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建材行业策略周报:建材稳增长方案发布,继续看好水泥-20250929
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-09-29 06:37
Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a positive outlook on the building materials sector, particularly cement, following the release of the "Building Materials Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments [4][6]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - The building materials sector has shown a decline of 11% over the past 12 months, while the Shanghai Composite Index has decreased by 5% [2]. Policy and Industry Outlook - The stabilization plan aims to enhance profitability and innovation in the building materials industry, with a target for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion by 2026 [6]. - Key measures include restricting supply by prohibiting new cement clinker and flat glass production capacity, promoting the unification of actual and registered production capacities, and fostering green building materials through various initiatives [6]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that while there is a temporary pressure on real estate and infrastructure demand, recent policies have led to a gradual improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with expectations for a slow price recovery in the cement market [6]. - Cement production increased by 1.7% month-on-month in August, supported by significant government bond issuances and major project launches, which may lead to a turning point in infrastructure work in Q4 [6]. Investment Recommendations - The cement sector is recommended for investment due to its high dividend yield and the anticipated recovery in demand and prices. The report suggests focusing on companies like Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement, while also considering companies in the photovoltaic supply chain such as Qibin Group [6]. - The consumer building materials sector is expected to stabilize, with companies like Sankeshu, Rabbit Baby, Dongfang Yuhong, and Keshun Co. being highlighted for potential growth [6].
建材行业稳增长工作方案发布
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-24 16:03
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with five other departments, has issued the "Building Materials Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", aiming for recovery and growth in the building materials sector, with a target of exceeding 300 billion yuan in revenue from green building materials by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Key Tasks - Strengthening industry management to promote survival of the fittest, prohibiting new production capacity for cement clinker and flat glass, and mandating capacity replacement plans for new and renovated projects [1]. - Enhancing technological innovation in the industry to improve effective supply capacity and fostering advanced inorganic non-metallic materials [2]. - Expanding effective investment to facilitate industry transformation and upgrading, including digital and green transformations [2]. Group 2: Market Demand and International Cooperation - Stimulating consumer demand through initiatives like promoting green building materials in rural areas and supporting the establishment of cooperation mechanisms among upstream and downstream enterprises [2]. - Deepening open cooperation to enhance international development levels, particularly with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [2]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Analysts suggest that the policy will positively impact the glass industry, potentially reversing weak expectations and aligning with seasonal demand [2]. - The flat glass industry is under high regulatory scrutiny due to its energy consumption, with a shift towards natural gas as a fuel source anticipated [3]. - Long-term strategies include differentiated management in the flat glass sector to concentrate resources on leading enterprises, aiming to cultivate world-class building material companies [3].
内需逐步恢复建材运行“亮点”频现
Group 1: Building Materials Industry Overview - The building materials industry in China is experiencing a significant recovery due to large-scale urban renewal projects, "old-for-new" consumer policies, and ongoing energy structure adjustments [1] - The industry serves various sectors including construction, new energy, new materials, electronics, and automotive [1] - The fiberglass and related products sector is identified as a key emerging industry, with production and economic performance showing strong recovery in early 2023 [1] Group 2: Fiberglass Sector Performance - From January to April 2023, the production of fiberglass, fiberglass cloth, and fiberglass reinforced composites increased by 2.6%, 12.5%, and 17.7% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The price index for fiberglass and composite materials rose by 2.5% year-on-year [1] - The revenue of the fiberglass sector increased by 18.3% year-on-year, while total profits surged by 120.0% [1] Group 3: Mica Products Sector Performance - The mica products industry, particularly in the context of the new energy vehicle sector, has shown continuous growth, driven by the demand for battery outer shells [1] - From January to April 2023, the factory price of mica products increased by 0.9%, with industry revenue rising by 23.8% and total profits increasing by 57.6% [1] Group 4: Insulation Materials Sector Performance - The insulation materials sector has also benefited from urban renewal policies, with production and profitability improving [2] - From January to April 2023, the production of insulation materials increased by 2.0%, while industry revenue grew by 5.6% and total profits rose by 0.8% [2] Group 5: Overall Building Material Consumption Trends - The building material consumption market has reversed the downward trend observed since 2022, with retail sales of construction and decoration materials increasing by 2.3% year-on-year in early 2023 [2] - In April 2023, the retail sales growth reached 9.7% year-on-year [2] - The sanitary ceramics sector reported a revenue increase of 1.7% and a profit growth of 6.8% from January to April 2023 [2]