离岸人民币兑美元升破6.97，最高升至6.9678，创2023年5月以来新高。 银河证券认为，受美联储主席换届选举、美国一季度经济数据、通胀数据等多重关键因素影响，美联储具体降息节奏，可能会在2026年4月份以后更加清 晰。总体上，2026年美元指数与美债利率有望较当前水平继续下行，从而有利于提升港股估值，吸引外资流入港股市场。 1月2日，港股三大指数高开高走，截至发稿，恒指、恒生国企指数大涨超2%，恒生科技指数暴涨3.65%。 半导体指数暴涨8.3%。 截至发稿，华虹半导体(01347.HK)涨超10%、中芯国际(00981.HK)涨4.63%、芯智控股(02166.HK)涨3.81%。消息方面，华虹半导体发布多份公告表示，公 司拟通过发行股份方式向华虹集团等4名交易对方购买其合计持有的华力微97.4988%股权，并拟向不超过35名符合条件的特定对象发行股票募集配套资 金。 百度暴涨近8%，消息面上，1月2日，百度发布公告称，1月1日，昆仑芯已透过其联席保荐人以保密形式向香港联交所提交上市申请表格（A1表格），以 申请批准昆仑芯股份于香港联交所主板上市及买卖。目前的方案为建议分拆将通过昆仑芯股份的全球发售进 ...

1月2日，港股三大指数高开高走，截至发稿，恒指、恒生国企指数大涨超2%，恒生科技指数暴涨3.65%。 | 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 26198.57 | 9120.48 | 5717.51 | | +568.03 +2.22% | +206.80 +2.32% +201.53 +3.65% | | | 恒指期货 | 港股通50 | 恒生生物科技 | | 26251 | 3958.48 | 14364.22 | | +603 +2.35% | +80.07 +2.06% | +185.74 +1.31% | 半导体指数暴涨8.3%。 | < W | | | Wind香港半导体(887132) | | Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 01-02 11:35:45 | | | | 15795.55 | | 昨收 14584.39 | | 成交额 | 80.4亿 | | 1211.16 | 8.30% | 今开 | 15152.53 | 成交量 | 1.8亿 | | 上 涨 | 14 | 平 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market opened positively, with significant gains across major indices, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [1][2]. Market Performance - As of the report, the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index both surged over 2%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 3.65% [2]. - The semiconductor index experienced a remarkable increase of 8.3% [4]. - Notable stocks included Hua Hong Semiconductor, which rose over 10%, and SMIC, which increased by 4.63% [7]. Company Announcements - Hua Hong Semiconductor announced plans to acquire a 97.4988% stake in Huahong Micro through a share issuance to four counterparties, along with a fundraising initiative [7]. - Baidu's stock surged nearly 8% following its announcement of a listing application for Kunlun Chip on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating strong market interest in tech IPOs [7]. Currency and Economic Outlook - The offshore RMB appreciated against the USD, surpassing 6.97, reaching a high of 6.9678, the highest since May 2023 [8]. - Analysts at Galaxy Securities predict that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will become clearer after April 2026, which may positively impact Hong Kong stock valuations and attract foreign investment [8]. Investment Themes - Suggested investment themes include: 1. **Technology Innovation**: With a focus on self-reliance in technology during the 14th Five-Year Plan, the technology sector is expected to be a major investment theme, with significant growth potential in leading companies [9]. 2. **Cyclical Industries**: Sectors such as steel, construction materials, electrical equipment, and paper are anticipated to benefit from supply-side reforms, leading to improved supply-demand dynamics and profitability [9]. 3. **Consumer Sector**: The consumer sector, particularly in service consumption and new consumption models, is expected to see growth due to strategies aimed at expanding domestic demand [9]. Overall Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to experience a phase of both profit and valuation increases, driven by favorable policies and economic recovery [8][9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hong Kong's technology and internet stocks have rebounded significantly, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising by 3.0% and the Hang Seng New Economy Index increasing by 2.9% [1] - The recent influx of capital into Hong Kong's technology-related ETFs is notable, with the E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) attracting over 4 billion yuan in net inflows over the past month, ranking first among similar ETFs [1] - Other indices also showed positive performance, including the China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index up by 2.7% and the China Securities Hong Kong Consumption Theme Index up by 2.2% [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF tracks the largest 50 stocks in the "new economy" sector within the Hong Kong Stock Connect, primarily including information technology, consumer discretionary, and healthcare [2] - The rolling P/E ratio for the Hang Seng Technology ETF is reported at 22.1 times, with a valuation percentile of 24.1% since its inception in 2020 [2] - The China Securities Hong Kong Consumption Theme Index, which includes 50 major consumer stocks, has a rolling P/E ratio of 20.9 times and a valuation percentile of 16.1% since its launch in 2020 [3]

The provided content does not include any quantitative models or factors, as it primarily focuses on fund performance, ETF market tracking, ESG products, and other financial market updates. There are no specific quantitative models, factor construction methodologies, or related backtesting results mentioned in the documents.

ETF Market Overview - The performance of ETFs has been generally positive in the last two weeks, with the exception of the Sci-Tech 100 and Sci-Tech 50 ETFs. The largest gains were seen in ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Index and the CSI 2000, while the manufacturing sector ETFs showed the highest increase among industry and thematic products [3][11]. - In terms of fund flows, major broad-based ETFs experienced significant net inflows, particularly the CSI 300 and the SSE 50 ETFs. After a substantial outflow at the beginning of the year, technology ETFs have shifted to net inflows since March, although the inflow rate has slowed in the last two weeks [3][11]. Fund Flow Analysis - As of April 25, 2025, a total of 15 new ETFs were launched, with a combined issuance of 8.99 billion shares, all of which are stock ETFs. Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased, with commodity ETFs, bond ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs rising by 120.33%, 38.17%, 14.44%, 7.58%, and 1.14% respectively [21][22]. - The cumulative fund flow for broad-based ETFs has shown a trend of inflows since early April 2025, particularly for the CSI 300, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000 ETFs, with the CSI 300 ETF seeing a net inflow exceeding 130 billion [12][14]. Thematic ETF Performance - The technology-themed ETFs have shown strong performance, particularly those tracking the new exchange's Southeast Asia Technology Index, with overseas technology ETFs outperforming domestic ones. In terms of fund flows, ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Technology Index have seen significant net inflows, while those tracking 5G communications have experienced outflows [27][28]. - The healthcare-themed ETFs have also performed well, with those tracking innovative drug indices seeing notable gains. However, funds have shifted from inflows to outflows for medical, military, dividend, and consumer ETFs in the last two weeks [16][28]. ETF Product Structure - The structure of newly launched ETFs indicates a growing trend towards thematic and sector-specific investments, with a notable increase in the issuance of stock ETFs. The overall market for ETFs is expanding, reflecting a shift in investor preferences towards diversified and thematic investment strategies [21][22].