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想要投资赚钱?学学赌场老板
雪球· 2025-11-27 13:00
Group 1 - The core idea of the article is to compare investing in the stock market to gambling in a casino, emphasizing the importance of probability and strategy in achieving long-term success [12][19][20]. - The article highlights the concept of "mathematical advantage" in casinos, where the odds are structured to favor the house, and this principle can be applied to investing by focusing on long-term strategies [8][11][22]. - It discusses the "law of large numbers," which states that with enough participants and time, outcomes will converge to expected probabilities, underscoring the need for investors to stay in the market long enough for their strategies to work [10][29][30]. Group 2 - The article suggests that investors should align themselves with high-probability outcomes, such as investing in fundamentally strong companies or low-cost index funds, rather than speculating on short-term price movements [21][24][27]. - It emphasizes the necessity of maintaining a long-term perspective in investing, as the probability of making a profit increases significantly over extended holding periods [22][32]. - The importance of position sizing and diversification is stressed, advising against concentrated bets on single stocks and advocating for spreading investments across multiple assets to mitigate risks [18][28][36].
做正期望值之事,风控是永远的底线
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-11-23 23:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article revolves around the trading philosophy and strategies of He Yue, who emphasizes the importance of risk management and market understanding in futures trading [2][4][6] - He Yue's trading style is characterized by subjective trading, focusing on macro policy judgments to inform his positions in stock index futures and options [2][3] - He Yue's experience highlights the significance of maintaining a disciplined approach, including strict position limits and the necessity of hedging against market volatility [6][7] Group 2 - The article also features Shi Zhihao, who achieved success through a multi-dimensional quantitative strategy that emphasizes systematic execution and risk control [8][10] - Shi Zhihao's approach involves diversifying strategies across different products and timeframes to mitigate risks associated with single strategies [9][10] - His trading philosophy is centered on maintaining a positive expected value, focusing on long-term gains rather than short-term predictions [11]