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早盘直击|今日行情关注
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2026-02-05 02:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in international precious metals markets and their impact on global capital markets, particularly the A-share market in China, which experienced a significant drop followed by a rebound, indicating a resilient bullish sentiment among investors [1]. Market Performance - The A-share market saw a sharp decline at the beginning of the week due to international precious metals volatility, but rebounded on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning above 4100 points, suggesting a strong bullish outlook [1]. - The market is expected to exhibit a trend of low-volume fluctuations as the Chinese New Year approaches, maintaining a stable yet slightly bullish tone [1]. Sector Highlights - The international precious metals market remains volatile, with significant fluctuations in gold and silver prices, which have influenced related A-share sectors, particularly with precious metals experiencing the largest declines on Wednesday [1]. - The coal sector showed strong performance on Wednesday, driven by recent increases in domestic coal prices, leading to notable gains [1]. - The technology sector, particularly in the U.S. stock market, faced substantial declines, which affected the A-share market's computing hardware sector, with gaming and semiconductor stocks also experiencing significant adjustments [1]. Future Outlook - Despite market fluctuations, the overall market resilience remains strong, with a primary focus on a bullish market trend [1]. - It is anticipated that the market will continue to experience fluctuations before the Chinese New Year, with individual stock hotspots shifting, particularly in the semiconductor chip sector, which shows signs of adjustment, while undervalued blue-chip sectors like coal are expected to strengthen [1].
帮主郑重午间观察:情绪踩踏与结构分化,午后如何应对?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 05:14
各位朋友中午好,我是帮主。上午收盘,估计很多朋友心里都咯噔一下:三大指数齐刷刷跌超1%,整 个盘面绿油油一片。但如果你仔细看,会发现这场下跌"戏份"分配得非常不匀——跌幅榜上,清一色是 前几天还风光无限的有色、黄金、化工等资源股,多只股票直接被按在跌停板上;而另一边,电网设 备、影视这些板块却逆势走强,涨停个股不少。这市场,一边是海水,一边是火焰,到底发生了什么? 咱们用中长线的视角,来盘盘这盘面背后的门道。 第一,对于大跌的资源板块,务必保持冷静,切勿盲目抄底。 尤其要记住我们之前总结的教训:趋势 死于加速。第一次强分歧后的反弹或许可以博弈,但像今天这样群体性、崩溃式的第二次大跌,往往意 味着逻辑短期证伪,需要更长时间消化。保护本金,不接飞刀,是第一条纪律。 第二,将注意力从"跌幅榜"转向"抗跌榜"和"活跃榜"。 下午重点观察两个方向:一是像电网设备这 样,有强劲产业逻辑支撑、上午逆势走强的板块,其强度能否持续;二是关注是否有新的、低位板块能 承接流出的资金。这能帮助我们判断市场调整的性质和下一步可能的方向。 第三,利用市场波动,审视和优化自己的持仓结构。 问自己一个问题:我持有的公司,其上涨是依赖 于大宗 ...