Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the active trading and significant capital inflow into the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570), with a turnover of 11.78% and a transaction volume of 116 million yuan as of January 30, 2026 [1] - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF has reached new highs in both scale and share since its inception, with a total capital inflow of 713 million yuan over the past 10 days, including a peak single-day inflow of 336 million yuan [1] - Concerns over geopolitical conflicts and rising Brent oil prices are expected to enhance the oil service industry's outlook, with global oil and gas spending remaining at low levels but showing potential for recovery [1] Group 2 - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) includes major players in the oil and petrochemical sectors, such as the "three barrels of oil" and Wanhua Chemical, and tracks the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, which reflects a "dumbbell strategy" in the petrochemical sector [2] - The ETF has maintained a leading performance compared to comparable chemical industry indices in 2023, benefiting from a combination of high dividend and high growth component stocks [2] - The management and custody fee rates for the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF are 0.15% and 0.05% per year, respectively, which are significantly lower than similar ETF products in the petrochemical sector, providing investors with a cost-effective investment opportunity [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Insights - Concerns over geopolitical conflicts have increased, leading to a rise in Brent crude oil prices, which is expected to improve the oil service industry's outlook. Recent military actions by the U.S. against Venezuela and increased military presence near Iran have contributed to these concerns. Additionally, severe weather in the U.S. has impacted refining output. As a result, Brent crude oil prices have shown a sustained increase, and if this trend continues, capital expenditures in the industry are expected to marginally improve, enhancing the oil service sector's outlook [9] - Global oil and gas capital expenditures remain at low levels, indicating potential for upward recovery. Currently, the global active rig count is approximately 1,700-1,800, still below pre-2019 levels. In China, capital expenditures in the oil and gas sector have contracted due to oil prices and the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expected year-on-year declines of 1.8% and 5.1% in 2024 and 2025, respectively. After several years of capital contraction, a recovery in industry expenditures is anticipated. Domestically, China's reliance on foreign oil and gas remains high, and a gradual recovery in capital expenditures is expected. Internationally, U.S. government policies are promoting oil and gas development, and the EIA predicts an increase in natural gas generation capacity in the coming years, suggesting a potential rebound in overseas oil service expenditure in 2026 [9] - The recovery in oil service sector sentiment takes time, emphasizing the importance of competitive companies. Due to the long construction cycles of oil service projects, owner companies often need to observe the sustainability of oil prices. Current geopolitical concerns have elevated oil prices and market expectations, but a recovery in oil service sentiment will require time. It is estimated that it will take at least six months for the positive effects of rising oil prices to be felt in the oil service sector. As downstream companies place greater emphasis on long-term partnerships with suppliers, companies with high competitiveness are expected to benefit more from the recovery [9]