证券分析师 2026年03月02日 离子阱路线商业化验证;树突信号 发现为算力效率提供新物理路径 卡来产业周报第 11 期（2026/2/22-2026/2/28） 相关研究 《AI4S 制药进入生态化竞争,具身 智能大脑基模实现时空记忆 来产业周报第 10 期 (2026/2/8-2026/2/21) 》 2026/02/23 《量子互联网可扩展性进步; 侵入式 脑机,迈入商业化阶段 未来产业 周报第９期(2026/2/1-2026/2/7)》 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 牟璋璋 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 2026/02/ ...

《AI4S 制药进入生态化竞争，具身 智能大脑基模实现时空记忆——未 来产业周报第 10 期 （2026/2/8-2026/2/21）》 2026/02/23 《量子互联网可扩展性进步；侵入式 脑机迈入商业化阶段——未来产业 周报第 9 期（2026/2/1-2026/2/7）》 证券分析师 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 2026 年 03 月 02 日 离子阱路线商业化验证；树突信号 发现为算力效率提供新物理路径 ——未来产业周报第 11 期（2026/2/22-2026/2/28） 相关研究 ...

Group 1: Quantum Technology - The team from the University of Science and Technology of China achieved significant breakthroughs in scalable quantum networks, including the construction of a basic module for scalable quantum repeaters and the realization of device-independent quantum key distribution (DI-QKD) over a distance of 100 kilometers, improving previous international experimental levels by over two orders of magnitude [4][5]. - The successful implementation of a quantum repeater with an entanglement lifetime of 550 milliseconds, exceeding the entanglement establishment time of 450 milliseconds, marks a critical advancement in quantum communication, enabling the construction of a kilometer-scale quantum internet [5]. Group 2: Biomanufacturing - The Shenzhen Advanced Institute of Technology developed a programmable integration platform for functional molecules, which opens up new applications in biomanufacturing, biosensing, and flexible electronics [6][7]. - OpenAI partnered with Ginkgo Bioworks to create an AI-driven automated experimental system that significantly reduces the production costs of cell-free protein synthesis (CFPS) by approximately 40% and reagent costs by 57% [8]. Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The China Energy Construction Group's Songyuan hydrogen energy industrial park project has produced over 10,000 tons of green ammonia and received EU certification, validating the integrated commercial model of "green electricity - green hydrogen - green ammonia" [9][10]. - Shenzhen Energy signed a contract for a 505MW wind-solar hydrogen project with a total investment of approximately 8 billion, covering both upstream and downstream sectors [12]. Group 4: Brain-Computer Interfaces - The company Borui Kang has initiated the process for its initial public offering (IPO), marking a transition of invasive brain-computer interface technology from research to commercialization [13][15]. - A research team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences developed a novel optogenetic technique for visual brain-computer interfaces, enabling high-precision, long-term optical stimulation of the visual cortex, representing a significant advancement in sensory information input [16][18]. Group 5: Embodied Intelligence - Microsoft Research introduced a new robot model, Rho-alpha, which integrates multimodal perception capabilities, including visual, language, and tactile data, aimed at enhancing the application of embodied intelligence in unstructured environments [21]. Group 6: 6G and Commercial Space - A research team from Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications made significant progress in 6G channel modeling, with their work being included in the international 6G standard framework by 3GPP [22]. - The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) accepted SpaceX's application for an orbital data center, which aims to establish a satellite constellation of up to 1 million satellites to support advanced AI models and applications [25]. Group 7: Future Industry Catalysts - A table summarizing key catalytic events for six future industries in 2026 was provided, highlighting important milestones and conferences that investors should track [26][27].

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is currently in a phase of oscillation, with a strong momentum in technology and cyclical sectors, but the short-term market strength is gradually declining [4][5] - Structural characteristics of the market at high valuation levels include increased difficulty in raising sector valuations, stricter conditions for upward breakthroughs, and heightened sensitivity to liquidity shocks [4] - A correction phase is expected before a new upward stage begins in the second half of 2026, driven by improvements in the fundamental cycle and shifts in asset allocation [5] Group 2: Valuation Comparisons - As of January 30, 2026, the valuation metrics for major indices are as follows: - CSI All Share (excluding ST) PE at 22.5x, PB at 1.9x, at historical 83% and 50% percentiles - SSE 50 PE at 11.7x, PB at 1.3x, at historical 61% and 41% percentiles - CSI 300 PE at 14.2x, PB at 1.5x, at historical 65% and 39% percentiles - CSI 500 PE at 37.9x, PB at 2.6x, at historical 70% and 61% percentiles - ChiNext Index PE at 42.6x, PB at 5.7x, at historical 41% and 67% percentiles [7][8] Group 3: Sector Performance - Industries with PE valuations above the 85th percentile historically include real estate, automation equipment, retail, and electronics (semiconductors) [8] - The white goods sector is currently in the bottom 15th percentile for both PE and PB valuations, indicating potential undervaluation [8] Group 4: Global Asset Allocation - The recent hawkish nomination of Kevin Warsh to the Federal Reserve has led to tightening liquidity expectations, causing significant fluctuations in precious metals [10] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.26%, and the dollar index is currently at 97.1, reflecting a tightening monetary environment [10] Group 5: Future Industry Trends - Quantum technology is expected to see significant milestones, with predictions of achieving "quantum supremacy" by the end of 2026 [11][12] - The hydrogen energy sector is witnessing rapid development, with major projects being launched and industry chains forming [12]

Quantum Technology - IonQ announced an $1.8 billion acquisition of SkyWater Technology to accelerate its roadmap towards fault-tolerant quantum computing, with plans to start functionality testing of 200,000 qubit QPUs by 2028 [6][8] - A Chinese research team discovered new principles in quantum systems using the 78-qubit superconducting quantum processor "Zhuangzi No. 2," which enhances the application of quantum computing in fields like financial modeling and drug development [7][9] Biomanufacturing - Kangnuo Biopharmaceutical submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on mitochondrial medicine and NAD+ applications, with projected revenues of 303 million yuan in 2023 [10][11] - Guangdong Province released an action plan aiming for a 40% self-sufficiency rate in core strains of biomanufacturing by 2027, with a total output value exceeding 500 billion yuan [11] Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - Sichuan Fusion New Energy Industry Investment Development Co., Ltd. officially commenced operations, supporting the construction of China's first internationally recognized fusion city [13] - CIMC Anrui announced the successful launch of China's first IV-type hydrogen gas bundle container, marking a significant advancement in domestic hydrogen storage and transportation technology [14] - Mingyang Electric and global leaders in hydrogen equipment established Guangdong Mingnuo Hydrogen Technology Co., focusing on high-end hydrogen equipment production [15] Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink reported 21 participants in its human trials, with plans to enhance device performance by three times and introduce "blindsight" technology for the visually impaired by late 2026 [23][24] - The National Medical Products Administration in China is advancing the establishment of industry standards for brain-computer interface medical devices [28] Embodied Intelligence - Ant Group's Lingbo Technology open-sourced the LingBot-Depth model, significantly lowering development barriers in the industry and enhancing its competitive edge [31][32] 6G and Commercial Aerospace - CASIC successfully conducted a 120 Gbps laser communication experiment, doubling the previous rate and laying the groundwork for high-speed data transmission in commercial aerospace [33][34] - China plans to expand its "Space+" future industries, focusing on space infrastructure, resource development, and space tourism [36] Future Industry Catalysts - Key milestones for future industries in 2026 include significant events in quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, and 6G [37][38]

Group 1: Quantum Technology - The report highlights significant advancements in quantum error correction technology, with Zhejiang University and Tsinghua University demonstrating low-overhead quantum error correction codes, effectively reducing logical error rates below physical error rates [4][5] - Horizon Quantum Computing has formed a strategic partnership with Alice&Bob to accelerate the development of fault-tolerant quantum computing, integrating their software and hardware capabilities [5] - GuoDun Quantum plans to sign a technology licensing contract with the University of Science and Technology of China, involving quantum random number generators and superconducting quantum computing control systems [6][7] Group 2: Biomanufacturing - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has achieved a breakthrough in synthesizing L-arginine using methanol as the sole carbon source, marking a shift towards non-grain-based production methods [8][9] - The Shenzhen Advanced Institute has developed the MARS intelligent system, which integrates multiple AI agents and robots to significantly shorten the new material development cycle from four months to four hours [9][10] - Jinbo Biological has registered a 2 billion yuan private placement to enhance its humanized collagen protein FAST database project, aiming to improve research and development efficiency [11] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The Baowu Clean Energy green hydrogen industrial park project, with a total investment of 11.09 billion yuan, has been launched in Guangdong, establishing a new model for offshore wind power direct hydrogen production [12][13] - A Chinese consortium has signed a significant contract for the ITER edge local model power supply system, marking a major step in China's contribution to global fusion energy projects [15] - Zhejiang Fu Nuclear Power will participate in the development of core components for the China Fusion Engineering Demonstration Reactor (CFEDR), focusing on ultra-high heat load components [16][17] Group 4: Brain-Computer Interfaces - Neuralink has successfully implemented OTA wireless upgrades for its invasive brain-computer interface, allowing for performance optimization without the need for additional surgeries [18][19] - This advancement addresses the traditional limitations of invasive devices, reducing clinical maintenance risks and costs while enhancing the adaptability of the technology [20] Group 5: Embodied Intelligence - World Labs, founded by Fei-Fei Li, has partnered with Guanglun Intelligent to create an evaluation system for embodied intelligence, addressing high verification costs and discrepancies between simulation and reality [21][22] - The Marble model developed by World Labs generates high-fidelity 3D environments from various inputs, solving traditional model issues but lacking physical interaction capabilities [22][23] Group 6: Future Industry Catalysts - The report outlines key catalytic events for 2026 across six future industries, including significant conferences and technological milestones that investors should monitor [28][29]

Quantum Technology - The report highlights the clear positioning of the NISQ (Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum) era, indicating that current quantum devices are operational but limited in capability, lacking fault tolerance and scalability. Experts estimate that small-scale fault-tolerant quantum computers will take about ten years to develop [8][9] - The collaboration between Argonne National Laboratory and Intel has successfully deployed a 12-qubit silicon-based quantum processor, demonstrating the value of mature silicon technology in scaling quantum computing [10] - D-Wave has showcased a scalable on-chip low-temperature control gate model quantum bit, significantly reducing wiring costs and addressing a major bottleneck in the industry [12][14] Biomanufacturing - Micro Yuan Synthesis has secured nearly 300 million yuan in financing to accelerate the development of methanol biomanufacturing, which addresses the reliance on food-based raw materials in traditional biomanufacturing [15][16] - The first gene-consistent human "lung chip" has been developed, providing a new tool for personalized treatment of respiratory diseases and potentially revolutionizing drug development by reducing reliance on animal models [18] Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - Policies in Shanghai and other regions are reducing the operational costs of hydrogen vehicles through subsidies and free highway access, which is expected to significantly boost the adoption of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles [19][20] - The report notes that hydrogen energy is transitioning from being a major electricity consumer to a "regulator" of the grid, enhancing the consumption of renewable energy and long-term storage capabilities [25][28] - The Energy Singularity's "Honghuang 70" nuclear fusion device has achieved a 120-second steady-state operation, marking a significant milestone in commercial nuclear fusion technology [31] - Dongsheng Fusion has completed a multi-hundred million yuan angel round of financing to develop a "deuterium-helium-3" fusion route, which is considered safer and more cost-effective than traditional methods [32][33] Brain-Computer Interface - Strong Brain Technology has raised 2 billion yuan to scale brain-computer interface technology, aiming to help one million disabled individuals regain social functionality within five to ten years [38][39] - Sichuan Province has set maximum prices for brain-computer interface medical services, which will take effect in April 2026, facilitating the clinical application of this technology [40][41] - The first brain-computer interface deep brain stimulator surgery in Southwest China has been successfully performed, providing new treatment options for Parkinson's disease [42][43] Embodied Intelligence - NVIDIA has released several physical AI models and frameworks that support robots in understanding physical laws, enhancing the industrialization of robots across various scenarios [5][13] - Chinese companies represent nearly 25% of robot exhibitors at CES 2026, with humanoid robots making up over 50% of the exhibition area, showcasing the competitive edge of Chinese firms in this sector [5][13] Sixth Generation Mobile Communication (6G) - Nanjing has launched a special plan to build a 6G industrial ecosystem, aiming for full coverage of 6G non-cellular networks by 2027 and the establishment of over 50 vertical industry scenarios [5][14]

Group 1: Quantum Technology - The "quantum + supercomputing" integration innovation platform has been established in Chengdu, deploying China's first 550-qubit coherent optical quantum computer, enabling the collaboration of classical high-performance computing and quantum computing [7][8] - The deployment of the 550-qubit quantum computer fills the gap in the central and western regions of China for quantum computing capabilities, establishing a complementary regional computing power structure with eastern regions [8][9] Group 2: Biological Manufacturing - The first sugar science key laboratory in Beijing has been approved, co-established by Huaxi Biological and Peking University, focusing on precise manufacturing and functional applications of sugars [10][11] - Huaxi Biological aims to leverage this laboratory to enhance its capabilities in synthetic biology, expanding from hyaluronic acid production to comprehensive sugar biological research [11] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The world's first 30 MW pure hydrogen gas turbine has achieved stable operation, marking a significant step in hydrogen energy transitioning from a "power consumer" to a "grid regulator" [12][13] - The EAST nuclear fusion device has confirmed the existence of a density-free regime, providing critical physical evidence for efficient operation of fusion reactors [18][19] - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has completed the manufacturing of all ITER correction coil procurement packages, marking a significant achievement in domestic R&D capabilities for nuclear fusion components [22] Group 4: Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink plans to begin mass production of brain-computer interface devices in 2026, aiming to automate surgical procedures and enhance device performance [23][24] - The "Beijing Brain No. 1" system has been implanted in five spinal cord injury patients, achieving clinical breakthroughs, with plans for clinical trials to start in mid-2026 [26][27] - The "Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Brain Science and Central Nervous System Disease AI Innovation Alliance" has been launched, focusing on research and development in brain science and related technologies [28] Group 5: Embodied Intelligence - Woan Robotics has gone public in Hong Kong, focusing on household scenarios with plans to launch a humanoid household robot in January 2026 [29][30] - The "Qiyuan Q1," the world's first small-sized humanoid robot with full-body force control, has been released, targeting research and interactive applications [33][34] Group 6: Future Industry Catalysts - A table has been organized detailing key catalytic events for six future industries in 2026, including important conferences and technological milestones [36][38]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3890, with a slight increase of 0.36% [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index also saw a rise of 0.98%, indicating a positive market sentiment [1] - Large-cap indices showed a modest increase of 0.3% yesterday, while mid-cap and small-cap indices performed better with increases of 0.91% and 0.8% respectively over the same period [1] Group 2: Industry Performance - The home decoration industry led the gains with a 3.33% increase yesterday, reflecting strong demand [1] - The energy sector also performed well, with a 3.26% increase, although it has seen a decline of 3.9% over the past month [1] - Conversely, the electronic components sector faced significant declines, with a drop of 3.46% yesterday and a 69.42% decrease over the past six months [1] Group 3: Future Industry Trends - The report highlights key future industries including quantum technology, bio-manufacturing, hydrogen energy, and brain-computer interfaces, emphasizing recent breakthroughs and commercialization efforts [10][8] - In quantum technology, a significant academic breakthrough was reported with the development of an 11-qubit silicon-based processor, marking progress in semiconductor quantum computing [10][8] - The bio-manufacturing sector is seeing advancements with AI applications in pharmaceuticals, as a unicorn company plans to raise 2.277 billion HKD for drug development [10][8] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the hydrogen energy sector, particularly with the launch of the world's largest green hydrogen project, which is expected to drive growth in this area [10][8] - The brain-computer interface technology is advancing with successful clinical trials, indicating a promising future for this field [10][8] - The automotive industry is witnessing the approval of L3 autonomous driving models, which is expected to enhance the market for intelligent vehicles [21][22]

Quantum Technology - The report highlights the release of the world's first 3D-extended architecture 10,000-qubit quantum processor VIO-40K by QuantWare, which aims to overcome the scaling bottleneck of quantum processors and is compatible with NVIDIA's NVQLink platform [3][7][8] - The 2025 Zhongguancun Quantum Conference announced 16 quantum technology achievements and a 500 million yuan investment fund to support quantum entrepreneurship, showcasing advancements in quantum computing and applications in energy [3][13][14] Biomanufacturing - Levinthal Biotech completed a multi-million Pre-A round financing to accelerate the development of its AI-driven full-atom model protein design platform Pallatom, which addresses the design challenges of cyclic peptides [3][15][16] - Aopu Mai's acquisition of 100% of Pengli Biotechnology was approved, enhancing its capabilities in cell culture media and CDMO services, thereby expanding its market position [3][20][21] - Baiaosaitu has established a dual-platform listing strategy with its recent listing on the STAR Market, focusing on innovative drug development driven by gene editing technology [3][23][24] Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The report notes the deepening international cooperation in nuclear fusion, with a Chinese expert set to chair the ITPA Coordination Committee from 2026 to 2028, and the signing of a contract for the mass production of the ITER first wall [3][28][29] - Snowman Group's metal plate fuel cell stack project has passed final acceptance, marking a significant step in the commercialization of hydrogen energy technology [3][30][31] Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink has demonstrated a significant efficiency breakthrough with its new surgical robot, reducing the electrode implantation time from 17 seconds to 1.5 seconds, showcasing advancements in surgical precision and safety [3][34][46] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape, with the U.S. leading in invasive technologies while China excels in non-invasive applications, highlighting the ongoing developments in both sectors [3][48][49] Embodied Intelligence - Beijing Humanoid Robotics has launched the first fully autonomous humanoid robot tour guide solution, integrating IoT capabilities for various applications in exhibition halls and shopping malls [3][50][51] - The Shanghai humanoid robot pilot alliance was established to enhance the supply chain for humanoid robots, indicating a collaborative effort to scale the industry [3][53][54] - Yushu Technology has introduced a humanoid robot App Store, allowing users to upload and share action models, further promoting the commercialization of humanoid robotics [3][55]