又到了辞旧迎新的节点。经过2025年的结构牛分化行情后，越来越多的投资者开始为新年"投"等大事排 兵布阵。考虑到2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，也将是资本市场改革深化、功能升级的关键之年，政 策的释放力度与基本面复苏叠加产业升级，或将共同作用持续提振投资情绪。 从目前中外金融机构发布的2026年投资展望看，中国资产正凭借"估值优势+增长动能"的双重吸引力， 从资产配置的"可选项"变为"必答题"。多家机构预测，2026年将是"中国资产重估"的延续之年，A股市 场与人民币资产有望迎来国内外增量资金的持续流入。驱动中国股票市场上涨的核心动力，正从2025年 的"估值修复"转向2026年的"盈利成长"，市场风格有望从单一赛道极致分化走向多元均衡。 有鉴于此，在基金的选择与配置层面，"核心—卫星"策略日益成为优选项。其中核心资产类似于组合的 地基，旨在控制基金组合的风险，获取相对较稳健的收益；而卫星资产相对灵活性较高，通常投资于相 对高风险、高弹性的基金资产，以期提升整体投资组合的收益潜力。该策略通过分散配置不同风险收益 特征的基金，避免在单一资产和单一风格的过高暴露，同时保持组合的多样性。聚焦到当下，中信证券 认 ...

Core Viewpoint - Foreign institutions are optimistic about the Chinese stock market for 2026, shifting their focus from "valuation repair" in 2025 to "profit growth" in 2026, driven by accelerating corporate earnings, macro policy support, and RMB appreciation [1][2][5]. Investment Trends - As of December 20, 2025, global investment in Chinese assets through ETFs has seen a net inflow of $83.1 billion, with the technology sector receiving the most inflow at $9.5 billion [1][9]. - Active foreign capital is expected to return to the Chinese stock market, with some institutions already increasing their positions in preparation for 2026 [10][12]. Earnings Forecasts - Goldman Sachs predicts a 38% increase in the Chinese stock market by the end of 2027, with corporate earnings expected to grow by 14% in 2026 and 12% in 2027 [3]. - UBS forecasts an increase in the Hang Seng Tech Index target to 7,100 points and the MSCI China Index target to 100 points by the end of 2026, indicating significant upside potential [3]. Valuation Insights - Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs believe there is still about a 10% potential for valuation repair in the Chinese stock market, which will support market growth [4][5]. - JPMorgan has upgraded its rating on the Chinese market to "overweight," citing reasonable valuations and light positions among international investors [4]. Sector-Specific Opportunities - The technology sector is highlighted as a core focus for profit growth, with opportunities in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and high-end manufacturing [6]. - Traditional industries are also attracting foreign investment, with improvements in state-owned enterprise profitability and dividend increases acting as a dual engine for market growth [7][8]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the Chinese stock market will enter a new phase dominated by fundamentals, with a focus on structural investment opportunities [2][5]. - The anticipated return of active foreign capital is expected to be driven by improving corporate fundamentals, a weaker dollar, and the attractiveness of RMB assets [12].