中原期货研究咨询部 晨会纪要 2026 第（34）期 发布日期：2026-02-27 | 中原期货研究咨询部 | 0371-58620081 | | --- | --- | | 0371-58620083 | | | 公司官方微信 | | 公司官方微信 1 2、央行发布《关于银行业金融机构人民币跨境同业融资业务有关事宜的通知》，支持境内银行 顺应市场需求，按照依法合规、风险可控的原则开展人民币跨境同业融资业务。引入逆周期调 节机制，《通知》明确将境内银行人民币跨境同业融资净融出余额与其资本水平、资金实力相 挂钩，通过跨境业务调节参数、宏观审慎调节参数进行调节。参数初始值的设置统筹兼顾业务 发展和风险防范的需要。 3、春节假期后人民币对美元汇率快速升值，在岸、离岸重返三年前高位。2 月 25 日至 26 日， 人民币汇率加速上行，在岸、离岸人民币先后突破 6.87、6.84 关口，离岸人民币于 26 日最高 触及 6.82665，创 2023 年 4 月以来新高。尽管人民币近期快速升值，但专家提醒，人民币汇率 走势受多重因素驱动，核心变量集中在中美利差、国内经济修复力度，以及全球风险偏好，预 计人民币年度走势维 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Views of the Report - Overseas tech giants' earnings reports ease AI concerns. A-share investment can focus on tech hotspots and allocate long positions in IM futures. However, the upside may be limited due to scattered mainlines [3][8]. - The options market trades on the medium - to long - term slow - rise expectation. It is recommended to use covered call strategies and consider long - term bull spread combinations [4][8]. - Before the Two Sessions, institutions are cautious, and the bond market declines. The short - term bond market is expected to continue to fluctuate [4][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded after hitting a low, closing flat in a V - shape. Trading concentrated on tech hotspots. Overseas tech giants' earnings reports with improved gross margins and accelerated revenue growth boosted the AI industry chain. Lithium mining stocks strengthened due to export bans, while the film and real estate sectors declined. It is advisable to hold long positions in IM futures [3][8]. 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - The underlying market oscillated intraday yesterday. Small - and medium - cap stocks rose, while large - cap stocks fell. Option trading volume decreased and remained at a low level. Implied volatility continued to decline, and the trading strategy mainly focuses on medium - to long - term slow - rise. Covered call strategies are recommended [4][8]. 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - Treasury bond futures' main contracts continued to fall yesterday. The main reason was the increased policy uncertainty before the Two Sessions, leading institutions to take profits. The post - holiday allocation demand for medium - and long - term bonds weakened. The short - term bond market is expected to continue to fluctuate. Different trading strategies are proposed for trends, hedging, basis, and yield curve [4][9]. 3.2 Derivatives Market Monitoring - No specific content provided for analysis in the given text.

早盘提示 Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 2 月 24 日 星期二 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 节前最后一个交易日两市主要指数调整。两市成交额 1.98 万亿元，变化不大。沪 | | | | 深 | 300 指数收 4660 点，跌 59 点，跌幅-1.25%；上证 50 指数收 3034 点，跌 45 点， | | | | | 跌幅-1.47%；中证 500 指数收 8299 点，跌 123 点，跌幅-1.47%；中证 1000 指数收 | | | | | 8204 点，跌 110 点，跌幅-1.32%。行业与主题 ETF 中涨幅居前的是航空航天 ETF、 | | | | | 中韩半导体 ETF、军工龙头 ETF、科创半导体 ETF、影视 ETF，跌幅居前的是油气 ETF | | | | | 博时、石油 ...

(2) 股票基金 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 如果整个假期里，港股美股最终波动不 大，那假期结束后A股受影响也会变小。 (同学的SHE) 风险提示 本文仅为信息分享，不构成任何投资建议。市场有风险，投资需谨慎 。 基金投资组合策略过往业绩并不预示其未来表现 为其他客户创造的收益并不构成业绩表现的保证 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 假期里A股不开盘,股票基金也不会更新 浄值。 不过,可以通过观察港股、美股等市场 指数的涨跌情况,来大致判断假期里 的A股涨跌幅。 海外市场有追踪 A50指数的指数基金、 股指期货、股指期权等。观察它们，就 可以大概判断出A股市场假期里的涨跌。 如果整个假期里，港股美股都是大涨, 那收益也不会丢失。假期结束后,A股会 大概率补涨，在节后第一个交易日体现 出来。 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-13 股市领涨⾏业再度切换，债市⽌盈动⼒ 或有所上升 股指期货：领涨⾏业再度切换 股指期权：续持买权防御为主 国债期货：⽌盈动⼒或有所上升 股指期货方面，领涨行业再度切换。周四权益市场偏暖为主，双创风 格领涨，中证500、中证1000表现次之，电子、电新、计算机活跃，领涨 行业切换至成长。与此同时，关注到A股、港股表现割裂，恒生科技下 跌，部分资金担心港股节日期间拖累A股的可能性。从港股回撤原因来 看，与多方面因素有关，一是2月港股IPO提速，影响微观流动性，二是科 技股面临外卖等事件冲击，三是日韩等亚太市场近期强势，不排除资金分 流的可能。对于前述猜测，目前认为可能性偏低，一方面，港股相较前高 已累积一定跌幅，与美股走势有脱敏的可能性，另一方面，美元指数上行 势头止住，流动性层面利于配置。综上，仍建议配置IM多单。 股指期权方面，续持买权防御为主。昨日权益指数震荡整理。期权方 面，各个品种市场成交额有所反弹，但相较于前两周市场波动下的流动性 升温，本周期权交投量能依旧相对平稳。隐含波动率日内走势整体偏强， 考虑 ...

uplied Volstility Surfax Time to MatuGty ITC 国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 世界500强投资公司 国贸期货股份有限公司 成为一流的衍生品综合服务商 IIC 国贸期货 HN AV ATE H F 投资咨询号: Z0000116 国留斯特研究 2026/2/12 从业资格号:F0251925 金融衍生品中心 李泽 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 行情回顾 指数 收盘价 涨跌幅 (%) 成交额(亿元) 成交量(亿) 3088. 4571 0. 03 1140. 86 36. 85 上证50 4713. 8185 173. 39 沪深300 -0. 22 4334. 29 273. 23 中证1000 8239. 513 -0. 13 4380. 65 中金所股指期权成交情况 期权成交量 期权持仓量 认购期权 认沽期权 认购期权 认沽期权 持仓量 日成交量 指数 持仓量 持仓量 (万张) 成交量 成交量 PCR (万张) PCR 上证50 2. 04 1. 29 0. 75 0. 58 8. 30 5.04 3. 26 0. 65 沪深300 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-12 节前或偏震荡 股指期货：节前缩量，涨价链领涨 股指期权：续持买权防御为主 国债期货：货币宽松预期⽀撑债市 股指期货方面，节前缩量，涨价链领涨。周三权益市场缩量震荡，建 材、有色金属为代表的涨价链领涨，传媒、硬件等方向弱势，市场风格出 现一定程度上的切换。个股方面，涨停家数较周二有所回落，结合量能跌 至2万亿附近，资金节前降低交易频率，预计节前维持震荡格局。另外， 针对是否持仓过节的问题，目前倾向中性仓位持有，从尾部风险角度来 看，前期风险主要来自于两个维度，一是商品波动而带来的连锁调整，二 是海外软件股回撤拖累科技股。而近期两大风险因素均有所缓和，其中贵 金属、有色金属波动率整体下移，同时美国散户开始关注超跌的软件股， 目前判断出现流动性尾部风险的概率相对不大。 股指期权方面，续持买权防御为主。昨日权益指数震荡整理。期权方 面，各个品种市场成交额再度回落。相较于前两周市场波动下的流动性升 温，本周期权交投量能相对平稳。隐含波动率日内走势有所反弹，考虑到 节假日和行权日的临近，期权端的主体观点保持不变，仍建议 ...

EHTV 250 F resed Volatility Surfa Omic In MalaOri 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 国产期货研究 金融行 - 品中心 李 资咨询号: Z0000116 从业资格号: F0251925 2026/2/11 行情回顾 成交额(亿元) 收盘价 成交量(亿) 指数 涨跌幅 (8) 3087. 405 1220. 16 0. 18 38. 16 上证50 沪深300 187. 00 4724. 2956 0. 11 4503. 40 中证1000 8250. 3001 0. 20 4750. 51 291. 92 中金所股指期权成交情况 认洁期权 期权持仓量 认沽期权 期权成交量 认购期权 认购期权 持仓量 日成交量 指数 成交量 持仓量 持仓量 (万张) 成交量 (万张) PCR PCR 上证50 2. 45 1. 50 0. 95 0. 63 8. 43 5.14 3. 29 0. 64 沪深300 6. 70 2. 53 22. 35 8.87 4. 17 0. 61 13. 48 0. 66 中证1000 21. ...

股指期货：盘⾯平淡 股指期权：买权防御为主 国债期货：窄幅震荡 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 股指期货方面，盘面平淡。周二权益市场走势平淡，全A指数微涨， 传媒表现一枝独秀，食品、地产相对弱势。同时节前开始显现出交投情绪 下降的信号，其一，A股量能略超2万亿，近期换手水平在低位，第二，股 指期货持仓量连续第二日下降超万手，为规避假日波动，部分资金选择进 行降仓处理。同时观察到美元指数下跌及贵金属反弹趋势有所放缓，节前 A股大概率偏震荡状态，上方下方空间均有限。展望后市，两会之前的走 势值得关注，在流动性等负面因素缓和之后有望重回温和反弹走势，而在 两会节点之后，需关注潜在风险，近年两会之后A股表现相对一般。 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-11 情绪偏暖，⾛势偏震荡 股指期权方面，买权防御为主。昨日权益指数震荡整理。期权方面， 各个品种市场成交额再度回落。相较于前两周市场波动下的流动性升温， 本周期权交投量能相对平稳。结合隐含波动率的回落，推测目前市场情绪 偏暖。但考虑到节假日和行权日的临近，期权端建议买权防御为主。需要 说明的是，此时建议买权对冲并不意味着看空，而是对整体 ...

Group 1: Report's Industry Investment Ratings - The investment ratings for stock index futures are expected to be volatile and moderately strong; for stock index options, the rating is volatile; for treasury bond futures, the rating indicates a moderately strong trend in the medium - term and a need for short - term caution [5][6] Group 2: Report's Core Views - Stock index futures followed the external market rebound. The A - share market's rise was related to the global risk - asset sentiment repair on Friday. Before the holiday, the probability of a rapid rebound is low. After the holiday, it is expected to rise moderately but with a slower slope than in January [5] - Stock index options have a warm market sentiment. The trading volume was relatively stable after the market's rise. Considering the approaching holiday and exercise date, it is recommended to use call options for defense [5] - Treasury bond futures saw an increasing bullish sentiment. Supply decreased, the central bank continued net injections, and the market's expectation of loose money increased. The bond market is expected to be moderately strong in the medium - term, but short - term caution is needed [6] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - On Monday, the equity market opened high and fluctuated at a high level, with the All - A index rising nearly 2%. Communication, media, and electronics were strong. The A - share rebound was related to the global risk - asset sentiment repair on Friday. Before the holiday, the low participation rate and risk - averse capital preference limit a rapid rebound. The weakening dollar index is a favorable factor. After the holiday, during the important meeting window period, the market is expected to rise moderately [5] - The operation suggestion is to hold IM long positions [5] Stock Index Options - The trading volume of each option variety declined significantly. After the market's rise, the trading volume was relatively stable. The strengthening of the option sentiment indicator (position PCR) and the decline in implied volatility suggest a warm market sentiment. It is recommended to use call options for defense to protect the overall portfolio's systematic risk [5] Treasury Bond Futures - Although the equity market was strong, the stock - bond seesaw effect did not occur. The bullish sentiment in the bond market increased due to the decline in supply and the central bank's net injection. The market's expectation of loose money also rose. In the first quarter, the bond - market allocation power may increase, supporting the bullish sentiment. In the medium - term, the bond market may be moderately strong, but short - term factors may cause disruptions [6] - Operation suggestions include a volatile trend strategy, paying attention to short - hedging at low basis levels, a basis - volatile basis strategy, appropriately paying attention to the convergence of the 30Y - 10Y spread, and being aware of the downward momentum of the inter - period spread and the change in the inter - period transfer window due to the Spring Festival [6]