性 或引发波动及削弱投资者信心,但从历史市场表现来看,停摆的影响相对有限。 投资者宜将流动性需求纳入整体财务计划的一部分,但不宜仅仅因为潜在的政府停摆而改变资产配置。 事实上,政府停摆期间的市场波动,为策略性投资者提供买入机会,捕捉被低估或超卖的资产。政府停 摆应被视为短期的政治干扰,通常不会影响投资者的长期财务计划。 自10月1日起,美国联邦政府处于持续停摆中。宏利投资管理的多元资产方案团队分享了市场于过去美 国政府停摆期间的表现,并认为政府停摆应被视为短期的政治干扰。该行指,拥有多元化投资组合并以 保值为目标的投资者,宜保持稳健取态,避免因短期政治事件而作出冲动决定。 宏 ...
Government shutdown begins but analysts say markets historically weather disruptions well
Fox Business· 2025-10-02 12:11
A partial government shutdown began on Wednesday with Republicans and Democrats at an impasse over spending levels, which has increased uncertainty over economic conditions and how financial markets will react. It's unclear when lawmakers will reach a compromise that allows them to end the shutdown, but experts anticipate that financial markets will be relatively unfazed by the dysfunctional funding of the federal government in the meantime.Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist for LPL Financial, said ...
Government Shutdown: Market Reaction, Watching Yields and U.S. Dollar
Youtube· 2025-10-01 12:58
Let's bring in Kevin Green, senior markets correspondent, right away to help set up the action today. So KG, as expected, the government did shut down this morning, 12:01 a. m.Eastern time or 12 midnight in seconds, right. Uh so I guess catch people up on where things stand uh and what the implications are. Yeah, we are obviously seeing a stalemate when it comes to Congress and trying to pass a funding bill here.And we did see two bills actually getting uh shot down yesterday. If you kind of look at it, the ...