欧洲电动化
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欧洲放缓电动化步伐 给中国电池企业带来什么?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-10 12:22
Group 1 - The 2025 Munich Auto Show highlighted the collaboration between European automotive manufacturers and Chinese battery producers, particularly with CATL's introduction of its NP3.0 technology platform and the Shunxing Pro lithium iron phosphate battery [1] - Despite a slowdown in the electrification rate in Europe, data shows that the electrification rate increased from 23% to 26% in the first half of 2025, with projections nearing 29% by year-end, indicating a contradiction in the market dynamics [2] - The structural issues in Europe's electrification process are evident, with a significant reliance on high-end ternary batteries and insufficient development of lithium iron phosphate technology, leading to a lack of competitiveness in the mid-to-low-end market [2] Group 2 - Northvolt's bankruptcy in 2024 and its North American subsidiary's subsequent failure in 2025 have highlighted Europe's loss of capacity to produce qualified lithium iron phosphate batteries, which are crucial for reducing electric vehicle prices [3] - The European Union is at least five years behind China in the development and production of lithium iron phosphate batteries, a gap that may persist until 2030 [3] - BloombergNEF predicts that Europe will face a 70GWh shortfall in battery capacity by 2025, despite projected electric vehicle sales of 3.27 million units [3] Group 3 - The lack of local battery production capabilities in Europe has created significant opportunities for Chinese battery companies like CATL and EVE Energy to establish manufacturing plants in the region [3][4] - CATL's factory in Hungary is expected to have a capacity of 100GWh, supplying 30 European brands, while a joint venture with Stellantis in Spain aims for a 50GWh capacity by the end of 2026 [6] - The collaboration between Chinese battery firms and European automakers is deepening, with CATL's technology being integrated into various vehicle platforms, indicating a shift towards a more collaborative approach in product design [6][7] Group 4 - CATL's market share in Europe reached 35% from January to October 2024, with expectations to exceed 40% in 2025 and potentially surpass 50% by 2027 [8] - The global market share of CATL reached 37.5% from January to July 2025, reflecting an 11 percentage point increase since 2020, solidifying its position as an industry leader [8] - European manufacturers are responding to the competitive landscape by encouraging local battery industry transformation and exploring technology sharing with automotive companies [8]