研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 12 月 10 日 【生猪日报】现货阶段性稳定 盘面压力增加 研究员：陈界正 om.cn | | | | | 生猪价格日报 | | 2025/12/10 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 河南（0） | 11.32 | 11.26 | 0.06 | 山西（-100） | 11.11 | 11.04 | 0.07 | | 湖北（0） | 10.96 | 10.96 | 0.00 | 辽宁（-300） | 11.27 | 11.18 | 0.09 | | 安徽（200） | 11.35 | 11.31 | 0.04 | 吉林（-300） | 11.20 | 11.15 | 0.05 | | 湖南（100） | 11.33 | 11.33 | 0.00 | 黑龙江 | 11.22 | 11.21 | 0.01 | | 四川（-100） | 11.89 | 11.6 ...

研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 12 月 1 日 【生猪日报】供应压力有所好转 现货阶段性反弹 今 日 昨 日 变 化 今 日 昨 日 变 化 河南（0） 11.55 11.32 0.23 山西（-100） 11.14 11.07 0.07 湖北（0） 11.30 11.06 0.24 辽宁（-300） 11.21 11.10 0.11 安徽（200） 11.63 11.41 0.22 吉林（-300） 11.18 11.13 0.05 湖南（100） 11.43 10.93 0.50 黑龙江 11.27 11.20 0.07 四川（-100） 11.44 11.34 0.10 福建（500） 12.02 11.72 0.3 江西（100） 11.34 10.84 0.50 广东（500） 12.26 11.62 0.64 山东（200） 11.61 11.43 0.18 广西(-200) 11.56 10.95 0.61 江苏（500） 11.66 11.46 0.20 云南（-600） 11.24 10.94 0.3 河北（100） 11.5 11.37 0.13 贵州（-300） 10. ...

研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 11 月 25 日 【生猪日报】供应压力增加 现货继续回落 今 日 昨 日 变 化 今 日 昨 日 变 化 河南（0） 11.34 11.49 -0.15 山西（-100） 11.10 11.27 -0.17 湖北（0） 11.14 11.33 -0.19 辽宁（-300） 11.28 11.36 -0.08 安徽（200） 11.46 11.60 -0.14 吉林（-300） 11.33 11.41 -0.08 湖南（100） 11.35 11.46 -0.11 黑龙江 11.52 11.59 -0.07 四川（-100） 11.56 11.56 0.00 福建（500） 12.25 12.42 -0.17 江西（100） 11.24 11.34 -0.10 广东（500） 12.36 12.39 -0.03 山东（200） 11.51 11.69 -0.18 广西(-200) 11.32 11.52 -0.2 江苏（500） 11.54 11.69 -0.15 云南（-600） 11.44 11.54 -0.1 河北（100） 11.41 11.56 -0. ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The supply pressure of the live pig market is increasing, and the prices of both spot and futures are showing a downward trend. In the short - term, the market may fluctuate, but in the medium - to long - term, the downward pressure on prices is obvious due to high inventory and large - weight pig supply [3][5]. - The profitability of live pig breeding has declined, with both self - breeding and self - raising and purchasing piglets for breeding showing losses that have widened compared to the previous period [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Spot Market - **Price**: Today, the live pig prices across the country continued to decline. The average price remained unchanged at 11.29 yuan/kg, but most regional prices decreased, with Shandong having the largest decline of 0.37 yuan/kg [3]. - **Supply**: The overall出栏量 of large - scale enterprises has decreased, and the enthusiasm of ordinary farmers to sell has also decreased. The number of second - fattening entrants has decreased recently. The current live pig出栏体重 has rebounded, and the supply of large - weight pigs is still relatively large [3]. - **Profit**: The spot breeding profit (self - breeding and self - raising) was - 114.81 yuan/head, a decrease of 25.60 yuan/head from the previous period; the spot breeding profit (purchasing piglets) was - 205.64 yuan/head, a decrease of 30.09 yuan/head from the previous period [3]. - **Slaughter**: The slaughter volume was 166,125 heads, a decrease of 416 heads from the previous day [3]. Futures Market - **Price**: Futures prices also showed a downward trend. For example, LH01 decreased by 80 yuan to 11,695 yuan, and LH03 decreased by 95 yuan to 11,470 yuan [3]. - **Spread**: The spreads between some contracts have changed. For example, LH9 - 1 increased by 70 to 1950, and LH11 - 1 increased by 80 to 105 [3]. Trading Strategy - For single - sided trading, it is recommended to wait and see. - For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see. - For options, a strategy of selling wide - straddles is recommended [6].

Group 1: Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Pig Daily Report" and dated November 10, 2025, focusing on the pig industry [1] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report Group 3: Core View - The supply pressure in the pig market persists, with overall high pig inventory and large - weight pig supply. The spot price of pigs is expected to remain weak in the long - term, and the rebound space of both spot and futures prices is limited. The market will mainly show an oscillatory trend [3][5] Group 4: Spot Price Summary - Today, pig prices across the country are mainly oscillating. The average spot price has increased from 11.56 yuan/kg yesterday to 11.68 yuan/kg today. Scale enterprises' pig sales volume has limited changes, and the monthly pig sales plan remains high. Ordinary farmers' selling enthusiasm has decreased, and the second - fattening activity has also declined [3] Group 5: Futures Price Summary - Pig futures prices are rebounding, driven by spot prices. For example, LH01 increased from 11865 to 11955, and LH03 increased from 11465 to 11555. However, due to high inventory, the medium - term downward pressure on spot prices remains, and the rebound space of both spot and futures prices is limited [3][5] Group 6: Piglet and Sow Price Summary - This week, the piglet price remains at 198 yuan, and the sow price remains at 1546 yuan, showing no change from last week [3] Group 7: Breeding Profit Summary - The self - breeding and self - raising profit has increased slightly from - 89.33 yuan/head yesterday to - 89.21 yuan/head today, and the profit from purchasing piglets has increased from - 179.72 yuan/head to - 175.54 yuan/head [3] Group 8: Slaughter End Summary - The slaughter volume has decreased from 163190 heads yesterday to 162445 heads today, a decrease of 745 heads. The price difference between different - sized pigs has limited changes [3] Group 9: Trading Strategy - For single - side trading, it is recommended to wait and see; for arbitrage, also wait and see; for options, a strategy of selling wide straddles is recommended [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall supply pressure in the live pig market remains high, with continuous high monthly live pig slaughter volume and high live pig inventory and slaughter weight. The subsequent spot price of live pigs is expected to be weak, and there is still pressure on pig prices [3][4]. - The futures price of live pigs shows a rebound trend, but the subsequent supply pressure is still obvious. The spot price is mainly downward, and the recent rebound space of futures may be limited. The futures market is expected to fluctuate mainly [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Spot Price - Today, the spot prices of live pigs across the country have generally declined. The average price has dropped from 11.89 yuan/kg yesterday to 11.56 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.33 yuan/kg [3]. 3.2 Futures Price - The futures prices of most live pig contracts have risen. For example, LH01 has increased from 11,685 yuan to 11,945 yuan, an increase of 260 yuan; LH03 has increased from 11,360 yuan to 11,490 yuan, an increase of 130 yuan [3]. 3.3 Sow/Piglet Price - The price of piglets has increased from 175 yuan last week to 198 yuan this week, an increase of 23 yuan; the price of sows has increased from 1,545 yuan last week to 1,546 yuan this week, an increase of 1 yuan [3]. 3.4 Spot Breeding Profit - The spot breeding profit of self - breeding and self - raising has increased from - 185.68 yuan to - 89.33 yuan, an increase of 96.35 yuan; the spot breeding profit of purchasing piglets has increased from - 289.07 yuan to - 179.72 yuan, an increase of 109.35 yuan [3]. 3.5 Slaughter End - The slaughter volume has increased from 158,004 heads yesterday to 159,258 heads today, an increase of 1,254 heads [3]. 3.6 Contract Spread - The spread of LH7 - 9 has decreased from - 790 yuan to - 795 yuan, a decrease of 5 yuan; the spread of LH9 - 1 has decreased from 1,570 yuan to 1,495 yuan, a decrease of 75 yuan [3]. 3.7 Size Pig Spread - The spread between standard pigs and medium - sized pigs has decreased from 0.4 yuan to 0.37 yuan, a decrease of 0.03 yuan; the spread between large pigs and standard pigs has increased from 0.61 yuan to 0.64 yuan, an increase of 0.03 yuan [3]. 3.8 Trading Strategy - Unilateral: Wait and see - Arbitrage: Wait and see - Options: Sell the wide - straddle strategy [5]

生猪日报 2025 年 11 月 3 日 【生猪日报】供应压力继续体现 现货价格回落 研究员：陈界正 期货从业证号： F3045719 投资咨询证号： 研究所 农产品研发报告 研究所 农产品研发报告 预计仍将以偏弱为主，在总体存栏维持高位的大背景下，预计猪价仍有一定压力。 Z0015458 联系方式： chenjiezheng_qh@chinastock.c om.cn | | | | | 生猪价格日报 | | 2025/11/3 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 河南（0） | 12.29 | 12.62 | -0.33 | 山西（-100） | 11.96 | 12.28 | -0.32 | | 湖北（0） | 11.90 | 12.34 | -0.44 | 辽 宁 | 12.17 | 12.48 | -0.31 | | 安徽（200） | 12.37 | 12.62 | -0.25 | 吉林（-30 ...

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: [Research Institute] Agricultural Products R & D Report - Pig Daily Report [1] - Report Date: October 29, 2025 [1][3] - Researcher: Chen Jiezheng [2] Group 2: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the report Group 3: Core Views - The overall pig price in the country is in a volatile state today. The scale - enterprise's pig -出栏 volume continues to decline, and the overall supply pressure has improved compared with before. The ordinary farmers' enthusiasm for selling pigs has not changed much, and the recent pig - selling volume has decreased. The second - fattening inventory is increasing rapidly, and the entry enthusiasm is high. The supply of large - weight pigs is still sufficient. The subsequent pig spot price is expected to be weak, and the pig price is still under pressure [3][4]. - The pig futures price is in a volatile state. The supply pressure has improved recently, and the futures' reaction to the spot price increase is limited. The far - month futures price begins to decline, and the market is worried about subsequent production capacity release. The futures price is expected to have limited upward space and will mainly operate in a volatile manner [4]. Group 4: Data Summaries Spot Price - Today's average pig spot price is 12.47 yuan/kg, up 0.11 yuan/kg from yesterday. Prices in different regions show different changes, such as Hubei up 0.20 yuan/kg, Hunan up 0.29 yuan/kg, and Guangdong up 0.35 yuan/kg [3]. Futures Price - Futures contracts such as LH01, LH03, etc. show different price changes. For example, LH01 is up 25 yuan, and LH03 is down 50 yuan [3]. Piglet and Sow Prices - The piglet price this week is 174 yuan, up 9 yuan from last week; the sow price is 1545 yuan, unchanged from last week [3]. Breeding Profits - The self - breeding and self - raising spot breeding profit is - 185.68 yuan/head, up 59.01 yuan from yesterday; the profit of purchasing piglets for breeding is - 289.07 yuan/head, up 86.22 yuan from yesterday [3]. Slaughter Volume - The slaughter volume today is 162,661 heads, down 1,215 heads from yesterday [3]. Price Spreads - The price spreads between different futures contracts and different pig sizes show different changes, such as LH7 - 9 down 20 yuan, and the large - pig to standard - pig price spread up 0.07 yuan [3]. Group 5: Trading Strategies - Unilateral trading: Wait and see [5] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [5] - Options: Sell the wide - straddle strategy [5]

Group 1: Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The current supply pressure in the pig market remains significant, with high inventory levels and large weights of pigs for slaughter. The spot price of live pigs rebounded slightly today, but the overall scale of enterprise slaughter volume decreased slightly and remained at a high level. The slaughter volume this month continued to increase, and there was still pressure to meet the previous progress. The enthusiasm of ordinary farmers to sell pigs is expected to remain relatively stable. Secondary fattening has started to show signs of entry, providing some support to prices. However, considering the high inventory and large weights of pigs, the supply pressure in the pig market is expected to persist, and the spot price is likely to decline in the future. The futures price of live pigs has dropped significantly, and the supply pressure remains. The limited rebound space of the spot price has also reduced its impact on the futures market. The far - month futures contracts are under pressure, and the overall futures market is expected to face certain downward pressure, with short - term price fluctuations and long - term downward trends [4][6]. Group 3: Summary by Category 1. Spot Price - The average spot price of live pigs today was 10.85 yuan/kg, up 0.2 yuan/kg from yesterday. Prices increased in all regions, with the largest increase of 0.2 yuan/kg in Guangdong and Yunnan [4]. 2. Futures Price - All futures contracts declined. LH01 decreased by 290 yuan to 11905 yuan, LH03 decreased by 125 yuan to 11540 yuan, LH05 decreased by 145 yuan to 12140 yuan, LH07 decreased by 205 yuan to 12925 yuan, LH09 decreased by 170 yuan to 13755 yuan, and LH11 decreased by 235 yuan to 11165 yuan [4]. 3. Piglet and Sow Prices - The price of piglets this week was 173 yuan, down 10 yuan from last week. The price of sows was 1545 yuan, down 18 yuan from last week [4]. 4. Breeding Profit - The profit from self - breeding and self - raising was - 152.15 yuan/head, down 47.23 yuan from yesterday. The profit from purchasing piglets for fattening was - 301.04 yuan/head, down 41.63 yuan from yesterday [4]. 5. Slaughter Volume - The slaughter volume today was 163263 heads, an increase of 999 heads from yesterday [4]. 6. Price Spread - The price spread between different futures contracts changed. For example, LH7 - 9 decreased by 35 to - 830, LH9 - 1 increased by 120 to 1850, LH9 - 11 increased by 65 to 2590, and LH11 - 1 increased by 55 to - 740. The price spread between large and small pigs also increased, with the spread between standard pigs and medium - sized pigs increasing by 0.02 to 0.43, the spread between medium - large pigs and standard pigs increasing by 0.01 to 0.22, the spread between large pigs and medium - large pigs increasing by 0.04 to 0.52, and the spread between large pigs and standard pigs increasing by 0.05 to 0.74 [4]. 7. Trading Strategy - Unilateral trading: Adopt a bearish strategy for near - month contracts. - Arbitrage: Conduct a reverse spread on LH15. - Options: Hold off on trading [7].

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The current high level of hog supply and large body weight continue to exert pressure on the market, with subsequent spot prices likely to decline, and the futures market also under pressure, showing short - term oscillations [2][4] - The short - term improvement in spot prices is mainly due to the entry of secondary fattening, but the overall fundamental improvement is limited [2] Group 3: Summary by Content Spot Market - Today's hog spot prices showed a slight rebound, with the average price remaining unchanged at 10.52 yuan. Among them, prices in Henan decreased by 0.05 yuan to 11.19 yuan, while those in Liaoning increased by 0.13 yuan to 11.16 yuan. The overall supply pressure is high, with large - scale enterprises' slaughter volume increasing, and the overall slaughter volume remaining high. The enthusiasm of ordinary farmers for slaughter is expected to remain relatively stable, and the supply of large - weight hogs is abundant [2] Futures Market - Hog futures prices rebounded slightly. LH01 rose 270 to 12405, and LH11 rose 325 to 11450. The far - month futures rebound space is limited due to relatively low costs and overall supply pressure. The current price is short - term oscillating, with subsequent pressure still existing [2][4] Sow/Piglet Market - This week, the piglet price was 173 yuan, a decrease of 10 yuan from last week, and the sow price was 1545 yuan, a decrease of 18 yuan from last week [2] Breeding Profit - The spot breeding profit for self - breeding and self - raising was - 152.15 yuan/head, a decrease of 47.23 yuan from the previous value, and the profit for purchasing piglets was - 301.04 yuan/head, a decrease of 41.63 yuan from the previous value [2] Slaughter End - The slaughter volume increased by 489 to 159778 heads, and the price difference between large and small hogs continued to rebound, but the supply of large - weight hogs remained high [2] Trading Strategy - Unilateral: It is recommended to wait and see for near - month contracts - Arbitrage: Wait and see - Options: Sell the wide - straddle strategy [5]