Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [20]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.671 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.06% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company successfully launched new factories, which are expected to improve production capacity and efficiency, despite short-term pressure on gross margins due to the ramp-up phase [5][6]. - The company is expanding its customer base, with significant contributions from new clients like Adidas, which has led to increased sales volume [3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin for the footwear business was 21.83%, a decline of 6.38 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to new factories being in the ramp-up phase [5]. - The company achieved a sales volume of 115 million pairs of sports shoes in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.14% [4]. - The net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.2%, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year [5]. Production and Capacity - The total production capacity for the company in the first half of 2025 was 117 million pairs, with a capacity utilization rate of 95.78% [5]. - The company has been diversifying its production bases, with new factories in Vietnam, Indonesia, and China to mitigate risks associated with concentrated production [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 3.564 billion yuan, 4.256 billion yuan, and 5.192 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of -7%, +19%, and +22% [6]. - The company is projected to have a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times for 2025 [6].

Core Insights - The article highlights the trends in China's supply chain going global, characterized by globalization, high-end development, intelligence, and localization, which are transforming product exports into a comprehensive industrial ecosystem abroad [2] - The report titled "Top Ten Trends of China's Supply Chain Going Global by 2025" aims to explore new market opportunities and business growth dynamics in the global industrial landscape [2] Group 1: Background of China's Supply Chain Going Global - China's supply chain has undergone several phases, from integration into the global trade system (2001-2008) to cost-driven migration (2009-2014), and from supply-side reforms to capacity overflow (2015-2018), culminating in trade protection and supply chain decentralization (2019-2023) [6] - The current phase (2024 onwards) is characterized by a shift from passive industrial transfer to a technology-ecosystem-led paradigm, with a focus on establishing a resilient global supply network [6] Group 2: Driving Factors of China's Supply Chain Going Global - The trade barriers have evolved from simple tariffs to a combination of rules, including localization rates and green standards, prompting companies to diversify their supply chains globally [8] - The global e-commerce market continues to grow, particularly in emerging markets like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, driving the momentum for China's supply chain to expand internationally [14] Group 3: Trends in China's Supply Chain Going Global - Chinese brands are focusing on high-end development, creating a new ecosystem for supply chain value upgrades through high-value products and technological advancements [20] - The transition from product export to industrial export is facilitated by leading enterprises driving upstream and downstream collaboration, forming regional supply chain centers [22] - Companies are adopting a dual-track approach of globalization and localization, integrating local production and regional supply chains to build complete industrial ecosystems in target markets [22][25] Group 4: Technology and Logistics Transformation - The supply chain is experiencing a systematic upgrade from "capacity output" to "ecosystem empowerment," reducing barriers for SMEs to participate in global trade and enhancing China's dominant position in the global supply chain [29] - Cross-border logistics and warehousing are evolving with automation and operational model changes, driven by the growth of cross-border e-commerce [33][35] - The share of third-party cross-border logistics is increasing, with overseas warehouses expected to become the mainstream model due to their cost-effectiveness and efficiency [35][39] Group 5: Local Market Demand and Procurement - Local market regulations, international trade barriers, and cost considerations are accelerating the localization of supply chains, with companies establishing local warehousing systems to enhance supply chain responsiveness [41][44]