Core Viewpoint - UBS maintains an optimistic stance on Chinese stocks, particularly favoring A-shares due to their relative valuation attractiveness, which is at a 30% discount compared to the MSCI World Index and aligns with historical averages [1] Industry Preferences - UBS is bullish on the AI theme, A-share brokerage firms, and high-dividend stocks [1] - The firm selectively supports the "anti-involution" theme, showing preference for sectors such as solar energy, chemicals, and lithium batteries [1] Preferred Stocks - UBS has listed its top picks for Chinese stocks, including A-shares such as Huatai Securities, Northern Huachuang, Yutong Bus, Kingsoft Office, Yangtze Power, and Small Commodity City, all rated as "Buy" [1] - For H-shares, the preferred stocks include China Mobile, Tencent, CRRC, and BYD, also rated as "Buy" [1] - ADRs highlighted by UBS include NetEase, Alibaba, and Global Data, all receiving a "Buy" rating [1]

ETF Market Overview - As of September 19, the overall performance of ETF products in the past two weeks has been good, with the Sci-Tech 50 showing the highest increase among major broad-based ETFs, while technology sector ETFs had the largest gains among industry and thematic products [3][10] - In the past two weeks, major broad-based ETFs, except for the ChiNext Index, experienced net outflows, with the Sci-Tech 50 ETF having the largest net outflow [3][10] Fund Flow Analysis - In the past two weeks, the military industry ETF shifted from net inflow to net outflow, while funds accelerated into dividend, pharmaceutical, large manufacturing, financial real estate, and new energy ETFs, with inflow speeds for cyclical, consumer, and technology ETFs slowing down [16] - For bond ETFs, there was a significant inflow into credit bond ETFs, while convertible bonds, short-term financing, and government bond ETFs shifted from net inflow to net outflow, with policy financial bonds experiencing accelerated net outflows and local government bonds seeing slowed net inflows [16] ETF Product Structure - As of September 19, a total of 27 new ETFs were established in the past two weeks, with a total issuance of 48.362 billion units, consisting of 14 pure bond ETFs and 13 stock ETFs [19] - Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased, with bond ETFs, commodity ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs increasing by 237.50%, 111.89%, 94.45%, 46.09%, and 11.03% respectively [19] Thematic ETF Tracking - In the past two weeks, products tracking semiconductor-related indices, such as the China-Korea Semiconductor, performed well, while funds tracking the National Chip Index experienced net outflows [25][28] - The AI-themed ETFs, which have a high proportion of AI stocks, had an average return of 6.67% in the past two weeks, with a net outflow of 1.557 billion yuan [3] - The robotics-themed ETFs showed an average return of 8.30% in the past two weeks, with a net inflow of 8.473 billion yuan [3] Fund Manager Scale Distribution - As of September 19, Huaxia Fund had the largest ETF on-market scale at 863.966 billion yuan, while E Fund's ETF management scale expanded by over 370 billion yuan compared to one year ago [20]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The latest FOF (Fund of Funds) report reveals a strong preference for bond funds, with significant interest in various ETF, actively managed equity funds, and QDII funds as the capital market shows signs of recovery [1][3]. Group 1: FOF Holdings and Performance - In Q2, bond funds remained the primary focus for FOF, with the highest market value held in Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF, exceeding 1.643 billion yuan [3][4]. - The top 30 actively managed equity funds held by FOF saw 21 funds yielding over 20% returns, while two QDII funds exceeded 100% returns [1][19]. - The top three funds with the most significant increase in holdings were all bond funds, with Bo Shi Credit Preferred E seeing an increase of over 800 million shares [6][7]. Group 2: ETF Performance - The total scale of ETFs surpassed 4.31 trillion yuan, marking a 15.57% increase from the previous year [10]. - The top five ETFs by market value held by FOF include Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF and Bo Shi Zhong Dai 0-3 Year National Development Bank ETF [10][12]. - The best-performing ETFs focused on the technology sector, with returns ranging from 35.98% to 49.30% [11]. Group 3: QDII Fund Insights - The highest market value QDII fund held by FOF was Hua Xia Hang Seng ETF, with over 800 million yuan in holdings [19][20]. - Two QDII funds, Hui Tian Fu Hong Kong Advantage Selected A and Guang Fa Zhong Zheng Hong Kong Innovative Medicine ETF, reported returns exceeding 100% [19][20]. Group 4: Market Outlook - FOF managers express optimism for the market's continuation, emphasizing the need for cautious investment strategies amid rapid industry rotations [23]. - The anticipated economic stabilization and potential overseas capital inflows are expected to benefit the Chinese capital market [23].

Core Viewpoint - The latest FOF (Fund of Funds) report reveals a strong preference for bond funds among FOF managers, with significant interest also in ETFs, actively managed equity funds, and QDII funds as the capital market recovers [1][2][8]. Summary by Category FOF Holdings Overview - In Q2, bond funds remained the primary focus for FOFs, with the highest market value held in Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF, exceeding 1.643 billion yuan [2][3]. - The top 30 actively managed equity funds held by FOFs saw 21 funds yielding over 20% returns, while two QDII funds achieved returns exceeding 100% [1][12]. Top Bond Funds Held by FOFs - The top bond funds held by FOFs include: - Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF: 1.643 billion yuan, 1.03% YTD return [3][9]. - Bo Shi Zhong Dai 0-3 Year National Development Bank ETF: 1.022 billion yuan, 0.47% YTD return [3][9]. - Bo Shi Credit Preferred E: 1.016 billion yuan, 1.07% YTD return [3][5]. Changes in Holdings - The most increased holdings in Q2 were primarily in bond funds, with Bo Shi Credit Preferred E seeing an increase of over 800 million shares [4][5]. - Other notable increases included South Fund Income Treasure B and Bo Shi Fu Rui Pure Bond A, both exceeding 400 million shares [4][5]. Performance of ETFs - The total scale of ETFs surpassed 4.31 trillion yuan, marking a 15.57% increase from the end of last year [8]. - The top five ETFs by market value held by FOFs include Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF and Bo Shi Zhong Dai 0-3 Year National Development Bank ETF, with significant interest in tech-focused ETFs showing strong performance [8][9]. Active Equity Funds - The highest valued actively managed equity fund held by FOFs was Yi Fang Da Ke Rong, with a market value of 384 million yuan, despite a reduction of over 380,000 shares [11][12]. - The top 30 actively managed equity funds had a positive performance, with two funds exceeding 80% returns [12][13]. QDII Funds Performance - The highest valued QDII fund held by FOFs was Hua Xia Hang Seng ETF, with a market value exceeding 800 million yuan [16]. - Two QDII funds, Huatai Fuhua Hong Kong Advantage Selection A and Guangfa Zhong Zheng Hong Kong Innovative Medicine ETF, achieved returns over 100% [16]. Market Outlook - FOF managers express optimism for future market performance, emphasizing the need for cautious investment strategies amid rapid industry rotations [17][18]. - The anticipated economic stabilization and potential dual easing of fiscal and monetary policies in developed economies could favor the Chinese capital market [17].

Core Viewpoint - The global market appears resilient to economic data and policy uncertainties, driven by liquidity, with expectations of continued bullish trends in Asia due to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - A major Wall Street bank's chief economist noted a "water buffalo" sign indicating liquidity-driven market behavior [1] - In the U.S., there is a frenzy around AI themes, while the Eurozone benefits from low interest rates and increased defense spending, attracting funds into defense and cyclical stocks [1] Group 2: China Market Insights - In China, a stable economic foundation and policy expectations have led to a flow of household savings into the stock market, with insurance funds investing nearly 1 trillion yuan [1] - The recent trading volume in A-shares has reached over 30 trillion yuan for the second time in history, indicating strong market activity [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated potential adjustments to policy stance based on changes in baseline outlook and risk balance [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in the September meeting, which is expected to inject momentum into Asian markets [1]

Group 1 - U.S. risk assets are in a tug-of-war, with strong corporate earnings driven by AI themes on one side and tariffs impacting economic growth and inflation on the other [1] - Preliminary signs indicate that both consumers and businesses will share the burden of tariffs, although strong corporate performance may mitigate some of the tariff impacts [1] - Recent trade agreements have reduced uncertainty regarding the actual implementation of tariffs, but the full impact on consumers has yet to be realized [1] Group 2 - The automotive industry highlights the complexity of tariff issues, with U.S. manufacturers like GM and Ford experiencing significant profit declines as they absorb tariff costs [2] - Japanese and Korean automakers are lowering export prices to the U.S. to offset tariff costs, while European manufacturers face intense pricing pressure from lower-priced Chinese electric vehicles [2] - The industrial sector, which includes automotive manufacturing, has shown resilience, with the S&P 500 industrial sector up approximately 15% this year, benefiting from AI infrastructure and geopolitical trends [2]

Core Insights - UBS Investment Bank's China equity strategy head Wang Zonghao noted increased interest in Chinese stocks during a recent two-week roadshow in Europe and Asia [1] - European investors have shifted from a low allocation to a neutral stance on China, with some now overweighting Chinese stocks, a significant change from previous roadshows [1] - Despite global uncertainties, investors generally find Chinese stocks attractive, but there remains a cautious approach towards emerging markets, particularly China, with a desire for sustainable, consumption-driven economic growth [1] Investment Trends - The internet sector remains the most favored among investors, who agree that leading Chinese internet companies are among the best ways to gain exposure to AI themes [1] - There is a growing interest in high-quality blue-chip companies that have either become or have the potential to become global or domestic leaders [1] - Investor focus is increasingly on sectors such as internet, technology, select global leaders, and domestic companies with strong fundamentals and limited tariff exposure [1]

ETF Market Overview - The performance of ETFs has been generally positive in the last two weeks, with the exception of the Sci-Tech 100 and Sci-Tech 50 ETFs. The largest gains were seen in ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Index and the CSI 2000, while the manufacturing sector ETFs showed the highest increase among industry and thematic products [3][11]. - In terms of fund flows, major broad-based ETFs experienced significant net inflows, particularly the CSI 300 and the SSE 50 ETFs. After a substantial outflow at the beginning of the year, technology ETFs have shifted to net inflows since March, although the inflow rate has slowed in the last two weeks [3][11]. Fund Flow Analysis - As of April 25, 2025, a total of 15 new ETFs were launched, with a combined issuance of 8.99 billion shares, all of which are stock ETFs. Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased, with commodity ETFs, bond ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs rising by 120.33%, 38.17%, 14.44%, 7.58%, and 1.14% respectively [21][22]. - The cumulative fund flow for broad-based ETFs has shown a trend of inflows since early April 2025, particularly for the CSI 300, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000 ETFs, with the CSI 300 ETF seeing a net inflow exceeding 130 billion [12][14]. Thematic ETF Performance - The technology-themed ETFs have shown strong performance, particularly those tracking the new exchange's Southeast Asia Technology Index, with overseas technology ETFs outperforming domestic ones. In terms of fund flows, ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Technology Index have seen significant net inflows, while those tracking 5G communications have experienced outflows [27][28]. - The healthcare-themed ETFs have also performed well, with those tracking innovative drug indices seeing notable gains. However, funds have shifted from inflows to outflows for medical, military, dividend, and consumer ETFs in the last two weeks [16][28]. ETF Product Structure - The structure of newly launched ETFs indicates a growing trend towards thematic and sector-specific investments, with a notable increase in the issuance of stock ETFs. The overall market for ETFs is expanding, reflecting a shift in investor preferences towards diversified and thematic investment strategies [21][22].

Market Overview - The report indicates that the A-share market is currently experiencing a phase of adjustment, influenced by uncertainties related to overseas tariffs and the upcoming earnings season, suggesting that the downward trend may not yet be over [3][9] - The total trading volume in the market remains below 1.2 trillion yuan, indicating a lack of strength in the overall rebound, with market participants showing a cautious sentiment [3][11] Industry Insights - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in January-February 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 910.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%. For the entire year of 2024, the total profit was 74,310.50 billion yuan, down 3.3% year-on-year, although December 2024 saw a turnaround with profits increasing by 11.0% compared to November [4][9] - The chemical sector has shown strength, particularly with the price of chemical products like double-seasoned tetramethylol increasing significantly, from 20,000 yuan per ton in October 2024 to 55,000 yuan per ton in March 2025, marking a 175% increase [8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests avoiding stocks that have been excessively speculated without clear earnings support, while focusing on sectors expected to outperform during the earnings season [5][10] - It recommends positioning in sectors such as large financials, cyclical stocks, and high-dividend or undervalued consumer stocks during market dips, while maintaining flexibility in trading strategies to capitalize on market fluctuations [5][10] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the current market adjustment may create favorable buying opportunities in the future, with a medium to long-term positive outlook supported by economic resilience and ongoing policy support [4][10] - The overall market sentiment is expected to remain cautious in the short term, but the potential for a gradual recovery exists, indicating a slow bull market trend [10]