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贝壳-W(02423):三季度营收同比增长2%,两翼业务贡献持续提升
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-13 02:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][5]. Core Views - The company reported a 2% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, primarily driven by the development of its two wings business [10][5]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 28% year-on-year and 29% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a decline in profitability despite revenue growth [2][5]. - The company is expected to face a significant year-on-year revenue decline in Q4 due to high base effects, but the two wings business is anticipated to stabilize overall revenue [10][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a total transaction value (GTV) of 736.7 billion yuan, flat year-on-year and down 16% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue was 23.1 billion yuan, up 2% year-on-year but down 11% quarter-on-quarter [10][5]. - The revenue contributions from various segments were as follows: existing home business (26%), new home business (29%), home decoration and furniture (19%), rental services (25%), and emerging businesses (2%) [10][5]. Profitability Analysis - The adjusted net profit margin was 5.6%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year and 1.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 21.4%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][5]. - The contribution profit margin for the existing home business was 39.0%, reflecting a slight decrease, while the rental services business, which saw a revenue increase of 45%, had a low contribution profit margin of 8.7% [2][5]. Business Segment Insights - The existing home business maintained stability with a GTV of 505.6 billion yuan, a 6% increase year-on-year, while revenue decreased by 4% year-on-year [3][27]. - The new home business reported a GTV of 196.3 billion yuan, down 14% year-on-year, with a market share of 12% [4][47]. - The home decoration and furniture business generated 4.3 billion yuan in revenue, a 2% increase year-on-year, while the rental services business saw significant growth [4][61]. Future Outlook - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, expecting adjusted net profits of 5.4 billion yuan and 7.0 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.53 yuan and 1.97 yuan [5][81].
贝壳-W(02423.HK):2025年Q2营收同比增长11% 利润同比下滑但环比改善
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-30 05:17
Core Insights - The company reported a 11% year-on-year revenue growth in Q2 2025, primarily driven by the growth in its secondary business segments [1] - The total transaction value (GTV) reached 878.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% [1] - Adjusted net profit decreased by 32% year-on-year but improved by 30% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a mixed performance in profitability [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue contributions from various segments are as follows: existing housing (26%), new housing (33%), home decoration and furnishing (18%), rental services (22%), and emerging businesses (2%) [1] - The existing housing business saw a transaction total of 583.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% [2] - The new housing business outperformed the market with a transaction total of 255.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% [2] Profitability Metrics - The adjusted net profit margin was 7.0%, down 4.5 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit margin was 21.9%, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.0 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2 percentage points [1] - The contribution profit margin for the existing housing business improved to 39.9%, up 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Business Performance - The company had 61,000 stores and 558,000 agents by the end of Q2 2025, with active store and agent ratios of 97% and 88%, respectively [2] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated 4.6 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13% [2] - The rental services segment saw a significant revenue increase of 78% year-on-year, totaling 5.7 billion yuan [2] Future Outlook - The company slightly adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2026, expecting adjusted net profits of 6.3 billion yuan and 7.1 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The expected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 1.77 yuan and 2.00 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 23.9 and 21.2 times [3]
贝壳-W(02423):二季度营收同比增长11%,利润同比下滑但环比改善
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-28 01:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue growth of 11% year-on-year in Q2 2025, primarily driven by the growth in its secondary business segments [8][12] - The adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 was 1.82 billion yuan, a decrease of 32% year-on-year but an increase of 30% quarter-on-quarter [12] - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2026, expecting adjusted net profits of 6.3 billion yuan and 7.1 billion yuan respectively [83] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a total transaction value (GTV) of 878.7 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, with total revenue of 26 billion yuan [8] - The adjusted net profit margin was 7.0%, down 4.5 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [12] Business Segments Performance - The existing housing business contributed a transaction value of 583.5 billion yuan, with a revenue of 6.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8% [26] - The new housing business showed a transaction value of 255.4 billion yuan, with a revenue increase of 9% year-on-year [49] - The home decoration and furniture business generated 4.6 billion yuan in revenue, up 13% year-on-year, while the rental service revenue surged by 78% year-on-year [63] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company maintains a market share of 12.5% in the new housing sector, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [49] - The adjusted earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.77 yuan and 2.00 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 23.9 and 21.2 [83]
贝壳-W(02423.HK):一季度营收同比增长42% 经调整净利润同比持平
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-20 12:05
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue driven by a recovery in new home transactions and the development of rental services, despite a slight decline in profitability metrics [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's GTV transaction volume reached 843.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, with revenue of 23.3 billion, up 42% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was 1.39 billion, flat year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 6.0%, down 2.5 percentage points [1]. - Gross margin was 20.7%, down 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a decline in profitability levels [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The company's existing home transaction volume was 580.3 billion in Q1 2025, up 28% year-on-year, with revenue from this segment at 6.9 billion, a 20% increase [2]. - The new home business outperformed the market, with a transaction volume of 232.2 billion, up 53% year-on-year, and revenue of 8.1 billion, a 64% increase [2]. - The rental services segment saw revenue of 5.1 billion, a remarkable 94% increase year-on-year, although it had a lower contribution margin of 6.7% [3]. Group 3: Market Position and Growth - The company expanded its store count to 57,000, a 29% increase year-on-year, and the number of agents reached 550,000, up 24% [2]. - The market share for new homes increased to 12.6%, up 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong competitive positioning [2]. - The company is expected to maintain its growth trajectory in new business segments, with home decoration and rental services showing promising revenue growth [3].