Core Viewpoint - The company reported its H1 2025 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but significant decline in net profit, primarily due to falling prices in poultry business [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 835.3 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.9 million yuan, representing a year-on-year change of +7.02% and -74.10% respectively [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 426.7 million yuan and a net profit of -5.7 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +2.98% and -111.58% respectively [1]. - The basic EPS for H1 2025 was 0.18 yuan [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The poultry business saw a steady increase in output, with chicken sales reaching 260 million birds, up 10.37% year-on-year, but revenue from chicken business fell to 635 million yuan, down 6.76% due to a decline in selling prices [1]. - The average selling price of commodity chickens dropped by 18.40% year-on-year, leading to a gross margin of 6.21%, down 7.65 percentage points [1]. - The goose business sold 1.1627 million geese, an increase of 21.06% year-on-year, but faced a price drop of 23.03%, resulting in a temporary loss [1]. Group 3: Cost and Profitability - The pig business performed well, with revenue of 1.947 billion yuan, up 117.65%, and sales of 949,600 pigs, up 118.35% year-on-year, attributed to high capacity utilization and increased stocking [2]. - The complete cost of pork decreased to 12.8 yuan per kilogram, with expectations for further decline [2]. - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 9.95%, down 4.15 percentage points, while the expense ratio slightly improved to 7.51%, down 0.02 percentage points [2]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - Based on H1 2025 operational performance, the profit forecast has been revised downwards, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -61.5%, +151.5%, and +31.8% [2]. - The company maintains a solid industry position and competitive strength, with a "buy" rating upheld [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.353 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 149 million for the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.02% in revenue but a significant decline of 74.10% in net profit [2][5] - The poultry business showed steady growth in output, but the decline in selling prices negatively impacted performance, leading to a gross margin drop [2][3] - The swine business achieved good profitability due to a significant increase in output and effective cost control, with revenue growing by 117.65% year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 25H1, the company achieved a revenue of 8.353 billion and a net profit of 149 million, with basic EPS at 0.18 yuan. In 25Q2, revenue was 4.267 billion and net profit was -57 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.98% in revenue but a decline of 111.58% in net profit [2][5] - The poultry segment generated 635 million in revenue, down 6.76% year-on-year, while the swine segment generated 1.947 billion, up 117.65% year-on-year [2][3] Poultry Business - The company sold 260 million meat chickens in 25H1, a 10.37% increase year-on-year, but the average selling price dropped by 18.40%, leading to a gross margin of 6.21%, down 7.65 percentage points [2][3] - The goose business sold 1.1627 million meat geese, up 21.06% year-on-year, but faced a price drop of 23.03%, resulting in temporary losses [2] Swine Business - The swine business saw a significant increase in output, with 949,600 pigs sold, up 118.35% year-on-year. The total cost of pork dropped to 12.8 yuan per kilogram, indicating potential for further cost reductions [3] - The gross margin for the overall business was 9.95% in 25H1, down 4.15 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the decline in chicken prices [3] Financial Forecast - The company revised its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 27.6, 11.0, and 8.3 [3]

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 24.33 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2 billion yuan, up 261.9% year-on-year [1] - The company sold 8.174 million head of market pigs in Q1, an increase of 13.8% year-on-year, with an estimated average weight of 123 kg and an average selling price of 15.2 yuan/kg [1] - The comprehensive cost of pig farming decreased monthly, with an estimated average profit of approximately 308 yuan per head, maintaining a leading position in the industry [1] Group 2 - The company sold 282 million head of meat chickens in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, with an estimated average selling price of 10.9 yuan/kg [1] - The total cost of chicken production was estimated at 11.2 yuan/kg, resulting in a loss of approximately 0.6 yuan per chicken [1] Group 3 - The company announced a profit distribution plan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of 2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.32 billion yuan, with an expected total cash dividend and share buyback of 2.92 billion yuan for 2024, accounting for 31.6% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [2] - The company adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 9.4 billion, 5.82 billion, and 9.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year changes of +1.9%, -38.1%, and +66.6% [2] - The current PE ratio for 2025 is projected at 12x, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]